Try the model
PITT

Pittsburgh 34 at Georgia Tech 20

GT
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 10, 2020 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:25 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense−17.8Pregame prior−6.5Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−5.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:46: DJ Turner 60 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +10.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:25: Kenny Pickett 1 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick) — PITT win probability +13.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:04: Jalen Camp 21 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GT win probability +9.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:04: Alex Kessman 22 Yd Field Goal — PITT win probability +14.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:01: Dylan Deveney 18 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Gavin Stewart Kick) — GT win probability +21.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9PITT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:18PITT 4th & 1 at GT 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    67.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55GT 4th & 1 at PITT 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−2.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:59PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42GT 4th & 11 at GT 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46PITT 4th & 1 at GT 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−0.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:42PITT 4th & 6 at GT 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:42GT 4th & 15 at GT 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:46GT 4th & 9 at PITT 40, down 6
    Close callPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:39PITT 4th & 6 at GT 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:50GT 4th & 3 at GT 26, down 9
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:25GT 4th & 8 at GT 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:10PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 13, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:04PITT 4th & 4 at GT 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−9.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:05GT 4th & 8 at PITT 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00GT 4th & 6 at PITT 21, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:16GT 4th & 6 at PITT 9, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 3PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:55GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:46PITT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:25PITT Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:04GT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:01GT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:00PITT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1FG
5 plays · 74 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+74
33.9%
Vincent Davis run for 74 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.9%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.4%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Erick Hallett return for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
34.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 12 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
34.3%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
34.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+15
34.3%
Pickett, K pass incomplete, PENALTY GT roughing passer (Swilling, T.) 15 yards to the GT20, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
34.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 4 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
34.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 7 yds to the GTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
34.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.3%
A.J. Davis run for no gain to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
34.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 2 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
34.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
13 plays · 98 yds · 9:2335% → 40%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
34.5%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+13
34.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 13 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+26
34.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 11 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
34.6%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
34.6%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
34.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
34.6%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+46
34.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 46 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
34.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
37.6%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the Pitt 2Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.1%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.3%
Jeff Sims 1 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4861% → 60%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
38.9%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
38.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 1 yd to the Pitt 46Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
39.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
40.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds, downed at the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
40.8%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-4
40.7%
Jeff Sims sacked by John Morgan for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 8Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+3
40.0%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 11
OWN 11
+8
39.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds , DJ Turner returns for 8 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:4660% → 61%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
39.6%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
39.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 11 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
39.5%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Quez Jackson return for 5 yds to the GTech 25 Quez Jackson fumbled, forced by A.J. Davis, recovered by Pitt A.J. DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:0461% → 59%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
38.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
39.0%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+10
39.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 10 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
40.1%
Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
38.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
39.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre TiptonSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+9
39.3%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
39.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
40.8%
Alex Kessman 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
42.3%
Deadball foul, PENALTY UP unsportsmanlike conduct (Dennis, S) 15 yards to the GT40, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.6%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
43.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-5
42.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Cam Bright for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
41.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 58 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
2 plays · 93 yds · 0:3757% → 68%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+33
43.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 33 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
32.1%
DJ Turner 60 Yd pass from Kenny Pickett (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.9%
Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+20
34.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 20 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete, broken up by Patrick Jones IISimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
35.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 6 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
35.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Deveney for 5 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
36.2%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
35.8%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
35.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
34.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 37 yds, downed at the Pitt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12FG
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:4567% → 73%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
33.0%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
33.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared Wayne, broken up by Kenan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+32
33.8%
Vincent Davis run for 32 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
31.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
30.7%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+19
31.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 19 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
30.0%
Pickett, K pass incomplete to Mack, T, PENALTY GT pass interference (Johnson, K.) 15 yards to the GT27, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
29.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 9 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
29.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
29.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ Turner, broken up by Zamari WaltonSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+4
30.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
27.5%
Alex Kessman 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0028% → 30%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.4%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
29.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
29.5%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Jason Pinnock return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · -11 yds · 1:0073% → 74%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
26.8%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
26.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
26.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 3 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
26.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-9
25.6%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
29.3%
Jordan Mason run for 12 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
29.6%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
29.6%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
29.2%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q3 14:50
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
28.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, downed at the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:5372% → 87%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
28.5%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
27.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+21
28.0%
Vincent Davis run for 21 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
26.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
26.5%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+9
26.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 9 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
26.4%
Kenny Pickett run for 11 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
26.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 8 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+12
26.1%
Vincent Davis run for 12 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
26.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 3 yds Jared Wayne fumbled, forced by Juanyeh Thomas, recovered by Pitt Vincent Davis for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Ja'Quon Griffin) to the GTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.1%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the GTech 1Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.0%
Kenny Pickett 1 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
16.8%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
16.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan DeveneySimilar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
16.2%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
16.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 53 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
14.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
14.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 2 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
14.6%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 13 Kenny Pickett fumbled,Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
15.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Blancato at the GTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:4017% → 26%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
17.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
17.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 2
50
+6
17.1%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
17.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 6 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
17.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen Camp, broken up by Jason PinnockSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
17.5%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
18.1%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
17.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+13
16.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 13 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
25.9%
Jalen Camp 21 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20FG
23 plays · 78 yds · 8:5478% → 93%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
22.0%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
21.5%
Vincent Davis run for 7 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
21.5%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+13
22.2%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
19.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared Wayne, broken up by Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+24
19.8%
DJ Turner run for 24 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
18.4%
PENALTY GT personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UP personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
18.5%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+15
18.5%
Pickett, K pass incomplete, PENALTY GT pass interference (Allen, D.) 15 yards to the GT16, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
18.4%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
18.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
19.3%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
18.4%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
18.4%
Jordan Addison run for 3 yds to the GTech 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
18.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the GTech 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
19.0%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the GTech 7 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Juanyeh Thomas) to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
17.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the GTech 18Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 18
+7
18.0%
A.J. Davis run for 7 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
18.5%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
19.3%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
21.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Bryce Hargrove) to the GTech 9Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
7.4%
Alex Kessman 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0310% → 37%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
9.9%
Jamious Griffin run for 35 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
12.5%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
12.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' Harris, broken up by Erick HallettSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
11.2%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+16
10.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamious Griffin for 16 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
14.6%
Jamious Griffin run for 4 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
36.5%
Dylan Deveney 18 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Gavin Stewart Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0181% → 99%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.2%
DJ Turner run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
18.9%
Vincent Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
18.3%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
18.5%
Vincent Davis run for 12 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
16.6%
Vincent Davis run for 9 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
15.9%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
8.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
7.4%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+38
1.5%
Vincent Davis 38 Yd Run (Kenny Pickett Pass to DJ Turner for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 66 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
1.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 30 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
1.3%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
1.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 10 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
1.6%
Sims, J. pass complete to Griffin, J. for 7 yards to the UP18 (Campbell, P;Pinnock, J), PENALTY UP offside (Jones, P) 5 yards to the UP20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 5
OPP 20
-2
1.6%
Jeff Sims sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-5
1.6%
Team pass incomplete, PENALTY GT false start (Carter, M.) 5 yards to the UP27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+6
1.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 6 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
1.5%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+8
1.4%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Jerry Howard Jr. for 8 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
1.6%
Jordan Yates pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 4 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
1.5%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 6
OPP 9
0
1.4%
Jordan Yates pass incomplete to Jalen Camp, broken up by A.J. WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:01
Dylan Deveney 18 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Gavin Stewart Kick)
+21.9
FG · Q4 8:04
Alex Kessman 22 Yd Field Goal
-14
TD · Q3 8:25
Kenny Pickett 1 Yd Run (Alex Kessman Kick)
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com