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NEB

Nebraska 28 at Rutgers 21

RUTG
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 18, 2020 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+13.1RUTG 55.0%Isaih Pacheco run for 33 yds for a TD,(Artur Sitkowski pass to Bo Melton forTwo-Point Conversion)AWAY 7 - HOME 14 · Q2 3:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:19 · Isaih Pacheco run for 33 yds for a TD, (Artur Sitkowski pass to Bo Melton for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior−10.2Home team on offense+6.5Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:19: Isaih Pacheco run for 33 yds for a TD, (Artur Sitkowski pass to Bo Melton for Two-Point Conversion) — RUTG win probability +13.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:06: Adrian Martinez run for 41 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +17.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:53: Connor Culp kickoff for 63 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 98 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +19.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:43: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +21.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:55: Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +24.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 10NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 8:55RUTG 4th & 5 at NEB 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:20NEB 4th & 4 at RUTG 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:11RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:26RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:12NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 11, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:20RUTG 4th & 7 at NEB 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:07NEB 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:20RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 32, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:52RUTG 4th & 1 at NEB 42, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:19RUTG 4th & 1 at NEB 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−2.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:23NEB 4th & 3 at RUTG 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:02RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:52RUTG 4th & 9 at NEB 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:02RUTG 4th & 12 at NEB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−2.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00NEB 4th & 2 at RUTG 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−1.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 10:07NEB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:19RUTG Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:06NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:53RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:43NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:55NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:0668% → 66%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
32.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
32.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-2
33.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+10
33.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
33.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+3
33.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Alante Brown for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+12
33.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 27 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Rutgr , return for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2FG
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2035% → 36%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+50
34.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 50 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
35.2%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+7
35.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 7 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
35.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Shameen JonesSimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
35.8%
Valentino Ambrosio 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:2064% → 63%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
35.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 8 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+23
36.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 23 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
35.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
35.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-2
36.1%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
36.8%
Adrian Martinez punt for 45 yds, downed at the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4937% → 37%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
36.9%
Johnny Langan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+11
37.0%
Johnny Langan run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
37.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-7 Yards) to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
37.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-1
37.3%
Isaih Pacheco run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+5
37.2%
Artur Sitkowski run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
37.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
37.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 47 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by RutgrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2439% → 38%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
39.1%
Isaih Pacheco run for no gain to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
39.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
38.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Bo MeltonSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 10
OWN 47
-5
37.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
37.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 55 yds, downed at the Neb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0661% → 59%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
39.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 5 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 5
OWN 8
-4
39.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-2
39.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-2 Yards) to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
39.3%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+9
40.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 9 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+11
40.7%
Tyler Crawford punt for 47 yds , Avery Young returns for 11 yds to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3041% → 45%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
40.9%
Aaron Young run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
41.0%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+17
40.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Shameen Jones for 17 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
41.9%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-6
42.1%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Pheldarius Payne for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+6
41.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aaron Young for 6 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
44.9%
Valentino Ambrosio 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0957% → 63%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi FalckSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
43.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
42.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 11 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
42.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+43
42.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 43 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
41.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Chris Hickman for no gain to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
41.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:0840% → 40%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
39.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
39.0%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
38.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaih PachecoSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 14
OWN 32
+17
37.9%
Adam Korsak run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
41.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
42.3%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Christian Dremel for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
41.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-1
40.1%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:0164% → 65%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+16
36.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 16 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
35.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
35.7%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Mike Tverdov for a loss of 10 yards to the RUTGERS 49 NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+38
36.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 38 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
34.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
34.5%
Dedrick Mills run for no gain to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
34.9%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted, touchback. Christian Izien return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:0140% → 55%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
39.6%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 21 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
40.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+12
42.5%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
43.2%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 6 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
43.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
43.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+33
55.0%
Isaih Pacheco run for 33 yds for a TD, (Artur Sitkowski pass to Bo Melton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:3747% → 47%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
53.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Ireland Burke for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+10
54.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 10 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+5
55.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 5 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
54.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
52.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
51.6%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Tyshon Fogg for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+9
55.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 9 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
53.1%
Tyler Crawford punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
58.4%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4860% → 58%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
60.4%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Bo Melton for 2 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-13
61.2%
Artur Sitkowski sacked by Caleb Tannor for a loss of 13 yards to the Rutgr 38 Artur Sitkowski fumbled, forced by Caleb Tannor, recovered by Rutgr Isaih Pacheco , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 21
OWN 38
+10
58.7%
Johnny Langan run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
57.7%
Adam Korsak punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cam Taylor-Britt at the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3641% → 59%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
58.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-5
59.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 8Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+4
60.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+18
61.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 18 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
59.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+11
60.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
59.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
57.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+41
40.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 41 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:3238% → 40%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
59.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-9
60.5%
Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Christian Izien return for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4471% → 68%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
70.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-1
69.3%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 21
OWN 44
+12
69.2%
Johnny Langan run for 12 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
70.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, downed at the Neb 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 4:5735% → 57%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
64.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+7
65.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
65.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
65.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
66.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+32
64.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 32 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
60.8%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 34 Dedrick Mills fumbled, recovered by Neb Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+22
61.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Alante Brown for 22 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
62.8%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-1
63.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+14
42.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:3255% → 50%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.7%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
53.6%
Bo Melton run for 9 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+6
55.7%
Isaih Pacheco run for 6 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
56.8%
Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
57.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Aron CruickshankSimilar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
56.1%
Artur Sitkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 7
OPP 38
-5
52.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
50.0%
Adam Korsak punt for 35 yds, downed at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:5552% → 84%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
48.1%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+50
48.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 50 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
42.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+16
40.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 16 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
40.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+6
40.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.9%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
40.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.5%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:4625% → 29%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
24.8%
Johnny Langan run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
25.4%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+8
28.0%
Johnny Langan run for 8 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
29.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
29.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
28.5%
Johnny Langan pass intercepted Cam Taylor-Britt return for no gain to the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
20 plays · 63 yds · 7:1681% → 96%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
19.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 11 yds to the Neb 20 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 9
OWN 10
+4
18.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+9
18.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
16.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
13.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+15
13.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 15 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
11.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 5
OPP 49
-2
10.3%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
10.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 6
50
+4
8.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 4 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+11
7.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
4.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
4.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+7
4.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 14
OPP 25
-3
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:55
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)
-24.5
TD · Q3 0:43
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 14 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q3 8:53
Connor Culp kickoff for 63 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 98 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com