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UNT

North Texas 45 at UTEP 43

UTEP
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 11, 2020 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+16.6UTEP 23.3%Calvin Brownholtz pass complete toJacob Cowing for 17 yds for a TD(Calvin Brownholtz pass to TrentThompson for Two-Point Conversion)AWAY 45 - HOME 36 · Q4 6:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:32 · Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 17 yds for a TD (Calvin Brownholtz pass to Trent Thompson for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense−15.8Score differential−7.0Garbage-time factor−9.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:06: Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 32 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +18.9 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:04: Austin Aune run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +19.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:21: Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 28 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +24.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 11:49: Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +22.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:26: Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +27.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:11UTEP 4th & 8 at UNT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:48UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:43UNT 4th & 2 at UTEP 7, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:35UNT 4th & 5 at UTEP 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.9%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:43UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 9 at UTEP 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:02UNT 4th & 3 at UTEP 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−2.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:49UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:26UNT 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:24UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:23UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:11UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:43UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:06UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:04UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:21UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:49UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:40UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:32UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:26UTEP Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-12
70.1%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Josh Caldwell) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+2
70.1%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr., broken up by John Davis Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Quintavius Workman punt for 30 yds, downed at the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Robert Corner IIISimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
69.5%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 33 Jason Bean fumbled, recovered by UTEP Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:0170% → 71%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
70.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 3 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+5
69.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (Gabriel Murphy) to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
70.1%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
70.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-15
69.6%
UTEP Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+29
71.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 29 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
70.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 8 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
70.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Asher Alberding for 6 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
70.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
70.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
71.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Justin Garrett for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
71.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
71.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 39 Ronald Awatt fumbled, recovered by UTEP Ronald AwattSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
72.0%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
72.1%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+1
71.4%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 24
OWN 32
0
71.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass intercepted DeShawn Gaddie return for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
65.9%
A. Aune pass,to D. Simpson for 46 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1568% → 73%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
68.1%
Deion Hankins run for 18 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
69.1%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
69.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
69.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
69.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
69.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+29
68.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 29 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.4%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
66.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
67.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+7
68.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
67.4%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
67.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 10 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.7%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
68.4%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
68.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
67.0%
Joshua Sloan punt, downed at the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
65.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 10 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
64.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Asher AlberdingSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
65.1%
Jaelon Darden run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-5
66.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Jaelon Darden) to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 18
OWN 26
0
66.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
66.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -22 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
66.4%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Zuri Henry) to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
66.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-12
65.5%
Calvin Brownholtz sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 27
OWN 10
-5
65.0%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Tyrice Knight) to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 32
OWN 5
0
64.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoTex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5239% → 42%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
61.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 6 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+7
60.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+23
60.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 23 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
59.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Quinn WhitlockSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
59.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
60.7%
Austin Aune run for 6 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
58.0%
Ethan Mooney 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0259% → 57%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
59.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+12
59.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
59.7%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
59.3%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-1
56.7%
Calvin Brownholtz pass intercepted Kevin Wood return for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
54.7%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
53.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
55.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+2
56.9%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 1:1958% → 73%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by DeShawn GaddieSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+19
57.9%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 19 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
61.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 9 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+1
61.4%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
61.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
61.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Davontae McCrae) to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
62.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 13 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
62.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
73.2%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Ty'reke JamesSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
70.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 6 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
70.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
71.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
70.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
68.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+10
68.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 10 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
68.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
67.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
66.5%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
65.7%
Austin Aune run for 1 yd to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
65.9%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
67.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
69.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 37 yds, downed at the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
69.0%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+14
69.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
69.4%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
70.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
70.9%
Calvin Brownholtz run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
69.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass intercepted Keelan Crosby return for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:1733% → 52%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
66.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-9
66.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+13
69.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
66.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
47.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 32 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0055% → 57%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
55.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 12 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
57.8%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
55.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
56.6%
Calvin Brownholtz pass intercepted DeShawn Gaddie return for no gain to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:5849% → 74%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
51.5%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+26
51.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 26 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
48.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 7
50
+4
48.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
48.7%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
48.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
47.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+1
48.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+4
51.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
46.9%
Tre Siggers run for 16 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
46.4%
Tre Siggers run for 10 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.5%
Austin Aune run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:4330% → 58%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
30.1%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
29.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+9
29.7%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
31.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+22
31.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 22 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
33.0%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
57.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 28 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:3256% → 80%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
44.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
43.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
50
+4
43.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
43.0%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive holding (Robert Corner III) to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
43.0%
Tre Siggers run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+23
41.1%
Tre Siggers run for 23 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
41.1%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
41.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
42.9%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Josh Caldwell) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 20%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
22.6%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
22.3%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
22.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
21.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Ronald AwattSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
20.0%
Quintavius Workman punt for 41 yds, downed at the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1882% → 94%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
17.8%
Tre Siggers run for 8 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
16.7%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
16.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
16.4%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 6
50
+50
5.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 50 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 27TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:087% → 23%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
6.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
6.7%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+47
6.7%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 47 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
23.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 17 yds for a TD (Calvin Brownholtz pass to Trent Thompson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28MISSED FG
16 plays · 38 yds · 5:0685% → 95%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
15.0%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
14.0%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (Kelton Moss) to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
13.9%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
13.8%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
13.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+3
13.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+9
9.7%
Austin Aune run for 9 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
9.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+5
9.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
6.1%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-2
5.9%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
4.8%
Ethan Mooney 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 29TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:004% → 33%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+37
3.9%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 37 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
6.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Justin Garrett for 6 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+14
6.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 14 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
6.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
6.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
5.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Gabriel Murphy) to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
5.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:26
Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+27.4
TD · Q4 14:21
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 28 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+24.8
TD · Q4 11:49
Austin Aune pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-22.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com