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Louisiana Tech 10 at TCU 52

TCU
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:29 · Jacob Barnes punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+31.2Blowout margin+17.2Garbage-time factor+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:17: Max Duggan run for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +1.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:33: Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 76 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:56: Zach Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:11: Quentin Johnston run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:46: Zach Evans run for 75 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:15LT 4th & 1 at LT 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:35TCU 4th & 2 at LT 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45LT 4th & 23 at LT 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18TCU 4th & 6 at LT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:45LT 4th & 3 at LT 19, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:00LT 4th & 1 at TCU 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14LT 4th & 7 at TCU 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:42LT 4th & 4 at LT 41, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:37LT 4th & 1 at TCU 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:48LT 4th & 12 at TCU 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:35TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 32, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:44LT 4th & 1 at TCU 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:40TCU 4th & 4 at LT 47, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:29LT 4th & 15 at LT 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:17TCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:33TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:56TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:11TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:46TCU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:19TCU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:13LT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:31TCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:348% → 8%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
92.4%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+4
92.3%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+1
92.2%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+6
92.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 32 yds , Derius Davis returns for 6 yds to the LaTch 19 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:3392% → 91%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+23
92.0%
Zach Evans run for 23 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
92.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 9 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+5
91.8%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
91.7%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-3
91.6%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+9
91.4%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 2
OPP 4
-2
91.1%
Chase Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 3:459% → 10%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
91.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 9 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 1
OWN 15
-5
90.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Dakota White) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 10
0
90.9%
Smoke Harris run for no gain to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+10
90.7%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.5%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-8
90.3%
Luke Anthony sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-5
90.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 20
OWN 10
-3
90.1%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 7Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 23
OWN 7
+4
90.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 40 yds , Derius Davis returns for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:2090% → 89%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
90.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 19 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
90.1%
Zach Evans run for 16 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.9%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
89.8%
Max Duggan sacked by Deshon Hall and Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
89.4%
TCU Penalty, False Start (T.J. Storment) to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+8
89.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 8 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
89.2%
Griffin Kell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:1911% → 11%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
89.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (-7 Yards) to the LaTch 8Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 17
OWN 8
-17
89.1%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted C.J. Ceasar II return for 17 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3890% → 91%
Q1 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
89.6%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.0%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0710% → 9%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
90.5%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
90.5%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
90.6%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
90.7%
Jacob Barnes punt for 47 yds , Derius Davis returns for no gain to the TCU 19 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
93.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 76 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:327% → 7%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
93.2%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
93.2%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+15
93.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 15 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
93.2%
Aaron Allen sacked by Garret Wallow for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 23 Aaron Allen fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5494% → 96%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.9%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+11
93.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 11 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
93.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Blake Hickey) to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
94.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 8 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.9%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 4:265% → 4%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
95.4%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 7 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+6
95.5%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.5%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+29
95.6%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 29 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.4%
Luke Anthony run for 4 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
95.3%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
95.6%
Harlan Dixon run for 4 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
95.4%
Harlan Dixon run for 1 yd to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
95.1%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
95.1%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
95.5%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
95.6%
Jacob Barnes 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:5896% → 99%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Carter WareSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
96.3%
Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+21
96.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 21 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+23
96.6%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
96.7%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+8
96.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 8 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
96.8%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
96.9%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
97.0%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 2 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Quentin Johnston run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
99.1%
Luke Anthony sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 11 yards to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+3
99.2%
Luke Anthony run for 3 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+2
99.2%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.4%
Zach Evans run for 75 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+7
99.4%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+13
99.5%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 13 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted C.J. Ceasar II return for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.5%
Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-2
99.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+38
99.6%
Kendre Miller run for 38 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.6%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Wayne Toussant for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+8
99.7%
Aaron Allen run for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Jacob Barnes punt for 34 yds , Derius Davis returns for no gain to the TCU 25 Derius Davis fumbled, recovered by LaTchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.7%
Smoke Harris run for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
99.7%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.6%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.7%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.7%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-6
99.7%
Luke Anthony sacked by La'Kendrick Van Zandt for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
99.7%
Jacob Barnes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-2
99.8%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 1 yd to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 7:150% → 0%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
99.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Tahj Magee for 10 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
99.8%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+5
99.8%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+27
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 27 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+7
99.8%
Greg Garner run for 7 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Greg Garner run for 6 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+10
99.9%
Harlan Dixon run for 10 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.9%
Harlan Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Harlan Dixon run for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 13 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 7
50
0
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 7
50
+3
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Harlan Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+7
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 7 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 6 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Colt Ellison) to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+21
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 21 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Cee Jay PowellSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-5
100.0%
Luke Anthony sacked by Dylan Horton for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 47 Luke Anthony fumbled, recovered by LaTchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
1 play · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:29
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Jacob Barnes punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+89
100.0%
Kendre Miller run for 89 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Greg Garner run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-7
100.0%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:33
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 76 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 11:56
Zach Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 2:11
Quentin Johnston run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com