Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 34 at Tennessee 13

TENN
2020 · Week 16 · Dec 19, 2020 · Neyland Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:32: Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:17: Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +3.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:08: J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 46 yds for a TD (Toby Wilson PAT MISSED) — TENN win probability +9.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +7.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: Ainias Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 4:29TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:52TA&M 4th & 6 at TENN 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−4.4
    average punt
  3. Q3 12:42TA&M 4th & 4 at TENN 48, up 11
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:35TENN 4th & 18 at TENN 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 1:08TENN 4th & 18 at TENN 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  6. Q4 6:35TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  7. Q4 1:16TA&M 4th & 4 at TENN 4, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:38TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:28TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:32TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:17TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:08TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:02TA&M Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2217% → 19%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
17.3%
Bailey, Harrison pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TENNESSEE20 (Peevy, Jayden), PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Jackson, Kenyon) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
17.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
17.8%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Princeton Fant for 15 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
18.0%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
18.2%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
19.2%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jacob Warren for 33 yds for a TD (Toby Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4781% → 80%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 25 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAM Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Deandre Johnson) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
20.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 18 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
20.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 14 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
20.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
20.9%
Kellen Mond run for 11 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
21.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+10
21.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 10 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
22.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.5%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0121% → 22%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.4%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
21.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Princeton Fant for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
22.2%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 29 Harrison Bailey fumbled, forced by Tyree Johnson, recovered by Tenn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
22.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 6:0778% → 80%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
22.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
22.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
22.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
22.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
22.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+17
23.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 17 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
22.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
23.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+11
23.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 11 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
23.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 17 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
23.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4221% → 23%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
21.4%
Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.8%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
22.0%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Ty Chandler for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
50
-11
23.1%
Harrison Bailey sacked by DeMarvin Leal for a loss of 11 yards to the Tenn 39 Harrison Bailey fumbled, forced by DeMarvin Leal, recovered by TexAM Andre White Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:2380% → 80%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
20.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 9 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 30
-4
20.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+11
20.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
20.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+7
20.4%
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
20.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 2 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
20.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
20.6%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
20.1%
Seth Small 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3020% → 30%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
20.2%
Velus Jones Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
21.0%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
21.1%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 15 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
30.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 46 yds for a TD (Toby Wilson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:4873% → 84%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
25.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 3 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
25.7%
Mond, Kellen pass complete to Wydermyer, Jalen for 29 yards to the TENNESSEE35, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Hocker, Jared) 10 yards to the TEXASAM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+6
27.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
27.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+15
28.1%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal use of hands (Johnson, Deandre) 15 yards to the TEXASAM47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
25.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 25 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
24.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
24.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 11 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
24.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
24.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 4 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
16.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.9%
Dee Beckwith run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1382% → 82%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
18.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
18.1%
Kellen Mond run for 13 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
17.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
17.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
17.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
18.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0018% → 16%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
18.2%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
18.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Ty ChandlerSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+25
17.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Josh Palmer for 25 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-6
19.5%
J.T. Shrout run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 41 J.T. Shrout fumbled, recovered by TennSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 16
OWN 41
-2
17.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12INT
14 plays · 69 yds · 7:4582% → 84%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
17.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
17.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+36
17.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 36 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
15.6%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
15.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
15.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 5 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
14.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
15.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 6 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+6
14.9%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
14.4%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-5
15.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jalen Wydermyer) to the Tenn 11Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
15.3%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the Tenn 11Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-45
15.7%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Alontae Taylor return for 45 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:2919% → 15%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
18.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
18.4%
J.T. Shrout run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-5
17.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Josh Palmer) to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-5
16.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Ty Chandler) to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 18
OWN 37
0
16.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
15.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 6:5783% → 98%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
17.1%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+1
15.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
16.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 6 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
14.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
13.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
12.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
12.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 28 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
10.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 9 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
10.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
9.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
9.2%
Ainias Smith run for 8 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:204% → 3%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
3.9%
Ty Chandler run for 12 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
3.9%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Bobby Brown III for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+7
3.6%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 7 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+1
3.5%
Harrison Bailey run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
3.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, downed at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 5:1099% → 100%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
1.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+12
1.3%
Ainias Smith run for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
1.2%
Ainias Smith run for 6 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+38
0.9%
Ainias Smith run for 38 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.8%
Ainias Smith run for no gain to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.7%
Ainias Smith run for no gain to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.7%
Ainias Smith run for 5 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
0.5%
Seth Small 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17INT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Ty Chandler for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jimmy CallowaySimilar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+14
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Josh Palmer for 14 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
0.8%
J.T. Shrout run for 6 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
0.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.9%
J.T. Shrout pass intercepted, touchback. Brian George return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:08
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 46 yds for a TD (Toby Wilson PAT MISSED)
+9.1
TD · Q2 0:15
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q4 9:02
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com