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TULN

Tulane 27 at Nevada 38

NEV
2020 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Dec 22, 2020 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:54 · Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense+10.3Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:42: Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NEV win probability +12.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:38: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 41 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +9.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:44: Toa Taua run for 50 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +12.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:30: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +18.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:22: Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NEV win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:45NEV 4th & 7 at TULN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23NEV 4th & 1 at TULN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07TULN 4th & 7 at NEV 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:38TULN 4th & 4 at NEV 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−2.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44NEV 4th & 1 at midfield, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.4%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29TULN 4th & 4 at NEV 6, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−9.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00NEV 4th & 6 at TULN 41, up 19
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−1.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:45TULN 4th & 2 at NEV 29, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−1.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:46NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 39, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:54NEV 4th & 1 at TULN 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−3.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−15.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:06NEV 4th & 8 at TULN 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−12.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:43TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 45, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:29NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 12, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:27TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 35, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:17NEV 4th & 1 at TULN 20, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 4:58NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52NEV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42NEV Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:38TULN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:44NEV Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:03TULN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:30TULN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:22NEV Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:19NEV Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:07TULN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1DOWNS
17 plays · 74 yds · 8:2250% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
50.1%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
50.2%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
50.2%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
50.5%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+18
50.8%
Devonte Lee run for 18 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
51.1%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-5
51.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-2
51.0%
Avery Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 22
50
+15
50.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 15 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+23
51.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 23 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
52.0%
Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+2
52.1%
Strong, Carson pass incomplete to Doubs, Romeo, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 2 yards to the TULANE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEVADA.Similar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
52.2%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
52.2%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.1%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.7%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3049% → 48%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
51.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
51.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Stephon HudersonSimilar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+1
51.7%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Christian Swint return for 7 yds to the Tulan 16 TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (-8 Yards) to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:2753% → 56%
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
52.8%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
55.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 11 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:3346% → 45%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+39
54.4%
Michael Pratt run for 39 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
53.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+1
53.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
54.6%
Merek Glover 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0356% → 65%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
56.0%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+7
56.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
57.0%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+27
56.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 27 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
58.0%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
58.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 5 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
64.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 23 yds for a TD Strong, Carson pass attempt to Horton, Tory failed, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 2 yards to the TULANE1, NO PLAY. NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 6 (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.8%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4738% → 37%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
62.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
62.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:0666% → 79%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
65.8%
Carson Strong run for 7 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
66.3%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
78.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:5229% → 38%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
71.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+11
71.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
71.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
71.2%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
71.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Cameron CarrollSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+41
62.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 41 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:4366% → 81%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.4%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
66.4%
Devonte Lee run for 12 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
66.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 8 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
68.3%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.8%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
68.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory HortonSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
68.1%
Carson Strong run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 1
50
+50
81.1%
Toa Taua run for 50 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:5124% → 24%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Lawson Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
76.8%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
75.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
75.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 13 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
74.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 22 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
72.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 6 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+7
74.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 7 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
74.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+4
74.7%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
75.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 4
OPP 6
-17
76.4%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Lamin Touray return for 17 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:1884% → 88%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
83.5%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
86.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for no gain to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+28
86.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 28 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
87.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 10 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
87.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
89.0%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
89.1%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
88.0%
Carson Strong punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3817% → 23%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.1%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
81.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
82.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
82.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 26 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
82.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-2
82.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Lawson Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+7
85.0%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+7
84.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 7 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
83.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+17
84.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 17 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
84.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 6Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.6%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5482% → 82%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
82.2%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
82.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 5 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+1
82.8%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+27
82.3%
Julian Diaz punt for 48 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 27 yds to the NEVADA 34 NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0021% → 40%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
79.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 9 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
79.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 6 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
78.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
59.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 20 yds · 5:0972% → 75%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
72.3%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
72.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
71.7%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
73.6%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+6
74.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
74.5%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
73.2%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
76.2%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the Tulan 2 NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tulan 17Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
77.8%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
78.1%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
76.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
74.9%
Brandon Talton 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:1132% → 34%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
67.6%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
68.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
69.4%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Jackson, Jha'Quan, PENALTY NEVADA pass interference 15 yards to the TULANE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-32
66.2%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted EJ Muhammad return for 32 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:0979% → 89%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
79.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+3
79.2%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+14
78.2%
Strong, Carson pass incomplete to Turner, Cole, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 14 yards to the TULANE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEVADA.Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3014% → 8%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
86.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+9
86.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 9 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
85.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 9 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-10
85.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for no gain to the Nevad 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:0693% → 93%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
92.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-8
92.9%
Carson Strong sacked by Macon Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 5Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+7
92.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
92.5%
Julian Diaz punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -24 yds · 1:359% → 6%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
91.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 16
OPP 33
-10
92.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 26
OPP 43
-8
94.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Trevor Price for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 34
OWN 49
0
94.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:1195% → 99%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
94.9%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+21
95.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 21 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+39
95.7%
Devonte Lee run for 39 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.1%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
96.7%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
98.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 21 yds for a TD NEVADA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 8 (Brandon Talton PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 9 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+10
99.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-9
99.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 18
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 18
OWN 35
-6
99.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Trevor Price for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.1%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-3
99.2%
Carson Strong run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 31 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by Nevad Carson StrongSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+11
99.2%
Devonte Lee run for 11 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
99.2%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
97.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 65 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 25Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:30
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-18.9
TD · Q2 7:44
Toa Taua run for 50 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q2 12:42
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 44 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com