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LIB

Liberty 37 at Coastal Carolina 34

CCU
2020 · FBC Mortgage Cure Bowl · Dec 26, 2020 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:53 · Reese White run for no gain to the Liber 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 7Pregame prior+20.7Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:28: Malik Willis run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +25.9 pts (now 68%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:22: Malik Willis run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +15.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:34: Grayson McCall run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +23.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 3:01: Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 5 yds for a TD (G. McCall Run For Two-point Conversion) — CCU win probability +46.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Alex Barbir 44 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +21.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:53CCU 4th & 2 at LIB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:09LIB 4th & 2 at CCU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:44CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40CCU 4th & 2 at LIB 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:00CCU 4th & 4 at LIB 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42LIB 4th & 2 at CCU 19, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:03LIB 4th & 14 at CCU 14, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−5.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−18.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:59LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:06LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:02CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:28LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:36CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    45.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:22LIB Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:34CCU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:01CCU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    37.2%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5772% → 71%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.7%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+22
71.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 22 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.7%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
71.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 8 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
71.6%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
71.4%
Reese White run for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:2629% → 34%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.0%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
70.8%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
70.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+4
70.8%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
70.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 10 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
70.0%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
69.7%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+27
69.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 27 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
69.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 10 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.5%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2668% → 66%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
67.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
67.3%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
66.8%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
66.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 5:0434% → 44%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
66.0%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+29
64.6%
Malik Willis run for 14 yds to the COASTALCAR 45 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeffrey Gunter) to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
64.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-3
63.8%
Malik Willis sacked by Silas Kelly for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+4
63.6%
Michael Bollinger run for 4 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+5
63.8%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
62.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
61.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.1%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4658% → 55%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
57.6%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
57.6%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-5
56.4%
Grayson McCall sacked by Durrell Johnson and Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 31
-5
55.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
54.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 45 yds, downed at the Liber 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1647% → 48%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
53.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 14 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
52.5%
Malik Willis pass intercepted Brayden Matts return for 3 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:4053% → 53%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
53.7%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
53.8%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+19
53.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
53.7%
McCall, Grayson pass complete to Likely, Isaiah for 28 yards to the LIBERTY4, PENALTY COASTALCAR ineligible downfield on pass (Brown, Kameron) 5 yards to the LIBERTY37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+3
51.9%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
51.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 24
0
51.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Reese WhiteSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+20
50.3%
CJ Marable run for 20 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.8%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the Liber 4Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.4%
Reese White run for no gain to the Liber 4Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
52.6%
Massimo Biscardi 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4148% → 49%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
51.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
51.3%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
50.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 33 yds, downed at the CCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:0251% → 64%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
50.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
51.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 8 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+8
51.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
52.0%
Grayson McCall run for 16 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
51.7%
McCall, Grayson pass complete to Likely, Isaiah for 11 yards to the LIBERTY4, PENALTY COASTALCAR holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+25
64.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 25 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:0844% → 53%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.0%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
56.4%
Joshua Mack run for 12 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
54.8%
Joshua Mack run for 20 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
54.0%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
54.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+8
54.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for 8 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
47.4%
Alex Barbir 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:3751% → 60%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
51.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
51.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 12 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
53.2%
Grayson McCall run for 16 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
54.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
54.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 12 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+33
59.9%
Massimo Biscardi 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12INT
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:2244% → 49%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
56.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 15 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
55.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+33
56.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 33 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
53.3%
Joshua Mack run for 12 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
52.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+20
51.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 20 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
51.4%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 7Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.0%
Malik Willis pass intercepted, touchback. Alex Spillum return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:4256% → 58%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
56.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 19 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
57.2%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+5
56.5%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
57.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 8 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
58.9%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
59.0%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-59
57.9%
Grayson McCall pass intercepted Javon Scruggs return for 59 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.0%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5236% → 48%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
35.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-10 Yards) to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
35.0%
Shermari Jones run for 9 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+10
34.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
34.5%
Grayson McCall run for 17 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
36.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 12 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
36.7%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-2
35.1%
Grayson McCall sacked by Aaron Pierre and Will Bowers for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+43
48.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 43 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3856% → 83%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.8%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
43.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 11 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
40.9%
Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-3
40.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+13
40.4%
Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
36.5%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+16
35.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 16 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
33.6%
Joshua Mack run for 21 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.1%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
32.9%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.4%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:2122% → 48%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+45
21.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 45 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
25.1%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+24
24.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 24 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
24.4%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the Liber 1Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.5%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:5767% → 88%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
29.8%
Malik Willis run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
27.0%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
26.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+17
27.1%
Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
21.7%
Joshua Mack run for 22 yds to the CCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
20.6%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
20.1%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+3
21.8%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
12.3%
Alex Barbir 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:4416% → 68%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
15.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds Jaivon Heiligh fumbled, forced by Javon Scruggs, recovered by CCaro Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+12
16.5%
CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
17.7%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Likely, Isaiah, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference 15 yards to the LIBERTY36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
19.0%
Grayson McCall run for 21 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
21.9%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Likely, Isaiah, PENALTY LIBERTY holding 8 yards to the LIBERTY7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
21.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 5 yds for a TD (G. McCall Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20FUMBLE
12 plays · 74 yds · 2:0448% → 63%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
52.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 15 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
48.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
50
+26
45.1%
Malik Willis run for 26 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
41.6%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
38.4%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+15
39.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for 15 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
36.6%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 5Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
36.7%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the CCaro 1 Joshua Mack fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by CCaro Alex SpillumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4054% → 53%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
53.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
53.9%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+7
53.2%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 1
OWN 10
-5
52.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0060% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
40.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-1
43.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
-5
50.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 26Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
28.8%
Alex Barbir 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 31%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
35.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
31.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:01
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 5 yds for a TD (G. McCall Run For Two-point Conversion)
+46.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26.2
TD · Q3 8:28
Malik Willis run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
-25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com