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MASS

Massachusetts 2 at Florida Atlantic 24

FAU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2020 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:08 · George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlAtl 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+39.0Home team on offense+4.5Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:18: Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40 — MASS win probability +1.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:47: Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:27: Javion Posey run for 70 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:35: Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down — MASS win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:51: Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 49 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST down — FAU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:02FAU 4th & 4 at MASS 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:58MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:01MASS 4th & 1 at FAU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 7 at MASS 20, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:16FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:20MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:20FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:08MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:25FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:37MASS 4th & 9 at FAU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at MASS 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:47MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:27MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:55FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 5 at FAU 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:17FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 49, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:02FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 41, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:58FAU 4th & 6 at MASS 13, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:58MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:30FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 18, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:58FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:47FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:27FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, downed at the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0498% → 98%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
97.9%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
97.9%
James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+18
97.9%
Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 18 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.9%
Javion Posey pass complete to BJ Emmons for 5 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+1
97.9%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+31
97.9%
Javion Posey run for 31 yds to the UMass 1 Javion Posey fumbled, forced by Noah Boykin, recovered by FlAtl TJ Chase for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
97.6%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
97.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-5
97.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+31
97.5%
Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 31 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.6%
Javion Posey run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-5
97.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-7
97.5%
Javion Posey sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 47 Javion Posey fumbled, recovered by UMass Donte Lindsey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
50
+1
97.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+6
97.1%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
97.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
97.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
97.1%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
97.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:1997% → 96%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.8%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+9
96.9%
James Charles run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.9%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+29
96.9%
BJ Emmons run for 29 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
96.9%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+1
96.9%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+4
96.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 20
0
96.2%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Will Koch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.2%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 9 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-2
96.1%
Will Koch run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
96.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
96.0%
Javion Posey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
95.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, downed at the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.6%
Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
95.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.5%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Will Koch for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
95.7%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
95.8%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
95.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1295% → 95%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
95.3%
Javion Posey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
95.3%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
95.1%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 52 yds , Samuel Emilus returns for no gain to the UMass 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
95.2%
Will Koch run for 11 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
95.2%
Will Koch pass complete to Victor Santiago for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+4
95.3%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+10
95.3%
Will Koch pass complete to Melvin Hill for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Josiah Johnson run for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Will Koch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
95.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
94.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+7
94.6%
Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+5
94.4%
Javion Posey run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
94.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
94.7%
Javion Posey sacked by Jake Byczko for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Javion Posey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
94.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 26 yds, downed at the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:417% → 6%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
92.8%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
92.8%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 4
OPP 40
-5
93.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
93.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
93.6%
James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
19 plays · 65 yds · 8:1393% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.4%
Javion Posey run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-5
93.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Nick Weber) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
93.5%
Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
93.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
93.9%
Javion Posey run for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
93.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+10
93.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 10 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-5
93.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Willie Wright run for no gain to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+7
93.3%
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 7 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.0%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
94.0%
POSEY, Javion rush for no gain to the UMASS33 (PEAH, Avien), PENALTY UMASS face mask (PEAH, Avien) 15 yards to the UMASS18, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.0%
BJ Emmons run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
94.0%
Willie Taggart Jr. run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+12
93.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
94.0%
BJ Emmons run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
94.0%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
96.1%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.2%
Will Koch run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-7
95.0%
Will Koch sacked by Ryan Veingrad for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
95.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
98.4%
Javion Posey run for 70 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.7%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.7%
Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 60 yds, downed at the FlAtl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19SF
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3999% → 98%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.8%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
98.8%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
98.8%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to BJ EmmonsSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
97.8%
Matt Hayball punt blocked by Tanner Davis for a SAFETY blocked by Tanner Davis for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:473% → 3%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
97.2%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 11 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
97.2%
Will Koch pass complete to Cam Roberson for 10 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
97.2%
Will Koch run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+5
97.2%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+2
97.5%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-5
97.5%
Will Koch sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to Michael Irvin IISimilar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-4
98.6%
James Charles run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+12
98.5%
Javion Posey run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
97.4%
Will Koch pass intercepted Teja Young return for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.7%
BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
99.3%
Javion Posey sacked by Cole McCubrey for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+19
99.3%
Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 19 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.4%
Javion Posey run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+4
99.3%
Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-3
99.4%
Javion Posey sacked by Avien Peah for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
97.8%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
97.7%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Evan Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+2
97.8%
Garrett Dzuro run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 16
OWN 12
0
97.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:5399% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+49
99.4%
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 49 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Willie Taggart Jr. pass incomplete to Javion Posey, broken up by Gerrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.5%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
99.7%
Vladimir Rivas 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.5%
DZURO, Garrett pass complete to HILL, Melvin for 19 yards to the UMASS44 (MUNGIN, Romain), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (HILL, Melvin) 12 yards to the UMASS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
99.5%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+14
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 14 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.5%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 12 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Victor SantiagoSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Javon TurnerSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
99.8%
James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-9
99.8%
Javion Posey sacked by Gerrell Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+33
99.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Samuel Emilus returns for 33 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-11
99.3%
Garrett Dzuro pass intercepted David Belvin III return for 11 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
99.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 28 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
99.8%
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 13 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
99.8%
Javion Posey sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 15 yards to the UMass 41 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:27
Javion Posey run for 70 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q3 6:47
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+2.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:51
Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 49 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST down
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com