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UL

Louisiana 31 at UTSA 24

UTSA
2020 · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl · Dec 26, 2020 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:45 · Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior−5.4Home team on offense−5.9Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: Frank Harris run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +10.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 14:19: Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +8.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:14: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 29 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:09: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +18.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 7:16: Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +24.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:04UL 4th & 4 at UTSA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:33UL 4th & 12 at UTSA 14, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00UTSA 4th & 2 at UL 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02UTSA 4th & 2 at UL 24, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:27UL 4th & 8 at UTSA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:14UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:16UTSA 4th & 18 at UTSA 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:33UL 4th & 11 at UTSA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:05UL 4th & 8 at UL 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−2.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:32UTSA 4th & 3 at UL 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−16.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:45UL 4th & 1 at UTSA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−6.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−27.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:37UTSA 4th & 7 at UL 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:43UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:33UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:21UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:19UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:14UTSA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:09UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:16UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1282% → 81%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
18.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
18.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
18.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+15
18.9%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Lacy, Kyren, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Mayfield Jr., Corey) 15 yards to the UTSA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.Similar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
18.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Ken Marks) to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+7
19.0%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
19.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+2
19.5%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+15
20.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
18.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2INT
12 plays · 65 yds · 2:4919% → 21%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
19.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+12
19.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
19.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 21 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
19.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+1
20.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 4
50
+2
20.2%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
20.2%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Cephus, Joshua, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Garror, Eric) 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
20.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
20.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
20.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
20.8%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Percy Butler return for no gain to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:0280% → 80%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
19.9%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
19.9%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+31
20.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 31 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
19.7%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Carter, Kaleb, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Woolen, Tariq) 15 yards to the UTSA29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
19.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
19.7%
Chris Smith run for 17 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
19.7%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 14Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
19.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
20.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Trey RagasSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 12
OPP 14
0
20.5%
Dalen Cambre pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:1321% → 22%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
20.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
20.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+10
20.7%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
21.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
21.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
22.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
22.4%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
22.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+6
22.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+4
22.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
23.4%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
23.6%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
23.2%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
22.4%
Hunter Duplessis 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:3079% → 79%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.7%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
21.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaylon Haynes) to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
20.7%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
20.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
20.5%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+9
20.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 9 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
20.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+14
20.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 14 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
20.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
20.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
20.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
20.9%
Kenneth Almendares 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4420% → 31%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.0%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
20.2%
Frank Harris run for 12 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
20.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
20.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 4
50
+8
21.0%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
21.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
22.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
22.2%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+15
21.1%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Cephus, Joshua, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (Garror, Eric) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
31.0%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:0073% → 82%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
26.7%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
26.5%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+7
26.6%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
25.8%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
25.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+29
25.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 29 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
23.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 14 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
18.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0018% → 18%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
18.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
18.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0781% → 80%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
19.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-1
19.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · -16 yds · 0:3220% → 20%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
19.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-18
19.6%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 18 yards to the TexSA 3 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ferrod GardnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:5913% → 12%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
12.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+3
12.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+3
12.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
12.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
12.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-8
12.2%
Frank Harris sacked by Ferrod Gardner for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
12.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:0089% → 90%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
10.7%
Trey Ragas run for 13 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
10.3%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-6
10.2%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 38 Trey Ragas fumbled, forced by De'Marco Guidry, recovered by TexSA Trevor HarmansonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2713% → 23%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
13.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+15
13.3%
Frank Harris run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
13.8%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+29
22.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 29 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:3580% → 80%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
20.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
18.9%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+9
18.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
18.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 9 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
18.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
19.2%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-10
19.6%
Ragas, Trey rush for 4 yards to the UTSA29, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE holding 10 yards to the UTSA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
20.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 32 yds, downed at the TexSA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 2:1618% → 40%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
18.1%
Frank Harris run for 12 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
18.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+11
18.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+52
18.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 52 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
21.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
40.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5668% → 65%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
31.0%
Lewis, Levi pass complete to LeBlanc, Peter for 42 yards to the UTSA28, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE ineligible downfield on pass (Vallot, Shane) 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Elijah MitchellSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
35.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 25 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Brennon Dingle) to the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18FG
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:2335% → 49%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
34.8%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+29
35.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 29 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
40.1%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
40.7%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+28
43.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 21 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Percy Butler) to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
43.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
43.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Oscar CardenasSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
49.3%
Hunter Duplessis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:4457% → 87%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+36
43.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 36 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
37.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
37.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
39.5%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
38.6%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+6
40.6%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+3
41.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
36.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 2 yds to the TexSA 8Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
37.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.9%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:3020% → 20%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
20.4%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
19.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+23
21.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 23 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
23.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+2
23.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
23.9%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
20.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21Uncategorized
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:2989% → 96%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
10.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
9.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
9.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
7.9%
Trey Ragas run for 14 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
4.4%
Trey Ragas run for 22 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
4.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 15
OPP 22
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 23
-1
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:16
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-24.1
TD · Q3 4:09
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+18.5
TD · Q2 4:33
Frank Harris run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com