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MINN

Minnesota 17 at Wisconsin 20

WIS
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 19, 2020 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:33 · Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 74Pregame prior+14.1Home team on offense+1.5Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.6Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:26: Chase Wolf pass complete to Jack Dunn for 4 yds for a TD ( KICK) — WIS win probability +13.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 15:00: Chase Wolf pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Minn 13 — WIS win probability +7.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:40: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 9 yds for a TD ( KICK) — MINN win probability +31.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 10 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +14.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 12 — WIS win probability +14.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 9:07MINN 4th & 10 at WIS 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:31WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:31MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:56WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−2.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33WIS 4th & 10 at MINN 47, tied
    Close callWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56MINN 4th & 12 at WIS 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:01WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:26MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:30MINN 4th & 4 at WIS 13, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%−0.9
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−11.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:04MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:17WIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:26WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:40MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
76.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 15 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
76.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 13 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
76.9%
Brady Schipper run for 1 yd to the Minn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
76.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 10 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
76.9%
Groshek, G. rush for 3 yards to the MINN30 (Cheney, Rashad), PENALTY MINN offside (Otomewo, Esezi) 5 yards to the MINN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 28
-5
76.9%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 33 Garrett Groshek fumbled, forced by Micah Dew-Treadway, recovered by Wisc Garrett GroshekSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
76.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+1
76.9%
Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the Minn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
75.4%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
75.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, personal foul (Garrett Rand) to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
74.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
75.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
75.5%
Tanner Morgan punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wisc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
74.9%
Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
74.9%
Mason Stokke run for 4 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 8
-1
74.6%
Graham Mertz sacked by Micah Dew-Treadway and DeAngelo Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 7Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
74.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:3226% → 32%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
73.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 47Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
73.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 8 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
73.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
73.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 27 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
73.3%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Wisc 16Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
67.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Cam Wiley for 16 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4769% → 74%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
69.8%
Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
69.4%
Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
69.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 14 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
69.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
74.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 39 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6INT
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:4028% → 32%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.0%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
71.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+10
71.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
70.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+22
71.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 22 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
70.2%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
69.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+18
69.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 18 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
69.0%
Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 2Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
67.8%
Ibrahim, M rush for 2 yards to the WIS0, clock 08:37, PENALTY MINN holding (Boe, Nathan) 10 yards to the WIS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
67.9%
Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
72.3%
Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
72.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
72.6%
Brady Schipper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
72.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+1
71.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 1 yd to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
71.3%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the Minn 31 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Minn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
68.5%
Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
67.6%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.2%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-3
68.5%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+9
69.3%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
71.1%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
71.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.4%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.6%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
71.6%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack DunnSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
70.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Phillip Howard at the Minn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0933% → 32%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
66.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+6
65.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 18
-3
66.6%
Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 15 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Tanner MorganSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+2
67.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds , returns for 2 yds to the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 68%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.5%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
71.2%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+5
69.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-5
69.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
68.2%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere DikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
65.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
65.7%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Clay GearySimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+15
66.8%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Brown-Stephens, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Burton, Donte) 15 yards to the MINN30, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
64.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
64.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive offside (Nick Herbig) to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+21
63.1%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
62.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-4
62.4%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
64.1%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal touching (Daniel Jackson) to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
66.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
66.6%
Chase Wolf run for 2 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-7
66.5%
Wolf, Chase rush for 9 yards to the WIS22, out-of-bounds (Sori-Marin, M), PENALTY WIS holding (Beach, Tyler) 7 yards to the WIS6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 6
0
66.3%
Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake FergusonSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+13
65.0%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 13 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
64.7%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:5240% → 47%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
60.4%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 31 yds to the WISCONSIN 23 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
58.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
58.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
52.9%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Cam WileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3559% → 79%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.8%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+24
57.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 24 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
63.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 8 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
63.4%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
65.1%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 23 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
65.1%
Chimere Dike run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 11Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
65.1%
Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the Minn 4Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.6%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Jack Dunn for 4 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Leo ChenalSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
75.6%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
76.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds , returns for 5 yds to the Minn 32 MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:5179% → 88%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
78.7%
Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+9
78.8%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
80.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
80.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
80.5%
Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
80.5%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 1 yd to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+3
88.2%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:5016% → 52%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+24
83.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 24 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
81.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+7
81.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+20
81.0%
Seth Green pass complete to Bryce Witham for 20 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
79.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
79.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-1
81.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+4
82.6%
Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.3%
Treyson Potts run for no gain to the Wisc 9Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.3%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Treyson PottsSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
48.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 9 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0060% → 66%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
60.3%
Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
60.1%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Jack Dunn for 7 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
59.3%
Mason Stokke run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
61.2%
Wolf, Chase pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere (St-Juste, B), PENALTY MINN pass interference (St-Juste, B) 15 yards to the WIS41, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
63.9%
Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 1
50
+10
66.2%
Garrett Groshek run for 10 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
66.4%
Chase Wolf pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 53%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
51.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 10 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
51.2%
Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Jackson, Daniel, PENALTY MINN holding (Andries, Blaise) 10 yards to the MINN20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+20
52.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 20 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-13
47.5%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Leo Chenal for a loss of 13 yards to the Minn 27 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Conner Olson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22Uncategorized
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-2
62.4%
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+37.6
TD · Q4 4:40
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 9 yds for a TD ( KICK)
-31.1
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 12
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com