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LT

Louisiana Tech 3 at Georgia Southern 38

GASO
2020 · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl · Dec 23, 2020 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-14.7GASO 23.8%Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , KhalebHood returns for a loss of 2 yards tothe GeoSo 31AWAY 28 - HOME 7 · Q2 1:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:11 · Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Home team on offense−26.8Score differential−11.2Pregame prior+11.2Garbage-time factor−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:00: Aaron Allen pass intercepted Justin Birdsong return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 22 — LT win probability +3.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:32: Aaron Allen pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for 9 yds to the GeoSo 10 — LT win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:46: Jacob Barnes punt for 36 yds — LT win probability +9.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:11: Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31 — LT win probability +14.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:54: Shai Werts 1 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick) — GASO win probability +4.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:30GASO 4th & 1 at LT 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:23LT 4th & 9 at LT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:30GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37GASO 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:46LT 4th & 9 at LT 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:37GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:11LT 4th & 4 at LT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:31GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:09LT 4th & 17 at GASO 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:35LT 4th & 8 at LT 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:03GASO 4th & 5 at midfield, down 21
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:23LT 4th & 12 at LT 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:28GASO 4th & 8 at LT 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:30LT 4th & 3 at LT 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:28GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 28, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:47LT 4th & 12 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:52GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5871% → 72%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
71.3%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
71.3%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+43
71.1%
Malik Murray run for 43 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
71.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 6 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
71.3%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
71.2%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
71.0%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.2%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
71.2%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the LaTch 1Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.4%
Shai Werts 1 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0228% → 28%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
72.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+3
72.3%
Aaron Allen run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
72.5%
Jacob Barnes punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2872% → 72%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
72.4%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+2
72.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-1
72.4%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
72.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:4028% → 32%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.3%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
72.4%
Israel Tucker run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
71.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 16 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
71.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 5
OPP 28
0
71.3%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Wayne ToussantSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+11
71.3%
Israel Tucker run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-17
68.0%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Justin Birdsong return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1069% → 68%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
69.3%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
69.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Sean Pelkisson for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Logan WrightSimilar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4332% → 38%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
68.2%
Israel Tucker run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
67.6%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
67.1%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+15
67.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Todd Bradley) to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-9
62.1%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for 9 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7DOWNS TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:3464% → 63%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
63.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
63.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
63.0%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
63.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
63.0%
Khaleb Hood 65 Yd pass from Shai Werts (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2639% → 40%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
61.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 13 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.7%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
60.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+9
60.3%
Israel Tucker run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.7%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
59.7%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted Anthony Wilson return for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:2562% → 59%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.6%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.5%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
62.2%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
61.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
61.8%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
61.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Darion AndersonSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+2
60.8%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 6
50
0
59.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3741% → 52%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.7%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
58.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
58.2%
Aaron Allen sacked by C.J. Wright for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
48.4%
Jacob Barnes punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11DOWNS TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0449% → 48%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
49.0%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+16
48.8%
Darius Lewis run for 16 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
48.2%
Shai Werts 37 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:1556% → 59%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
43.7%
Israel Tucker run for 24 yds to the GASOUTHERN 38 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
43.4%
Israel Tucker run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
43.0%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
42.8%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
42.3%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
41.4%
Jacob Barnes punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5343% → 39%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
42.5%
Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+2
42.4%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
41.3%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
40.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
39.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Matt LaRocheSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+50
39.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2162% → 76%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
38.4%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 3 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
38.3%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+3
38.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 4
OWN 32
-2
23.8%
Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3329% → 32%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
28.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
28.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+4
31.1%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+60
32.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 60 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:1779% → 77%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
21.2%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
21.9%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-7
20.9%
Aaron Allen sacked by Benz Josue for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+45
22.6%
Jacob Barnes 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
30.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1078% → 78%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
21.9%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+7
21.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
22.0%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
22.2%
Jacob Barnes punt for 33 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:1725% → 21%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
24.8%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
25.0%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
24.4%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
24.3%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-4
24.0%
Shai Werts sacked by Bee Jay Williamson for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+8
21.7%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 5
50
0
20.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, downed at the LaTch 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2286% → 89%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
13.9%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+1
13.5%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
13.3%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
12.3%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
11.9%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jacob Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
11.0%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
11.2%
Jacob Barnes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:0616% → 17%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
15.9%
Khaleb Hood run for 9 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
16.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+37
12.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Sean Pelkisson for 37 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.3%
Shai Werts 1 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1893% → 95%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
7.1%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
7.0%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
6.7%
JD Head pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 3 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-12
6.1%
JD Head sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 12 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+8
5.7%
JD Head pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 8 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 14
OWN 40
-10
5.3%
JD Head pass intercepted Justin Birdsong return for 10 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:329% → 5%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
8.9%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
9.1%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+9
8.9%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
8.2%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
8.0%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+4
8.8%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
10.6%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the LaTch 1Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.8%
Jalen White run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
7.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 8Similar
Q4 13:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
5.3%
Alex Raynor 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3597% → 97%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
3.2%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
3.0%
JD Head pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
3.0%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
2.9%
Brady Farlow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:434% → 3%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
3.5%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-2
3.5%
Matt LaRoche run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+6
3.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for 6 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
3.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
1.9%
JD Head pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
1.9%
Harlan Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
1.9%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.8%
Cee Jay Powell pass incomplete to Tahj MageeSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
1.7%
JD Head run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 12
50
0
1.7%
JD Head pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 12
50
0
1.7%
Brady Farlow punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:283% → 2%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
2.6%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
2.2%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
1.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+3
1.5%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+9
1.4%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+55
1.4%
Gerald Green run for 55 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
2.1%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.0%
Gerald Green 4 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:0099% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
0.8%
JD Head pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
0.7%
JD Head pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
0.5%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
0.5%
JD Head pass complete to Israel Tucker for 8 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
0.5%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
0.4%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 20 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.4%
JD Head pass incomplete to Praise OkorieSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+17
0.4%
JD Head pass complete to Joseph Walker for 17 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+99.6
TD · Q2 1:11
Jacob Barnes punt for 35 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31
-14.7
TD · Q2 7:46
Jacob Barnes punt for 36 yds
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com