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APP

App State 56 at North Texas 28

UNT
2020 · Myrtle Beach Bowl · Dec 21, 2020 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:56 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Upton Stout returns for 10 yds to the NoTex 31 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (12 Yards) to the NoTex 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior−35.3Home team on offense−3.8Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:29: Marcus Williams Jr. 70 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +5.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Oscar Adaway III 4 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick) — UNT win probability +3.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:11: Camerun Peoples 64 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +5.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:14: Austin Ogunmakin 34 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Ethan Mooney Kick) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:58: Camerun Peoples 62 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:27APP 4th & 8 at APP 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:07UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12UNT 4th & 7 at APP 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:01UNT 4th & 9 at APP 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:56APP 4th & 7 at APP 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:52UNT 4th & 2 at APP 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−1.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:42UNT 4th & 8 at APP 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:50UNT 4th & 4 at APP 14, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:35UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:40UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:33APP 4th & 4 at APP 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:09UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:52APP 4th & 11 at APP 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:26UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 27, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:54APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:07APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:41UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:04APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:29APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:27UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:11APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:14UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:58APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:16APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:03APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:12UNT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1392% → 91%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
8.5%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
8.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+4
8.8%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
9.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 29 yds, downed at the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:089% → 9%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
9.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
9.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
9.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Loronzo ThompsonSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
9.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 35 yds, downed at the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:5190% → 91%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
9.6%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+13
9.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 13 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
9.7%
Nate Noel run for 19 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 37 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
9.2%
Henry Pearson 22 Yd pass from Malik Williams (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:1810% → 10%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
9.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 9 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
9.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+15
9.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 15 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
10.1%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-1
10.2%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
10.3%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
10.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:5290% → 91%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
10.1%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+15
10.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 15 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
10.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+16
10.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Trey Ross for 16 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
10.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
10.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
10.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
10.6%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, Thomas, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS holding 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
10.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
10.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+21
10.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 21 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
10.8%
Peoples, Camerun rush for 5 yards to the NORTHTEXAS2, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS 12 men on the field 4 yards to the NORTHTEXAS3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.3%
Camerun Peoples 3 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0910% → 14%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
9.7%
Jason Bean run for 17 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
10.2%
Jason Bean sacked by Hansky Paillant for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+7
9.9%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 7 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+15
10.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 15 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
10.5%
Jason Bean sacked by D'Marco Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+4
10.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
10.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Loronzo ThompsonSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+14
10.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Roderic Burns for 14 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
10.9%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
11.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Loronzo Thompson for 6 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+3
10.8%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
14.0%
Loronzo Thompson 16 Yd pass from Kason Martin (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0987% → 86%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
12.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 23 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the AppSt 11Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+5
13.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+10
13.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 10 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 2
OWN 26
-5
13.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+10
14.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Upton Stout returns for 10 yds to the NoTex 31 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (12 Yards) to the NoTex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5314% → 15%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
13.7%
Bean, Jason pass complete to Alberding, Asher for 12 yards to the NORTHTEXAS25, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS illegal touching 5 yards to the NORTHTEXAS8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+9
13.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 9 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
14.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Roderic Burns for 8 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.0%
Jason Bean pass complete to Roderic Burns for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
14.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
14.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 17 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
15.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Roderic Burns for no gain to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
15.3%
Jason Bean pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
14.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+3
15.3%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
14.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:2687% → 90%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
13.1%
Zac Thomas run for 22 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
13.0%
Jalen Virgil run for 9 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+7
13.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
13.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 10 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.6%
Henry Pearson 11 Yd pass from Zac Thomas (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:0410% → 11%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
10.3%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
10.6%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
10.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Tre Siggers for 1 yd to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+7
10.5%
Jason Bean run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
11.0%
Jason Bean run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
11.3%
Tre Siggers run for 12 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
11.5%
Tre Siggers run for 9 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+5
11.5%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
11.8%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
11.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
11.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
11.2%
Ethan Mooney 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
5.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. 70 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:537% → 12%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.5%
Jason Bean run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
6.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
50
-10
7.4%
Bean, Jason pass complete to Pirtle, Jason for 9 yards to the APPALCHAN41, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS holding 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+26
6.8%
Tre Siggers run for 26 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
7.7%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-1
7.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 28Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
7.6%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+21
7.4%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 14 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (7 Yards) to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
7.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the AppSt 4Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.6%
Oscar Adaway III 4 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
5.0%
Camerun Peoples 64 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:056% → 6%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
6.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
6.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
6.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+7
6.3%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 41 yds , Malik Williams returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 36 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (11 Yards) to the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3695% → 96%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
5.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
5.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+39
4.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 39 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
4.2%
Peoples, Camerun rush for 2 yards to the NORTHTEXAS29, PENALTY APPALCHAN holding 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 20
OPP 41
0
4.0%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+11
4.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 11 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+4
3.9%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:426% → 12%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
5.7%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
5.6%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 10 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
5.9%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38 Tre Siggers fumbled, recovered by NoTexSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
5.4%
Jason Bean run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
5.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+7
4.8%
Jason Bean pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+7
5.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Loronzo Thompson for 7 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
5.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
5.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
5.4%
Jason Bean run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+34
11.7%
Austin Ogunmakin 34 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1292% → 92%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
8.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
8.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
8.1%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
8.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:119% → 9%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
9.2%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+7
9.2%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
9.4%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Austin OgunmakinSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
9.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Loronzo ThompsonSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
9.0%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 10
OWN 26
-5
8.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+40
9.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Malik Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
1.9%
Camerun Peoples 62 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:553% → 3%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
3.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 24 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
3.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-10
3.4%
Bean, Jason rush for 12 yards to the APPALCHAN35, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS holding 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+1
2.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-17
2.9%
Jason Bean sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 17 yards to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 32
OWN 27
0
2.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 52 yds, downed at the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:1498% → 100%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
1.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the AppSt 37 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 22Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 9
OWN 22
+76
1.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 76 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Camerun Peoples 1 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:121% → 0%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.7%
Tre Siggers run for 15 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
0.7%
Tre Siggers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
0.7%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
0.5%
Jason Bean pass complete to Loronzo Thompson for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
0.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
0.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-77
0.4%
Jason Bean pass intercepted Steven Jones return for 63 yds to the NoTex 0 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (14 Yards) to the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24TD
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
0.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+6
0.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
0.3%
Williams Jr., Marcus rush for 7 yards to the NORTHTEXAS3, PENALTY APPALCHAN holding 10 yards to the NORTHTEXAS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+14
0.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 14 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
0.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 11Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
Camerun Peoples 11 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
0.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
0.1%
Jason Bean pass complete to Roderic Burns for 18 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
0.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 11 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
0.2%
Jason Bean pass complete to Austin Ogunmakin for 15 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Jason Bean pass incomplete to Loronzo ThompsonSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
0.2%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
0.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Loronzo Thompson 7 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
0.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 11 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
0.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-10
0.2%
Peoples, Camerun rush for 7 yards to the NORTHTEXAS46, PENALTY APPALCHAN holding 10 yards to the APPALCHAN37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+4
0.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+2
0.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds , Loronzo Thompson returns for 2 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
0.1%
Jason Bean run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
0.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
0.1%
Gabe Montgomery run for 15 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
0.1%
Gabe Montgomery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-6
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jacob HuesmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Camerun Peoples 62 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)
-7
TD · Q3 6:14
Austin Ogunmakin 34 Yd pass from Jason Bean (Ethan Mooney Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q2 0:11
Camerun Peoples 64 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com