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CAL

California 10 at UCLA 34

UCLA
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 15, 2020 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:48 · Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Cal 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+23.0Pregame prior−1.3Garbage-time factor+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:45: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Charles Njoku for 27 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:10: Chase Garbers run for 8 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK) — CAL win probability +5.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 5:49: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira PAT MISSED) — UCLA win probability +9.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:34: Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 7 yds to the Cal 16 — UCLA win probability +5.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CAL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12CAL 4th & 14 at UCLA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50CAL 4th & 6 at CAL 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:58UCLA 4th & 2 at CAL 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49CAL 4th & 14 at CAL 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32UCLA 4th & 5 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:18UCLA 4th & 10 at CAL 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:34CAL 4th & 13 at CAL 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:03UCLA 4th & 1 at CAL 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−2.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−8.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:03UCLA 4th & 2 at CAL 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−8.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:33CAL 4th & 3 at UCLA 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:12CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 42, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:48UCLA 4th & 1 at CAL 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:33CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:34UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CAL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:58UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:45UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:10CAL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:49UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:17UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:12UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.7%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
39.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
39.7%
Luke Akers punt blocked by Craig Woodson blocked by Craig WoodsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 2FG
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:3860% → 59%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
39.9%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for 2 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+9
39.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
39.9%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
39.9%
Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-11
39.9%
Chase Garbers sacked by Qwuantrezz Knight and Caleb Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
40.8%
Dario Longhetto 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3INT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
40.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
40.9%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
40.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 8 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
41.0%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
40.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 2 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.0%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-20
40.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Camryn Bynum return for 20 yds to the Cal 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
40.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 43Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
40.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
40.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
41.3%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 6:2041% → 46%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
41.3%
Thmpsn-Robinson pass complete to Philips, Kyle for 13 yards to the UCLA25, PENALTY UCLA illegal formation (Philips, Kyle) 5 yards to the UCLA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+3
41.2%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+9
41.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+3
40.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
41.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
41.3%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+18
41.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 18 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+24
42.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 24 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
42.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
42.6%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
42.6%
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
42.6%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.6%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 2Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Elijah HicksSimilar
Q1 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5854% → 53%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
45.9%
Marcel Dancy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
46.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 8 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
46.4%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
47.1%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0447% → 56%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
46.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 17 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
47.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Charles Njoku for 7 yds to the Cal 47Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
48.0%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
48.0%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
47.9%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+18
47.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 18 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-4
48.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 27Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+27
56.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Charles Njoku for 27 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 8TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:3545% → 54%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 13 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
54.1%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+26
54.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for 26 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
53.2%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+5
53.8%
Garbers, Chase pass intercepted by Shaw, Jay at the UCLA0, Shaw, Jay return to the UCLA0, touchback, PENALTY UCLA offside (Toailoa, Leni) 5 yards to the UCLA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
53.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 5 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-1
52.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
53.4%
Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
52.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+12
52.2%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 12 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.2%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai Polk, broken up by Qwuantrezz KnightSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
46.4%
Chase Garbers run for 8 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:1451% → 62%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
51.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+9
52.7%
Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
50
0
53.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Josh DraydenSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
50
+44
52.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 44 yds to the Cal 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Tyson McWilliams for 7 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-6
58.2%
Chase Garbers sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 26Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
60.3%
Chase Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
61.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Daniel Scott) to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
61.2%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
62.4%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
50
0
62.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Brittain BrownSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 5
50
0
61.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 5
50
0
60.3%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, downed at the Cal 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 12INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
61.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 6Similar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+7
62.2%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-13
62.1%
Chase Garbers pass intercepted Caleb Johnson return for 13 yds to the Cal 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:2266% → 78%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
65.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
65.6%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, personal foul (Craig Woodson) to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:3526% → 24%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
74.5%
Dancy, Marcel rush for 6 yards to the CAL31 (Knight, Q), PENALTY CAL face mask (Mettauer, McKad) 12 yards to the CAL13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+6
74.5%
Marcel Dancy run for 6 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-3
75.7%
Damien Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 16Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+11
75.9%
Damien Moore run for 11 yds to the Cal 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
77.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio, broken up by Quentin LakeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
77.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 2 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.7%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
78.6%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+13
78.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 13 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
79.5%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-5
78.5%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (Dorian Thompson-Robinson) to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+5
78.3%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
77.3%
Luke Akers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
83.1%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 7 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+5
82.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 5 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
82.4%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 4 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-2
82.1%
Chase Garbers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 23Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-5
82.9%
Chase Garbers sacked by Mitchell Agude for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 18Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
83.1%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
88.0%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
88.4%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
88.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 11 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
88.5%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+8
88.2%
Keegan Jones run for 8 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
87.4%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Cal 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
88.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Demetric Felton, broken up by Craig WoodsonSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
88.5%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+4
88.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 4 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+1
87.4%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the Cal 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:0811% → 8%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
89.1%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+15
89.1%
Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Remigio, Nikko, dropped pass, PENALTY UCLA roughing passer (Calvert, Bo) 15 yards to the CAL36, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 1 yd to the Cal 37Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-3
88.6%
Chase Garbers sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+15
89.3%
Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Polk, Makai, PENALTY UCLA roughing passer (Manoa, Tyler) 15 yards to the CAL49, 1ST DOWN CAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.3%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
88.4%
Chase Garbers run for 11 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
88.3%
Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
88.3%
Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
87.7%
Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
86.8%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-3
87.3%
Chase Garbers sacked by Qwuantrezz Knight and Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+10
91.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 10 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 14:33
4TH & 3
OPP 22
0
92.1%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai Polk, broken up by Mo Osling IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:1594% → 99%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
94.2%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+7
94.3%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.5%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+11
94.6%
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
94.6%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
94.7%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
94.6%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+31
98.9%
Brittain Brown run for 31 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.6%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Monroe Young for 7 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Monroe YoungSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien Moore, broken up by Otito OgbonniaSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.7%
Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
98.6%
Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko RemigioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.2%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
99.2%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+8
99.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.2%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
99.2%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
99.1%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Cal 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Cal 20Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Devon Modster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.6%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+1
99.6%
Chase Griffin run for 1 yd to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 5
OWN 44
-5
99.6%
UCLA Penalty, delay of game (Luke Akers) to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25Uncategorized
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.6%
Chris Street run for 2 yds to the Cal 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:17
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q2 5:49
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira PAT MISSED)
+9
TD · Q2 11:45
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Charles Njoku for 27 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com