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Oregon 17 at Iowa State 34

ISU
2020 · PlayStation Fiesta Bowl · Jan 2, 2021 · State Farm Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:58: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +5.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:17: Anthony Brown run for 16 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK) — ORE win probability +12.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:44: Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +7.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:27: Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +7.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:30: Connor Assalley 33 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 13:02ISU 4th & 1 at ORE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−2.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:42ISU 4th & 1 at ORE 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.6%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−1.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−5.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:38ISU 4th & 1 at ORE 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−6.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:13ORE 4th & 12 at ISU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:03ORE 4th & 7 at ISU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:03ISU 4th & 13 at ORE 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:30ISU 4th & 12 at ORE 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−1.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−6.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:19ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:02ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:32ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:08ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 24, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11ISU 4th & 2 at ORE 22, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:19ORE 4th & 5 at ISU 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:24ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:58ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:17ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:44ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:27ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:3163% → 66%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
63.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 16 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
63.1%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 1
50
-2
63.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
63.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
63.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
63.4%
Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
63.5%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
63.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan SoehnerSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+10
63.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
63.6%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
63.6%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
63.5%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
63.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 5Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
63.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.9%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:0635% → 39%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
65.3%
Tyler Shough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 26Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+12
65.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 12 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
65.3%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+18
65.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 18 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
64.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 11 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
64.5%
Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
60.7%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 8:0963% → 70%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
62.5%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
62.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
62.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Derek Schweiger) to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+10
62.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
63.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+14
62.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
63.8%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 45Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
63.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 10 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
64.2%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
64.3%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
63.7%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+7
62.9%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
64.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
64.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 14Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
69.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:3232% → 32%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.9%
Mycah Pittman run for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 15Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
68.3%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 15 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Isheem Young, recovered by IowSt O'Rien VanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:2870% → 71%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
70.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe ScatesSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
70.5%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
70.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
69.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
71.8%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 5Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
71.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
70.7%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:1730% → 46%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
70.0%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+12
70.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 12 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
69.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 19 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to DJ JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
69.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
68.6%
Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
67.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 14 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
66.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 11 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
54.5%
Anthony Brown run for 16 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2463% → 75%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
62.8%
Brock Purdy run for 14 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Isaac Slade-Matautia) to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+30
64.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 30 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
64.8%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
64.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
64.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.3%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:1475% → 83%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
75.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 8 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+18
75.1%
Breece Hall run for 18 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 1:0420% → 20%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
80.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 26 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
79.2%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (George Moore) to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+17
80.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 17 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
78.2%
Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
77.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 4 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
78.2%
OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Steven Jones) to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
80.6%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+8
80.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 8 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
80.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Devon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+47
80.2%
Henry Katleman 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5223% → 22%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
77.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 19 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
76.3%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-1
76.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
78.1%
Tom Snee punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FUMBLE
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:5779% → 80%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
78.8%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
79.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
78.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
79.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
80.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
81.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
81.4%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
81.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-3
81.5%
Brock Purdy sacked by Jordon Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 43Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 13
OPP 43
+28
80.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 28 yds , Mykael Wright returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 14 Mykael Wright fumbled, recovered by IowSt Gerry VaughnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2784% → 89%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
84.3%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-5
84.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 16Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
84.1%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
88.6%
Connor Assalley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5914% → 13%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.9%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
86.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon ReddSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+7
86.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
86.7%
Tom Snee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1189% → 90%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
89.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
89.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Darren Wilson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
89.7%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+5
89.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 48 yds , Josh Delgado returns for 5 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1012% → 11%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
88.0%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
87.9%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
88.6%
Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43 Anthony Brown fumbled, forced by Jake Hummel, recovered by IowSt O'Rien VanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1193% → 93%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.6%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
92.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+1
93.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 1 yd to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
93.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Delgado at the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:179% → 8%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
91.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
91.5%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Tom Snee punt for 53 yds, downed at the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 7:3994% → 98%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
94.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 8 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-3
94.2%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-5
94.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+11
94.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
94.7%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+1
95.1%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
95.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+9
95.3%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
95.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+19
95.7%
Breece Hall run for 19 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe ScatesSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
96.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 11 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
96.2%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
96.4%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+5
96.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 5 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
97.7%
Connor Assalley 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:423% → 2%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
96.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 5 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
97.0%
Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Sean DollarsSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+20
97.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Josh Delgado for 20 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
97.6%
Tyler Shough sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+5
97.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 5 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+1
97.5%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 5
OPP 33
-12
97.7%
Tyler Shough pass intercepted Mike Rose return for 12 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
98.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
98.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.1%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
99.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
99.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:17
Anthony Brown run for 16 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK)
-12
TD · Q2 1:44
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 1:27
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com