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Oklahoma 27 at Iowa State 21

ISU
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 19, 2020 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:54 · Joe Rivera punt for 43 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 7 yds to the IowSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense−8.5Pregame prior−8.4Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:52: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 45 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:34: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +8.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:37: Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +12.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:12: Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +11.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:15: Breece Hall run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +27.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 9:17ISU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:14OU 4th & 9 at ISU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:27ISU 4th & 8 at OU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:03ISU 4th & 16 at ISU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29OU 4th & 8 at ISU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:34OU 4th & 7 at ISU 37, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:30ISU 4th & 2 at OU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:52OU 4th & 1 at OU 29, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:17ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:58OU 4th & 1 at OU 34, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:14OU 4th & 9 at OU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:42ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 32, down 17
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:41OU 4th & 18 at ISU 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:31OU 4th & 11 at OU 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:19ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:35OU 4th & 5 at ISU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:01OU 4th & 5 at ISU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−21.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:05OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:34ISU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:12ISU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:15ISU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5062% → 63%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+28
37.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 13 yds to the IOWAST 49 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Targeting (Isheem Young) to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down. Young ejected.Similar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
37.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+19
37.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 19 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
38.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 12 yds to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the IowSt 2Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.4%
Chandler Morris run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4338% → 38%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.7%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
38.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
38.0%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+6
37.7%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+6
37.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 2
50
0
38.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:0162% → 63%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
37.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 15 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
37.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-9
37.2%
Rattler, Spencer rush for 6 yards to the OKLAHOMA38, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Humphrey, Creed) 9 yards to the OKLAHOMA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+24
37.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 24 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
36.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
36.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 8 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
36.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 17 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
36.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 4 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-5
36.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+2
36.3%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
36.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
36.8%
Gabe Brkic 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:4337% → 37%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
37.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+28
37.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 28 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
38.8%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
38.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
39.0%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
39.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Tre BrownSimilar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
38.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
37.3%
Connor Assalley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:2864% → 70%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
36.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
36.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
36.1%
Mikey Henderson run for 4 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
35.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 16 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
30.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 45 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:4732% → 31%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
31.9%
Purdy, Brock rush for 1 yard to the IOWAST26, PENALTY IOWAST illegal block (Simmons Jr., Darrell) 12 yards to the IOWAST13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
31.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 22
OWN 13
-5
31.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Colin Newell) to the IowSt 8Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 27
OWN 8
+1
31.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+10
30.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
30.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 31 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3171% → 71%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
28.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 3 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
28.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+4
28.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 4 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 3
OPP 43
-5
28.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Kasey Kelleher) to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+46
28.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 46 yds, downed at the IowSt 2 IOWA ST Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Aidan Bitter) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3129% → 28%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
29.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
29.1%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
28.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Breece HallSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+7
27.9%
Joe Rivera punt for 43 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1174% → 78%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
26.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
26.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
26.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hall, broken up by Arnold AzunnaSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+54
22.4%
Gabe Brkic 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:0926% → 26%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
25.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 23 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
27.4%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
27.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
27.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+23
25.9%
Brock Purdy run for 23 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
26.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted, touchback. Tre Norwood return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0879% → 80%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
20.6%
Marvin Mims run for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
20.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
20.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
20.5%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:1123% → 32%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
22.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
22.4%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+15
22.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Perrion Winfrey) to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
23.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 25 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
24.0%
Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
23.9%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:4872% → 86%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
27.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 9 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+12
26.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 12 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2720% → 19%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
19.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
19.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-3
18.9%
Brock Purdy sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 22Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
18.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 53 yds, downed at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1782% → 83%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
17.3%
Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
17.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
17.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5018% → 18%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
18.2%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-2
17.7%
Brock Purdy sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+18
17.1%
Brock Purdy run for 18 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
18.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Pat Fields return for 1 yd to the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4685% → 84%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
14.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
14.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo Wease, broken up by JaQuan BaileySimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
15.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2816% → 16%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
16.2%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
16.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+6
15.7%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
15.7%
Joe Rivera punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4986% → 87%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
14.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 6 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
13.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
12.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 20 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
12.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
11.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trejan BridgesSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-11
12.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
12.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:2314% → 26%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
13.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
13.6%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+42
13.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 42 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
15.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
15.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+8
15.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 8 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
14.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
14.7%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.2%
Hall, Breece rush for loss of 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA2, PENALTY OKLAHOMA offside (Perkins, Ronnie) 0 yards to the OKLAHOMA1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.0%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3478% → 77%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
21.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 21 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
20.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
20.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to T.J. PledgerSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
19.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 6
OPP 47
-5
21.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Jaden Davis) to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
22.8%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0620% → 16%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
19.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 4 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-6
19.1%
Brock Purdy sacked by Nik Bonitto and Brian Asamoah for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 13Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+6
17.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 6 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
15.9%
Joe Rivera punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4083% → 86%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
16.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+2
15.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
13.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
13.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
14.5%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:1515% → 44%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
14.7%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 13Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
14.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+20
12.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 20 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
14.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 16 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
15.9%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
16.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
16.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 6 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
16.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
14.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
16.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 19 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
16.5%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.2%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:5976% → 90%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
24.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+15
24.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 15 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
21.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 11 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
19.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
17.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 6 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
16.0%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
15.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
15.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
10.3%
Gabe Brkic 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:4519% → 20%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
19.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nik Bonitto) to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+12
20.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 12 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
21.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+17
23.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 2 yds to the IOWAST 48 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (DaShaun White) to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
26.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen, broken up by Delarrin Turner-YellSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
25.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 15
OPP 38
-5
19.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Sean Foster) to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+9
19.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
20.1%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Tre Brown return for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3594% → 94%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 6Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 11
OWN 6
-1
6.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:15
Breece Hall run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+27.7
TD · Q2 0:37
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 0:12
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com