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WKU

Western Kentucky 37 at Charlotte 19

CLT
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 6, 2020 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:17 · John Haggerty punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense−9.0Score differential−4.7Pregame prior+6.9Garbage-time factor−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:44: A.J. Brathwaite Jr. 2 Yd Fumble Return (Brayden Narveson Kick) — WKU win probability +6.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Gaej Walker run for 1 yd Gaej Walker fumbled, forced by Tyriq Harris, recovered by WKent Jordan Meredith for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +14.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:30: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +6.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:18: Brayden Narveson 46 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +8.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:16: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +14.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 1 at CLT 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47WKU 4th & 2 at CLT 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:44CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 34, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:44CLT 4th & 1 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.4%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:44CLT 4th & 11 at WKU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:17WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:18WKU 4th & 6 at CLT 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:18CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:16CLT 4th & 21 at CLT 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:44WKU 4th & 9 at CLT 31, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:44CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:33WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 27, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:54CLT 4th & 3 at WKU 3, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:50WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 11, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:36CLT 4th & 6 at WKU 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:44WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:30CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:16WKU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:01CLT Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:22WKU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:31CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
62.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the WKent 43 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by WKent Tyrrell Pigrome for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
62.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malachi Corley for 10 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+34
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for 34 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.2%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
62.0%
Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the Charl 2Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+11
61.9%
Tre Harbison III run for 11 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
62.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
62.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 15
OWN 8
0
61.9%
Dom Shoffner run for no gain to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 15
OWN 8
0
61.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
61.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 71 yds, downed at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:0738% → 40%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
61.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malachi Corley for 13 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
61.4%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
61.2%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+37
61.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 37 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
60.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
60.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
60.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
59.8%
Brayden Narveson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · -23 yds · 3:0360% → 52%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
59.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
60.7%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
60.3%
Dom Shoffner run for 8 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-7
60.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 34
0
58.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 17
OWN 34
+2
52.1%
A.J. Brathwaite Jr. 2 Yd Fumble Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
53.0%
Micaleous Elder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
53.0%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jeremy Darvin) to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+13
53.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
53.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
54.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
53.9%
Dom Shoffner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 1
50
+4
53.5%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
54.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood, broken up by Dionté RuffinSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
54.3%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
53.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
52.8%
Connor Bowler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:0849% → 56%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
50.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jordan Meredith) to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+17
51.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 17 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
50.7%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-13
50.3%
WALKER, G. rush for 1 yard to the WKU27 (MURRAY, Tyler;DELUCA, Ben), PENALTY WKU personal foul (TINSLEY, M.) 13 yards to the WKU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+15
51.0%
PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to CORLEY, M., PENALTY CLT pass interference (ROGERS, Solomon) 15 yards to the WKU28, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
50.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
50.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 9 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
50.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
49.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+10
50.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 10 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
49.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
43.7%
John Haggerty punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
43.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
44.2%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
43.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
42.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+5
42.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 35 , Mitchell Tinsley returns for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 2:3958% → 76%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
42.3%
Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
41.2%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
41.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Terez Traynor for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+16
42.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 16 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
40.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 7 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-2
39.3%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+13
39.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 13 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
38.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
23.7%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd Gaej Walker fumbled, forced by Tyriq Harris, recovered by WKent Jordan Meredith for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0732% → 30%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
30.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler Ringwood, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
29.6%
Tre Harbison III run for 9 yds to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3029% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.2%
Tre Harbison III run for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-3
30.1%
Tre Harbison III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
29.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Tre Harbison III) to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
28.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 26 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
31.7%
Tre Harbison III run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
31.7%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY WKU offside (BAILEY, K.) 5 yards to the WKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
32.1%
Micaleous Elder run for 3 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
31.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
32.7%
Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+24
32.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 24 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
33.4%
Tre Harbison III run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 5Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:1264% → 74%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
36.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 29 yds to the CHARLOTTE 46 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
34.5%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
34.3%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
34.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
34.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
34.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Lance McMillanSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
26.0%
Brayden Narveson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
29.0%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+2
29.1%
Tre Harbison III run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
28.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron DollarSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
28.1%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:1080% → 95%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
20.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 15 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
20.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+37
20.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 37 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
19.5%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 3Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.8%
Tre Harbison III run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
7.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Trae Meadows for a loss of 14 yards to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
7.7%
Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds, downed at the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:4496% → 96%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
4.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 15 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
3.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 10 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
3.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
3.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Nafees LyonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
4.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dakota ThomasSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
3.6%
Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
4.2%
Victor Tucker run for 5 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
4.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tre Harbison IIISimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
4.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Dominique BradshawSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
4.2%
Connor Bowler punt for 55 yds, downed at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
3.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
3.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jakairi MosesSimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+8
3.2%
John Haggerty punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 33 , Micaleous Elder returns for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:403% → 3%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
3.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
50
+33
3.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 33 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
4.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 7 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
4.0%
Tre Harbison III run for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
4.0%
Dom Shoffner run for 1 yd to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
4.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Juwuan JonesSimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tre Harbison IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
1.5%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+2
1.5%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+1
1.5%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
1.5%
John Haggerty punt for 57 yds, downed at the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:351% → 4%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
1.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 26 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.5%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
1.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
1.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tyler RingwoodSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+8
1.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
4.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3997% → 100%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
2.7%
Chase Jones run for 3 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
2.7%
Chase Jones run for no gain to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+17
2.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malachi Corley for 17 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
2.1%
Noah Whittington run for 10 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
2.0%
Chase Jones run for 16 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.4%
Chase Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:511% → 2%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
0.9%
Dom Shoffner run for 19 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.9%
Tre Harbison III run for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+29
0.9%
Tre Harbison III run for 29 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
0.7%
Dom Shoffner run for 2 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
1.8%
Dom Shoffner pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 14 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Cameron Dollar) to the WKent 8 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:19
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd Gaej Walker fumbled, forced by Tyriq Harris, recovered by WKent Jordan Meredith for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-14.9
TD · Q3 3:16
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-14.5
FG · Q3 7:18
Brayden Narveson 46 yd FG GOOD
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com