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WVU

West Virginia 24 at Army 21

ARMY
2020 · AutoZone Liberty Bowl · Dec 31, 2020 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:27 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:21: Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — WVU win probability +6.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:00: Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +13.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:23: Austin Kendall pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WVU win probability +18.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 20 yds for a TD (R. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion) — WVU win probability +41.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:37WVU 4th & 9 at ARMY 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:20ARMY 4th & 2 at WVU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47WVU 4th & 7 at ARMY 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:31ARMY 4th & 4 at WVU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:31ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01WVU 4th & 22 at WVU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:23WVU 4th & 2 at ARMY 3, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:03WVU 4th & 8 at ARMY 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−3.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:29ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 14, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−4.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:39WVU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:21ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 20, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−4.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:50ARMY 4th & 3 at WVU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−9.1
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−26.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:28WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:29ARMY 4th & 7 at WVU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−6.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 9:31ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:21WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:14ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:00ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:23WVU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:10WVU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    58.0%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 5:1978% → 75%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
22.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+13
22.6%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
22.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
22.8%
Sean Ryan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+8
23.1%
Jarret Doege run for 8 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
23.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 6 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
23.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+8
23.7%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
23.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 13 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
23.9%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+3
24.1%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
24.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. BanksSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
24.8%
Tyler Sumpter 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4525% → 25%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
25.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-2
25.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 24Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+13
25.4%
Zach Harding punt for 59 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 13 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2474% → 74%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
25.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
50
0
25.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
50
-2
25.5%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-21
26.5%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Javhari Bourdeau return for 21 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5628% → 28%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
27.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 5
OPP 41
-1
27.5%
Anthony Adkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
27.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+1
28.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
28.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:2873% → 73%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
27.1%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+9
27.8%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+10
27.4%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Ford-Wheaton, Bryce, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the ARMY45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
27.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 28 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
26.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
26.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+3
27.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
27.4%
Tyler Sumpter 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 7:0828% → 38%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
27.7%
Cade Barnard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 25Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+6
27.8%
Brandon Walters run for 6 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+13
27.9%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 13 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
29.5%
Christian Anderson pass complete to A.J. Howard for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 4
50
+5
29.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Darius Stills) to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
30.1%
Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
30.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
30.6%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+7
30.1%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
32.1%
Sandon McCoy run for no gain to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
32.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the WVirg 13 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Army Tyhier Tyler for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (13 Yards) to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
32.6%
A.J. Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+5
32.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
33.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:0065% → 71%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
35.5%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
35.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+9
36.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam Brown for 9 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
36.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam Brown for 19 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
35.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
35.1%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Army 37Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+14
35.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam Brown for 14 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
35.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 18 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.4%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Army 5Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Mike O'LaughlinSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
29.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 1:4032% → 34%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
31.9%
Braheam Murphy run for 2 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
32.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+6
32.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
34.1%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 42Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+4
33.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+1
33.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 47Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
33.5%
Zach Harding punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:3565% → 68%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
34.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+9
33.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-22
31.8%
Jarret Doege sacked by Malkelm Morrison for a loss of 22 yards to the WVirg 7 Jarret Doege fumbled, forced by Malkelm Morrison, recovered by Army Ryan Duran III , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3338% → 48%
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
38.0%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the WVirg 6Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
47.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:0453% → 49%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
47.4%
Jarret Doege sacked by Ryan Duran III for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+7
49.4%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OWN 28
-5
50.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
51.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:5545% → 70%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
46.4%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
46.8%
A.J. Howard run for 8 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+8
48.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
49.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
49.8%
Barnard, Cade rush for 1 yard to the WESTVIR39, PENALTY WESTVIR offside 5 yards to the WESTVIR35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
51.2%
Tyler, Tyhier rush for 6 yards to the WESTVIR29, PENALTY WESTVIR offside 5 yards to the WESTVIR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+5
54.0%
Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
55.1%
Ay'Juan Marshall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+4
54.5%
A.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+4
55.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
57.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+8
58.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
58.4%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+15
70.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:3031% → 49%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
68.7%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+27
70.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 27 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
66.4%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
66.4%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+31
69.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 31 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
67.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
67.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+8
69.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the Army 3Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
51.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1250% → 44%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
50.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
51.1%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
52.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
56.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, downed at the Army 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:2959% → 60%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
58.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
58.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
58.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
60.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 13Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
60.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 13Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+1
59.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 14Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
59.9%
Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, downed at the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4646% → 40%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
54.5%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 8
50
0
54.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
50
0
56.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. BanksSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 8
50
0
59.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cameron Jones at the Army 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 4:1366% → 73%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
66.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the Army 16Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
66.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
67.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
69.8%
Braheam Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 21Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+1
70.1%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 22Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+3
68.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 25
-5
70.2%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 20Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+8
73.2%
Zach Harding punt for 53 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0736% → 80%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
66.3%
Kendall, Austin pass incomplete to Ford-Wheaton, Bryce, PENALTY ARMY pass interference 15 yards to the ARMY48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
60.3%
Austin Kendall sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
67.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+14
68.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 14 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
63.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+11
61.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
20.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 20 yds for a TD (R. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:1535% → 35%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
34.6%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+32
38.2%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Chris Cameron for 32 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
43.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
43.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
37.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
35.1%
Quinn Maretzki 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1786% → 86%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
13.7%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-2
11.7%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
13.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
13.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Jones at the Army 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:5323% → 18%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
22.6%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 6 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+13
23.5%
Christian Anderson run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
50
+3
24.4%
Brandon Walters run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
25.8%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Cole CaterboneSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
21.6%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 7
OPP 47
-1
18.2%
Christian Anderson pass intercepted Josh Chandler-Semedo return for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:10
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 20 yds for a TD (R. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion)
-41
TD · Q3 3:23
Austin Kendall pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.3
TD · Q3 7:00
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com