Try the model
MIA

Miami 48 at Duke 0

DUKE
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Wallace Wade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:15 · Porter Wilson punt for 54 yds , Mike Harley returns for no gain to the MiaFl 9 Mike Harley fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Mike Harley
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−39.7Pregame prior−17.2Score differential−19.0Garbage-time factor−7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:01: D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 24 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +0.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:15: Cam'Ron Harris run for 34 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +2.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:07: D'Eriq King run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +5.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:15: D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:48: D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 89 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:46DUKE 4th & 14 at MIA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:52MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:12DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01DUKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00DUKE 4th & 1 at MIA 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−1.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00DUKE 4th & 1 at MIA 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:07DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:31MIA 4th & 4 at DUKE 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:06DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:15DUKE 4th & 18 at DUKE 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:38MIA 4th & 1 at DUKE 18, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00DUKE 4th & 6 at MIA 46, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:50MIA 4th & 18 at DUKE 35, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:39MIA 4th & 6 at DUKE 15, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:01MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:15MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:07MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:15MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:48MIA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:03MIA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
14.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 35 Jaylan Knighton fumbled, forced by Leonard Johnson, recovered by Duke Chris Rumph IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
14.4%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-4
14.4%
Chase Brice sacked by Quincy Roche and Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
14.4%
Chase Brice run for no gain to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q1 14:46
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
14.4%
Porter Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the MiaFl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
15.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 13 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
15.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
15.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-6
15.3%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 18 D'Eriq King fumbled, recovered by MiaFl D'Eriq KingSimilar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
15.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 41 yds, downed at the Duke 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
16.2%
DUKE Penalty, false start (Jacob Monk) to the Duke 36Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-1
16.1%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
16.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for no gain to the Duke 35Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
16.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
15.9%
Porter Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:3983% → 84%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
16.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
16.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Brevin Jordan, broken up by Michael Carter IISimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+16
17.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 16 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
16.8%
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
16.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
16.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+19
16.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 19 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
16.5%
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+10
16.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 10 yds to the Duke 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
16.4%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
16.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 24 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
16.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
16.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 9 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
17.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
17.2%
Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 46Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+2
16.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 2 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
16.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr., broken up by Te'Cory CouchSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
16.6%
Porter Wilson punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4783% → 86%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
17.0%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
17.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
17.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 8 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, personal foul (Christian Hood) to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
16.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
14.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 34 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 31 yds · 1:1515% → 16%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 12 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
15.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 4 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
15.5%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
15.6%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
15.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Marwede for 9 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
15.8%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
15.7%
Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
15.6%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
15.8%
Brice, C. pass incomplete to Smith, M., PENALTY DU holding (Holman, C.) 10 yards to the DU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+4
15.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+9
15.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+6
15.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-11
15.7%
Eli Pancol run for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaFl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:3486% → 92%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
13.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Michael Carter IISimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+31
13.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 31 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
13.6%
D'Eriq King run for 8 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+6
13.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
8.2%
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
9.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 1 yd to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
9.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
10.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for no gain to the Duke 39Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+5
9.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Marwede for 5 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+33
10.3%
Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the DUKE 18 DUKE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
8.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+4
8.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
8.8%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
9.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jontavis Robertson at the Duke 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
9.5%
Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-1
9.7%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 32 Deon Jackson fumbled, forced by Nesta Jade Silvera, recovered by MiaFl Quincy RocheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3092% → 92%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
7.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 33Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+3
7.6%
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+4
7.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 4 yds to the Duke 26Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
7.9%
Jose Borregales 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:259% → 10%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
9.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
8.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 3 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
9.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+17
9.8%
Porter Wilson punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 6 , Mike Harley returns for 17 yds to the MiaFl 46 MIAMI FL Penalty, illegal block (25 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
9.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 5Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+6
9.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
8.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+16
8.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 16 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
9.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
50
+8
9.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
9.6%
Deon Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
9.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 1 yd to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
9.7%
Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
9.8%
Chase Brice sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 38 Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Corey Flagg Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4395% → 98%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
5.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 8 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
5.1%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
50
-2
5.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+30
5.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 30 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
4.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+8
4.9%
D'Eriq King run for 8 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
4.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Jeremiah LewisSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
4.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 10 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.5%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
3.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, personal foul (D'Eriq King) to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
3.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 5 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-2
3.5%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 44Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-6
3.5%
Chase Brice sacked by Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 38Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 13
OWN 38
-5
3.3%
DUKE Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Lewis) to the Duke 33Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
3.3%
Porter Wilson punt for 54 yds , Mike Harley returns for no gain to the MiaFl 9 Mike Harley fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Mike HarleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19TD
2 plays · 91 yds · 0:3298% → 99%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
1.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+89
0.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 89 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3599% → 100%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
0.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 7 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
0.8%
D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the Duke 18Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+6
1.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the Duke 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
0.8%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the Duke 11Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+10
0.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 10 yds to the Duke 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.4%
Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 23Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.4%
Brice, C. pass incomplete to Pancol, E., PENALTY UM offside (Burns, R) 5 yards to the DU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 6 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
0.4%
Chase Brice run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
50
-2
0.5%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+9
0.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 9 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-3
0.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mataeo Durant for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
0.4%
Porter Wilson punt for 29 yds , Gurvan Hall Jr. returns for no gain to the MiaFl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23FG
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+56
0.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 56 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
0.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the Duke 25Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-10
0.4%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Caleb Oppan for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 35Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 18
OPP 35
+52
0.3%
Jose Borregales 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 6 yds to the Duke 31 Gunnar Holmberg fumbled, forced by Bubba Bolden, recovered by MiaFl Amari CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
0.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
0.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the Duke 18Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
0.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the Duke 15Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
0.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
0.3%
Jose Borregales 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
0.3%
DUKE Penalty, personal foul (Victor Dimukeje) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 26INT
11 plays · 26 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
0.2%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 6 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-3
0.2%
Jordan Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 18Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+7
0.2%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Mark Birmingham for 7 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the Duke 26Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
0.1%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 2 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
0.1%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 13 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
0.1%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Eli Pancol for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
0.1%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 1 yd to the Duke 41Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Gunnar Holmberg pass intercepted Marcus Clarke return for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27Uncategorized
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
0.1%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 31 yds to the Duke 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
0.1%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the Duke 24Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
0.1%
Peyton Matocha run for 1 yd to the Duke 23Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+4
0.1%
Peyton Matocha run for 4 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:07
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q3 8:15
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q1 1:15
Cam'Ron Harris run for 34 yds for a TD, (Jose Borregales KICK)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com