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STAN

Stanford 48 at UCLA 47

UCLA
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 19, 2020 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:42 · Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 46Home team on offense−4.5Pregame prior+12.5Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:16: Austin Jones run for 1 yd for a TD — STAN win probability +18.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:07: Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 17 yds for a TD — UCLA win probability +20.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 14:54: Chase Griffin pass complete to Chase Cota for 23 yds for a TD ( KICK) — UCLA win probability +27.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:18: Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 21 yds for a TD ( KICK) — STAN win probability +45.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UCLA win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 13:42UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:22STAN 4th & 9 at UCLA 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q3 12:40STAN 4th & 21 at STAN 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−6.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  4. Q3 7:19UCLA 4th & 4 at STAN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q4 14:54STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  6. Q4 1:38STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:02STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:16STAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:07UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:54UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:39UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:34STAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:18STAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−2.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · -2 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.1%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 13 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
67.1%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for no gain to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-10
67.1%
Thmpsn-Robinson rush for 14 yards to the STAN35 (Robinson,C), PENALTY UCLA holding (Marrazzo, Sam) 10 yards to the UCLA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 41
-18
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 18 yards to the UCLA 23 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 36
OWN 23
+9
67.1%
Luke Akers punt for 47 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 9 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:5434% → 38%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+34
66.2%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 34 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
66.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
66.3%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+9
66.3%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.1%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
66.1%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.4%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:1763% → 65%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
63.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Delon HurtSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
63.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
63.8%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+13
64.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 13 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete, broken up by Thomas BookerSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
64.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
64.6%
Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+5
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-10
63.1%
Fernea, Ethan rush for 8 yards to the STAN0, clock 02:45, PENALTY UCLA holding (Anderson, Alec) 10 yards to the STAN18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+1
62.9%
Ethan Fernea run for 1 yd to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+4
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 4 yds to the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3937% → 44%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to E.J. Smith for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
62.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
62.7%
Davis Mills run for 3 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
62.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 19 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+42
61.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 42 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.9%
Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
55.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 17 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.1%
Ethan Fernea run for no gain to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
56.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-8
57.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 13
OWN 45
-3
55.1%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:0345% → 51%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
55.0%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+7
55.1%
Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+24
54.8%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 24 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
53.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 3 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
53.5%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+13
53.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
53.3%
Davis Mills run for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
53.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
53.3%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
48.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
49.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 70 yds · 0:0049% → 52%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+23
49.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 23 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
49.8%
Brittain Brown run for 24 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
51.6%
STANFORD Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+5
51.7%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
53.0%
Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
53.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-5
53.0%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
51.6%
Chase Griffin run for no gain to the Stanf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:4553% → 73%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
47.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 3 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
46.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 16 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+32
45.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 17 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Qwuantrezz Knight) to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
44.9%
Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
44.9%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+17
45.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 17 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
44.9%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.7%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
32.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:2070% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.2%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.2%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
30.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 12 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
28.9%
Davis Mills sacked by Otito Ogbonnia and Mitchell Agude for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 35
-7
30.3%
Davis Mills sacked by Carl Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 24
OWN 28
+3
27.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+4
27.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 40 yds , returns for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:4128% → 27%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
27.8%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
27.9%
Brittain Brown run for 10 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
29.4%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+29
29.3%
Brittain Brown run for 29 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
30.7%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
30.7%
Griffin, Chase pass incomplete to Philips, Kyle, PENALTY STAN roughing passer (Herron,S) 10 yards to the STAN9, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
27.4%
Keegan Jones run for 9 yds for a TD ( KICK) RJ Lopez kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 5 yds to the Stanf 30 Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43 Davis Mills pass intercepted return for no gain to the UCLA 40 ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
36.0%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
34.9%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
35.0%
Davis Mills pass intercepted return for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:1236% → 56%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
35.9%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
36.5%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
37.5%
Griffin, Chase pass complete to Hurt, Delon for 2 yards to the STAN46, PENALTY UCLA holding (Anderson, Alec) 10 yards to the UCLA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+2
35.1%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+19
34.8%
Brittain Brown run for 19 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
37.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 40 Chase Griffin fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+1
36.5%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+8
35.9%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 8 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+14
35.6%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 14 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
55.9%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 17 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14INT
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:0053% → 57%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+45
46.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 45 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
42.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
42.5%
Davis Mills run for 2 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
43.0%
Davis Mills pass intercepted return for no gain to the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:2547% → 76%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
47.4%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+18
47.0%
Chase Griffin run for 18 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
48.9%
Brittain Brown run for 41 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
76.0%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Chase Cota for 23 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.1%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
67.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 7 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.7%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
65.5%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+1
68.5%
Davis Mills run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-5
69.6%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (Davis Mills) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+5
70.2%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+28
70.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 41 , returns for 28 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 0:0075% → 86%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
75.2%
Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
76.1%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Greg Dulcich, broken up by Malik AntoineSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
75.6%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+16
73.4%
Brittain Brown run for 16 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
76.2%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
76.6%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+16
75.2%
Keegan Jones run for 16 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
76.6%
Jones, Keegan rush for 6 yards to the STAN7, out-of-bounds (Antoine,M), PENALTY UCLA holding (Rhyan, Sean) 10 yards to the STAN23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 20
OPP 23
-4
76.6%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 24
OPP 27
+1
75.3%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 23
OPP 26
+18
73.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Brittain Brown for 18 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 5
OPP 8
-5
85.5%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (Chase Griffin) to the Stanf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4915% → 7%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.9%
Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-39
93.0%
Davis Mills pass intercepted for a TD return for 39 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:056% → 15%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.8%
Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
92.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 8 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.9%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+24
93.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 24 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
92.6%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 11 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
91.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+4
91.5%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+6
96.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 6 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.4%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
96.4%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Scooter HarringtonSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 11 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4795% → 96%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
94.7%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+1
94.7%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-3
95.7%
Chase Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 28 Chase Griffin fumbled, forced by Stephen Herron, recovered by Stanf Dalyn Wade-PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:209% → 61%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
91.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 9 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
89.8%
Davis Mills pass incomplete Davis Mills fumbled, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+1
90.7%
Davis Mills run for 1 yd to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
90.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+20
88.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 20 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
83.8%
Davis Mills run for 8 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+21
38.6%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 21 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22END OF HALF
22 plays · 0 yds · 15:1858% → 66%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.4%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (Chase Griffin) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
57.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 16Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
82.1%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
80.4%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
79.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 7 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
80.4%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
80.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Houston Heimuli for 3 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+8
86.0%
Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
79.3%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.3%
Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds for a TD ( KICK)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
82.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 11 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
80.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
86.4%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+9
86.3%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
75.7%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
82.1%
Chase Griffin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-12
82.1%
Chase Griffin sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 12 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 21
0
71.6%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Delon HurtSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+21
66.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 21 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-66.2
TD · Q4 0:18
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 21 yds for a TD ( KICK)
-45.3
TD · Q4 14:54
Chase Griffin pass complete to Chase Cota for 23 yds for a TD ( KICK)
+27
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com