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ALA

Alabama 44 at Miami 13

MIA
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:21 · James Burnip punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense−54.1Pregame prior−4.1Score differential−40.7Garbage-time factor−20.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:12: Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:33: Will Reichard 51 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +1.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:55: Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +2.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +10.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:29: Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 94 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:44MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:39ALA 4th & 13 at MIA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:33ALA 4th & 10 at MIA 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:26MIA 4th & 5 at MIA 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:57ALA 4th & 11 at ALA 44, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:12MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 45, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:19MIA 4th & 1 at ALA 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.5%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:30MIA 4th & 11 at ALA 11, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:52ALA 4th & 5 at MIA 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:21ALA 4th & 9 at MIA 47, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:58MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:07ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:12ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:55ALA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:29ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:01ALA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:18MIA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4887% → 86%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
13.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
13.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
13.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 11 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
13.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 7 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
14.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
13.8%
John Metchie III 37 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1714% → 15%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
14.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
14.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
14.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-5
14.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Zion Nelson) to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
14.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
14.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+5
14.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 38 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:0586% → 84%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
14.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jameson Williams) to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
14.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
14.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
14.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
14.6%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
14.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+6
15.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
15.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
15.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
15.2%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
15.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade BoldenSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
15.6%
Will Reichard 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5016% → 15%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
15.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
15.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2684% → 89%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
16.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
15.8%
Bryce Young run for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
15.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
16.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+9
16.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 9 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
15.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIAMI 49 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Bubba Bolden) to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down (Bubba Bolden Ejected for Targeting)Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+16
15.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 16 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
15.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 9 yds to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
11.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:1313% → 13%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
12.5%
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
12.8%
D'Eriq King sacked by Christopher Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 33 D'Eriq King fumbled, forced by Christopher Allen, recovered by Alab Phidarian Mathis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:1189% → 91%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
11.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
11.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for no gain to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-4
10.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
9.2%
Will Reichard 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0411% → 10%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
10.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 2 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.4%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
10.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 54 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 10 yds to the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2592% → 95%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
8.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 11 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
8.0%
Jase McClellan run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
7.7%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+18
8.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 18 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
7.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
7.7%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+25
5.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:545% → 5%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
5.2%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+10
5.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 10 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
5.3%
D'Eriq King sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 14
OWN 42
-4
5.1%
D'Eriq King sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+6
4.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4395% → 95%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
4.9%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 35 Roydell Williams fumbled, forced by Kamren Kinchens, recovered by Alab Roydell WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+10
4.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 10 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
4.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
4.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
4.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
4.7%
James Burnip punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12END OF HALF
16 plays · 60 yds · 1:515% → 12%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
5.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 9 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
5.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
4.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
3.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
2.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
3.0%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
2.3%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
2.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+5
2.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+20
2.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 20 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
1.6%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Rambo, Charleston, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Wright, Daniel) 15 yards to the ALABAMA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
1.6%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+37
11.9%
Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13DOWNS
15 plays · 74 yds · 4:367% → 5%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
7.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 5 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
7.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
7.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 3 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
7.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
7.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
6.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 16 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
6.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Michael Redding III for 3 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
6.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+15
6.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
6.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.2%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
6.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.4%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Alab 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
3 plays · 99 yds · 0:4596% → 98%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
4.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
3.6%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+94
2.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 94 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:052% → 2%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
1.9%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Malachi Moore return for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 35 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:1098% → 99%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
1.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
1.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Javon BakerSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+9
1.5%
Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
1.9%
Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+20
1.0%
Trey Sanders run for 20 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.9%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
0.8%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Restrepo, Xavier, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Moore, Malachi) 15 yards to the ALABAMA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
0.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 4 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
0.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Key'Shawn SmithSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+11
0.8%
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
1.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 29 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4798% → 99%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
1.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 2 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
1.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+9
1.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-9
0.9%
Bryce Young sacked by Chantz Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 25 Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Chantz Williams, recovered by MiaFl Jordan Miller , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19FG
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 7 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
1.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
1.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
1.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+6
1.0%
King, D'Eriq pass pass intended for Rambo, Charleston intercepted by Wright, Daniel at the ALABAMA0, Wright, Daniel return 0 yards to the ALABAMA0, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Wright, Daniel) 6 yards to the ALABAMA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q3 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 5Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
1.1%
D'Eriq King sacked by Phidarian Mathis for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 11Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
1.0%
Andres Borregales 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 7:3499% → 100%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.7%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
0.6%
Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
0.6%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
0.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.5%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+9
0.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 9 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
0.4%
Trey Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+4
0.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 4 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+5
0.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gilbert Frierson) to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
0.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.3%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
0.3%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-4
0.2%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
0.2%
Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-28
0.2%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Jaylen Moody return for 13 yds to the MiaFl 33 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
0.2%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-2
0.2%
Trey Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-5
0.2%
Trey Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
0.2%
James Burnip punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
0.1%
Tyler Van Dyke run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Tyler Van Dyke run for no gain to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Key'Shawn SmithSimilar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 5 yds to the Alab 32 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.2%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-1
0.1%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+25
0.1%
Paul Tyson pass complete to Jacoby Boykins for 10 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahfari Harvey) to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
0.1%
Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
0.1%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
0.1%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
50
+18
0.1%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 18 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD
+10.5
TD · Q2 14:12
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q2 6:55
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com