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MEM

Memphis 25 at Florida Atlantic 10

FAU
2020 · Montgomery Bowl · Dec 23, 2020 · Cramton Bowl
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:22: Brady White pass complete to Joseph Dorceus for 2 yds for a TD (J. Hassell Run For Two-point Conversion) — MEM win probability +10.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:53: Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 3 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +9.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:14: Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +9.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:51: James Charles run for 3 yds to the Memph 30 — FAU win probability +4.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:24: Kylan Watkins run for 11 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST down — MEM win probability +5.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:35FAU 4th & 4 at MEM 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15MEM 4th & 13 at FAU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:51FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:12MEM 4th & 14 at FAU 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:37FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:47FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:07MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38FAU 4th & 5 at MEM 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:06FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:13FAU 4th & 1 at MEM 24, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−2.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−8.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:29FAU 4th & 1 at MEM 1, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−11.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:09MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 49, up 15
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:33FAU 4th & 7 at MEM 37, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:50FAU 4th & 10 at MEM 17, down 15
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:26MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:22MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:53FAU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:14MEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:2125% → 27%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.6%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
24.9%
Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
25.1%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
25.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
25.7%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
26.0%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 7
50
+5
26.5%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Logan Peterson for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-2
26.8%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
26.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:1273% → 72%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
26.8%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 4 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+25
27.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 25 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
27.0%
Asa Martin run for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
27.2%
Brady White run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
27.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 11 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
27.1%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
27.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Jeremy Tate Jr.Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-5
27.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Matt Dale) to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
27.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+53
28.0%
Riley Patterson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2528% → 29%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Jordan MerrellSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Alexander for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
27.8%
Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Alexander for 20 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
28.8%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
28.7%
Tronti, Nick pass incomplete to Robinson, Brandon, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Oliver, Sylvonta) 6 yards to the MEMPHIS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAATLANTC.Similar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
29.0%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 48 Nick Tronti fumbled, recovered by Memph T.J. CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:1272% → 75%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
27.8%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
27.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
28.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+21
28.2%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 21 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
28.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 4 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+8
27.7%
Asa Martin run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
27.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+15
28.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 15 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.7%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 5 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:2925% → 24%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.8%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
25.0%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
25.0%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.2%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
25.1%
Willie Taggart Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-7
25.0%
Nick Tronti sacked by Jaylon Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+2
24.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 37 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 2 yds to the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:3375% → 74%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
25.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 2 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
25.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
25.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
24.7%
Brady White run for no gain to the Memph 44Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
24.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+36
25.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 36 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
24.4%
Martin, Asa rush for 15 yards to the FLAATLANTC5, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Dykes, Sean) 10 yards to the FLAATLANTC30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 20
OPP 30
0
24.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 20
OPP 30
0
24.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+6
25.2%
Asa Martin run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
25.7%
Riley Patterson 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3125% → 24%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
24.5%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+6
24.9%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
25.0%
Javion Posey pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
24.9%
Javion Posey pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-5
24.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (BJ Etienne) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-1
24.3%
Javion Posey pass complete to James Charles for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+1
23.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 1 yd to the Memph 23 Calvin Austin III fumbled, recovered by Memph Calvin Austin IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8INT
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5474% → 77%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
25.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 18 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
23.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
22.9%
Marquavius Weaver run for no gain to the Memph 44Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+24
23.1%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 24 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
22.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kylan WatkinsSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-11
22.7%
Brady White pass intercepted Zyon Gilbert return for 11 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4024% → 23%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
23.6%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
23.6%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 25
-9
23.5%
Javion Posey sacked by Thomas Pickens for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
22.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2077% → 90%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
22.7%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
22.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
22.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-5
22.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Obinna Eze) to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
22.5%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
22.5%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 10 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
22.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+13
21.5%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 13 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
21.3%
Asa Martin run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
20.9%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.3%
Brady White pass complete to Joseph Dorceus for 2 yds for a TD (J. Hassell Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:1014% → 14%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.8%
Javion Posey run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
14.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Gomez) to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
13.7%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3988% → 88%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
11.6%
Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
11.3%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
11.8%
Brady White pass complete to Asa Martin for no gain to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
11.7%
Adam Williams punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0713% → 23%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
12.9%
James Charles run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
13.0%
Nick Tronti run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+11
13.6%
James Charles run for 11 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
13.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Michael Irvin II for 26 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
14.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Kelvin Dean Jr. for no gain to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
13.8%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+17
13.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 17 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
14.3%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 3Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 3 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0423% → 26%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
23.4%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to James CharlesSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
23.3%
Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+7
22.1%
Nick Tronti pass complete to James Charles for 7 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
23.4%
LaJohntay Wester run for no gain to the Memph 13Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
23.3%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+5
21.9%
Nick Tronti run for 5 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+27
25.6%
Vladimir Rivas 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0877% → 90%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.6%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds Tahj Washington fumbled, recovered by MemphSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
21.7%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
21.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+51
22.8%
Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 51 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
20.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
10.4%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:0214% → 14%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to D'Marcus AdamsSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.4%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
12.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 15 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
14.3%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
14.1%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
13.9%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
13.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
10.6%
Brady White pass complete to Asa Martin for 13 yds Asa Martin fumbled, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:2215% → 13%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
15.1%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
15.1%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
14.5%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 3 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
13.7%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
13.9%
Nick Tronti run for 19 yds to the Memph 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
13.8%
James Charles run for no gain to the Memph 3Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
13.7%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for no gain to the Memph 3Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
12.9%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the Memph 1Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
12.7%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:1593% → 95%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
7.4%
Kylan Watkins run for 11 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
7.2%
Kylan Watkins run for 2 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
7.2%
Marquavius Weaver run for 7 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+5
6.5%
Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
5.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
5.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+11
5.7%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 11 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
4.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
4.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
4.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
4.9%
Adam Williams punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20INT
16 plays · 63 yds · 4:125% → 3%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
5.4%
James Charles run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
5.4%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Willie Taggart Jr.Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
5.3%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+10
5.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 10 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
5.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 6
50
+5
5.3%
Nick Tronti run for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
5.6%
Jordan Merrell run for 5 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
4.9%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
4.8%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Jordan MerrellSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+3
4.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 3 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+20
3.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 20 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
4.0%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
3.9%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
3.6%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 10
OPP 17
-1
3.4%
Nick Tronti pass intercepted Thomas Pickens return for 1 yd to the Memph 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21Uncategorized
6 plays · 48 yds · 3:3097% → 98%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+22
3.0%
Asa Martin run for 22 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
2.6%
Asa Martin run for 12 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
2.4%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
1.7%
Asa Martin run for 6 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
1.7%
Asa Martin run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Brady White pass complete to Joseph Dorceus for 2 yds for a TD (J. Hassell Run For Two-point Conversion)
-10.6
TD · Q3 5:14
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 7 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)
-9.7
TD · Q3 9:53
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 3 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com