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UAB

UAB 21 at Rice 16

RICE
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:50 · Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior−16.8Home team on offense+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:55: Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +8.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 26 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +12.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:46: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 63 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +14.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:16: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 42 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +13.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10: Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 27 — UAB win probability +13.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 13UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:50RICE 4th & 2 at UAB 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49RICE 4th & 11 at UAB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09RICE 4th & 2 at UAB 18, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55RICE 4th & 7 at midfield, down 1
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:40RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 36, down 1
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:16RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 17, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−3.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:32UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:00RICE 4th & 20 at RICE 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−3.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at RICE 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.5%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55RICE 4th & 2 at UAB 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−4.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−2.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:14RICE 4th & 8 at UAB 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−11.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:14UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−4.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:16RICE 4th & 3 at UAB 46, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−6.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−3.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:41UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 27, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−4.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:43UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 39, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:49RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 49, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 6:55UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:38RICE Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:46UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:16UAB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.6%
Larry Wooden run for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
30.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Larry Wooden for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
30.6%
Larry Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
30.6%
N/A punt for 53 yds, downed at the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
22 plays · 62 yds · 12:1232% → 38%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
31.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+16
31.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 16 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
31.6%
JoVoni Johnson run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
31.7%
N/A run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
31.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
31.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
31.7%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+7
31.6%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 7 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
31.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 8 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
31.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-1
31.8%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
34.8%
JoVoni Johnson run for 5 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
35.7%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+11
35.3%
JoVoni Johnson run for 11 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
35.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
34.9%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.0%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
38.0%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
37.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
37.8%
Collin Riccitelli 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4262% → 60%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.5%
Larry Wooden run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
38.1%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
38.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire, broken up by Andrew BirdSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+22
39.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, downed at the RICE 32 UAB Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:3540% → 47%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
39.9%
Andrew Mason run for 1 yd to the UAB 48 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, face mask (16 yards) (16 Yards) to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
40.2%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+1
40.0%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+10
39.5%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
40.5%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+1
40.5%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+3
39.8%
JoVoni Johnson run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+5
39.0%
RICCITELLI, C. field goal attempt from 40 MISSED - wide right,, clock 14:44, PENALTY UAB offside defense (MARSHALL, TD) 5 yards to the UAB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
46.6%
Collin Riccitelli 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1454% → 67%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
46.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 54 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
42.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
42.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
43.5%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
42.4%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the Rice 7Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
33.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
38.3%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jack Bradley for 22 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
40.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
40.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-1
40.4%
JoVoni Johnson sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 7
50
0
38.1%
Charlie Mendes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
37.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+7
38.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+9
38.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
37.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr., broken up by Blaze AlldredgeSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
38.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jordan Myers at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 0:4140% → 58%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
39.8%
JOHNSON, JoVoni pass complete to BAILEY, Jake for 12 yards to the RICE29 (HARRIS, Brontae), PENALTY UAB pass interference (HARRIS, Brontae) 12 yards to the RICE29, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+39
40.1%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Ari Broussard for 32 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, roughing passer (7 Yards) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.5%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Damon MillerSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
43.3%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 10 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
43.5%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
57.8%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 26 yds for a TD (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:2847% → 43%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
53.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
52.8%
JOHNSTON III, T pass complete to MITCHELL, Myron for 17 yards to the RICE38 (LOCKHART, Kirk), PENALTY UAB holding (TREHERN, M.) 10 yards to the UAB35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+11
55.2%
Larry Wooden run for 11 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+28
56.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 28 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
55.6%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
55.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
54.0%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Khalan Griffin for no gain to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
52.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 39 yds, downed at the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
38.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 63 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.4%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Andrew MasonSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
41.0%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Kobie Campbell, broken up by Brontae HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+8
39.6%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the Rice 36 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
40.2%
Charlie Mendes punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:4461% → 76%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
39.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
39.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+20
41.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 20 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
37.7%
JOHNSTON III, T pass incomplete to SHROPSHIRE, T., PENALTY RICE holding (BIRD, Andrew) 9 yards to the RICE42, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
37.5%
Larry Wooden run for no gain to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
24.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 42 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.8%
RICE Penalty, false start (Jonah Doddridge) to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
27.6%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jake Bailey for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
26.6%
JoVoni Johnson sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
26.2%
Charlie Mendes punt for 59 yds, downed at the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
25.7%
Larry Wooden run for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
26.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 10 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
24.9%
Larry Wooden run for 3 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
24.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
24.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
25.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
24.8%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jordan Myers for 10 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
25.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 0
0
24.2%
JOHNSON, JoVoni rush for 19 yards to the 50 yardline (MOLL, K.), PENALTY RICE holding off-setting, PENALTY UAB offside defense off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
25.4%
RICE Penalty, false start (Kobie Campbell) to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-2
24.6%
JoVoni Johnson sacked by Jordan Smith and Nikia Eason Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 16
OWN 24
-5
23.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Jake Bailey) to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 21
OWN 19
+1
23.6%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jake Bailey for 1 yd to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
23.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3880% → 78%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
20.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
20.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
20.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
21.7%
Larry Wooden run for no gain to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:4127% → 37%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
26.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
27.8%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
27.8%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+20
26.1%
JoVoni Johnson pass complete to Jake Bailey for 20 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
30.0%
Ari Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
29.7%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
27.8%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by Devodric BynumSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
36.5%
Collin Riccitelli 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell, broken up by Andrew BirdSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
29.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
30.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jordan Myers at the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0035% → 37%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
34.9%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
34.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+7
33.3%
JoVoni Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
35.5%
GREEN, Wiley pass incomplete to BAILEY, Jake, PENALTY UAB holding (HARRIS, Brontae) 10 yards to the RICE47, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
38.7%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
50
0
39.3%
N/A pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 7
50
+4
37.7%
Wiley Green run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
36.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 44 yds, downed at the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21Uncategorized
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
27.5%
UAB Penalty, false start (Hayden Pittman) to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+4
27.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
27.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+4
27.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
26.5%
Tyler Johnston III run for 13 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
25.3%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
24.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-5
25.4%
UAB Penalty, false start (Matthew Trehern) to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
27.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
28.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Myers at the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:2785% → 90%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
15.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+1
14.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+9
13.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
11.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
7.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
7.8%
Tyler Johnston III run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
9.6%
Antonio Moultrie punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Myers at the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
13.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 16 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
15.9%
Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
17.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete, broken up by Devodric BynumSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+11
15.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
19.0%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
17.7%
Wiley Green sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 18
OWN 49
0
13.3%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 18
OWN 49
0
12.5%
Wiley Green pass intercepted Grayson Cash return for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:46
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 63 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-14.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 27
-13.7
TD · Q3 10:16
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 42 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com