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SDSU

San Diego State 10 at Colorado 20

COLO
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:26 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:50: Sam Noyer pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +7.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:18: Sam Noyer pass intercepted for a TD Darren Hall return for 57 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:01: Evan Price 36 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +6.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:01: Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28 — SDSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. MISSED FG · Q4 12:59: Matt Araiza 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mark Perry — COLO win probability +6.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 10 of 11SDSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17COLO 4th & 1 at SDSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17SDSU 4th & 19 at SDSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:06SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:23SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:50SDSU 4th & 13 at SDSU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04SDSU 4th & 9 at COLO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:59SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:01COLO 4th & 12 at SDSU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−2.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:01SDSU 4th & 15 at SDSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:17COLO 4th & 9 at SDSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:59SDSU 4th & 10 at COLO 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:34COLO 4th & 10 at SDSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−9.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:34SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:13COLO 4th & 14 at COLO 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:07SDSU 4th & 8 at COLO 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−2.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:07COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:12SDSU 4th & 13 at SDSU 47, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:24COLO 4th & 10 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:17COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:50COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:18SDSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
63.8%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
63.8%
BJ Busbee run for 6 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
63.8%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
63.8%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
16 plays · 83 yds · 6:0564% → 66%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
63.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 19 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
63.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 16 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.8%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 8 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
63.8%
Joe Davis run for 6 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+13
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 13 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
63.8%
Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
63.8%
Sam Noyer run for 7 yds to the SDSt 8Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
63.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
63.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the SDSt 5Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.8%
Sam Noyer run for no gain to the SDSt 5Similar
Q1 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
63.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 4 yds to the SDSt 1Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.0%
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.7%
Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
65.5%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
65.9%
Carson Baker pass complete to Chance Bell for 9 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
65.5%
Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 16 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
65.0%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
65.6%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to BJ Busbee, broken up by Akil JonesSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 15
OWN 48
-4
65.7%
Carson Baker sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
66.0%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:1767% → 66%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
66.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+9
66.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 9 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
66.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to C.J. Schmanski for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
66.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Maurice BellSimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+6
66.2%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 6 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
66.1%
Josh Watts punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
66.4%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
66.4%
Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+4
66.4%
Jordon Brookshire run for 4 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+7
66.6%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 44 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 7 yds to the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:0767% → 67%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
67.1%
Broussard,Jarek rush for 5 yards to the COLO25 (OLUBI, Segun), PENALTY COLO personal foul (Schmanski, C.J.) 10 yards to the COLO10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
67.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+9
66.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 9 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+4
66.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 4 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+15
66.3%
Watts, Josh punt 44 yards to the SDSU31, fair catch by BUSBEE, BJ, PENALTY SDSU personal foul (KAHO, Vai) 15 yards to the COLO40, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
68.5%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
67.8%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley, broken up by Trenton ThompsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
67.0%
Josh Watts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by BJ Busbee at the SDSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
67.5%
Jesse Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 11Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+2
67.7%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
68.2%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
68.5%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
18 plays · 63 yds · 7:0969% → 77%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
68.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
69.5%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 44Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+15
68.7%
Broussard,Jarek rush for no gain to the COLO44 (THOMPSON, Tariq), PENALTY SDSU face mask (JOHNSON, Dwayne) 15 yards to the SDSU41, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
67.7%
PENALTY COLO personal foul off-setting, PENALTY SDSU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
69.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-12
69.6%
Sam Noyer sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 12 yards to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 20
OWN 49
+10
67.8%
Noyer, Sam pass incomplete to Shenault,La'Von, PENALTY SDSU holding (HAWKINS, Tayler) 10 yards to the SDSU41, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
69.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+15
69.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 15 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
69.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+14
69.8%
Sam Noyer run for 14 yds to the SDSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
69.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Tariq Thompson) to the SDSt 3Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.8%
Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.8%
Joe Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.3%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Tayler Hawkins) to the SDSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.8%
Sam Noyer run for no gain to the SDSt 1Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
69.8%
N/A run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 3Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.4%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.8%
Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 25Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
77.0%
Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 22Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
77.4%
Carson Baker pass incomplete, broken up by Nate LandmanSimilar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+13
77.6%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 41 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
50
-57
73.2%
Sam Noyer pass intercepted for a TD Darren Hall return for 57 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:2672% → 72%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.8%
Sam Noyer run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
71.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
71.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.9%
Josh Watts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:4027% → 31%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
73.3%
Jordon Brookshire run for 10 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
72.6%
Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
72.3%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+22
70.8%
Kaegun Williams run for 22 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.6%
Jordon Brookshire run for 5 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
68.3%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to BJ BusbeeSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-4
69.6%
Jordon Brookshire sacked by Nate Landman for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
69.0%
Matt Araiza 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
68.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
N/A run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.3%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
65.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 15 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
68.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
68.5%
Sam Noyer pass complete to C.J. Schmanski for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
50
-8
68.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
64.9%
Josh Watts punt for 41 yds, downed at the SDSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
65.8%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to BJ Busbee for no gain to the SDSt 17Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
66.3%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-1
67.4%
Jordon Brookshire sacked by Nate Landman for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
68.1%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 44 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for no gain to the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:4071% → 77%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
70.8%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+6
69.1%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 6 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
69.3%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 18 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
71.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 13 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
72.7%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+10
72.6%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 10 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
72.7%
Joe Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 18Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
72.6%
Joe Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 18Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
71.0%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to C.J. Schmanski, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
77.1%
Evan Price 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.6%
Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
73.2%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-3
75.2%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
75.9%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
79.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 14 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
80.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the SDSt 44Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
80.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. Nixon, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
79.1%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brenden Rice, broken up by Tayler HawkinsSimilar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
77.1%
Josh Watts punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:0325% → 20%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
75.1%
COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Derrion Rakestraw) to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
74.4%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (Jacob Capra) to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+2
75.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+5
75.1%
Jordon Brookshire run for 5 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
75.7%
BROOKSHIRE, J. pass incomplete to BUSBEE, BJ, QB hurry by Jones, Akil, PENALTY COLO roughing passer (Jones, Akil) 15 yards to the SDSU46, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
72.1%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 3 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
71.6%
Chance Bell run for 8 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
71.3%
Chance Bell run for no gain to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
71.6%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
73.1%
Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.6%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
71.7%
Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-1
73.8%
Jordon Brookshire sacked by Nate Landman for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
80.1%
Matt Araiza 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mark PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2585% → 86%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
84.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to C.J. SchmanskiSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+10
83.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 10 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
86.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+26
86.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 26 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
86.9%
Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
86.9%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to C.J. SchmanskiSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-2
85.9%
Sam Noyer sacked by Connor Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
86.3%
Evan Price 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
87.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 20Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+4
89.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 21
OWN 24
+17
89.2%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 17 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
87.2%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Isaiah LewisSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
88.5%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
89.3%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 14
OWN 4
-3
89.1%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 1Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 17
OWN 1
+3
88.7%
Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 14
OWN 4
0
87.8%
Josh Watts punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1011% → 8%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
89.4%
Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 14 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
88.0%
Jordon Brookshire run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
88.0%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
91.2%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
92.0%
Matt Araiza 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 91%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
92.6%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+1
92.1%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+1
92.0%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 26 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+17
91.4%
Josh Watts punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Jesse Matthews returns for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
50
0
93.9%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to BJ BusbeeSimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
50
0
93.9%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 10
50
-3
94.4%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+3
95.5%
Jordon Brookshire run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:5396% → 97%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
50
0
95.6%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
50
-2
95.5%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+2
96.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 10
50
0
96.5%
Josh Watts punt for 44 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for no gain to the SDSt 7 Jesse Matthews fumbled, recovered by SDSt Jesse Matthews , return for 1 yd to the SDSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
97.1%
Jordon Brookshire run for 3 yds to the SDSt 10Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
97.0%
Jordon Brookshire pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+20
97.1%
Jordon Brookshire run for 20 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Curtis Appleton IISimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-6
97.0%
Jordon Brookshire pass intercepted Curtis Appleton II return for 6 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:50
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)
+7.6
MISSED FG · Q4 12:59
Matt Araiza 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mark Perry
+6.3
FG · Q3 6:01
Evan Price 36 yd FG GOOD
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com