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CIN

Cincinnati 21 at Georgia 24

UGA
2020 · Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · Jan 1, 2021 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:43 · James Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense+12.5Garbage-time factor+2.5Score differential+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:46: Jack Podlesny 37 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:06: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — UGA win probability +13.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:11: Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK) — UGA win probability +13.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:20: Zamir White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CIN win probability +14.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:43: Jack Podlesny 32 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +17.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 7CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 6
  1. Q1 12:07UGA 4th & 6 at CIN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:37CIN 4th & 1 at UGA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23UGA 4th & 4 at CIN 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:02CIN 4th & 14 at UGA 21, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%
    74% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:16UGA 4th & 2 at CIN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:55UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 38, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:30UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:43CIN 4th & 7 at UGA 28, down 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:49UGA 4th & 9 at CIN 30, up 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:42CIN 4th & 6 at UGA 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:59CIN 4th & 15 at UGA 33, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.1 ptsPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−2.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:59UGA 4th & 3 at CIN 43, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−7.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:28CIN 4th & 2 at UGA 40, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 11.3 ptsPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−1.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−11.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:38UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:29CIN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:11UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:20CIN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4374% → 74%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
74.2%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+9
74.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 9 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
74.1%
Zamir White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+5
74.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to Darnell Washington for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
73.9%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
73.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 37 yds, downed at the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2427% → 27%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
73.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 8 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
73.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
73.1%
James Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:0674% → 73%
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+22
73.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kendall Milton for 22 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
73.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
73.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
73.3%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
73.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:4028% → 25%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
72.3%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Jordan Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+14
72.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 14 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
72.2%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+11
72.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 11 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
71.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+14
75.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:0076% → 75%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+51
76.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 51 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
75.2%
Zamir White run for 12 yds to the Cincy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
75.2%
JT Daniels pass intercepted Coby Bryant return for 1 yd to the Cincy 1 Coby Bryant fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ty Van FossenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5026% → 26%
Q1 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
73.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno LabelleSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.4%
James Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Cincy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:0376% → 71%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
75.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 4 yds to the Geo 40 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (George Pickens) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 16
50
+38
75.5%
JT Daniels pass complete to Darnell Washington for 38 yds to the Cincy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-8
75.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Cincy 10 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Xavier Truss) to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 18
OWN 20
+4
75.1%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 4 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+16
70.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 16 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2332% → 30%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
68.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 3 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-7
68.2%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Adam Anderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 21Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
69.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 14
OPP 21
0
70.3%
James Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4173% → 71%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
72.5%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
72.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+3
71.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Darnell Washington for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+10
70.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 10 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:3333% → 32%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
67.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 12 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
67.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Lewis Cine) to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
67.9%
Tre Tucker run for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+4
68.3%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
67.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
67.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
66.9%
Ridder, Desmond pass complete to Whyle, Josh for 9 yards to the GEORGIA9, PENALTY CINCINNATI ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the GEORGIA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
66.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+8
66.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for 8 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
67.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+33
68.0%
Cole Smith 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:4372% → 62%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+55
71.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Arian Smith for 55 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-9
68.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 1 yd to the Cincy 24 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Demetris Robertson) to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 19
OWN 34
+17
68.6%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 17 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 2
OWN 17
-3
68.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
67.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+37
62.4%
Jack Podlesny 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:3540% → 25%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
59.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-10
59.4%
Ridder, Desmond rush for 4 yards to the CINCINNATI34, PENALTY CINCINNATI holding (Hudson, James) 10 yards to the CINCINNATI20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+14
59.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-4
58.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jakari Robinson) to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+25
57.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 25 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
58.2%
Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
60.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 19 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
61.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerome FordSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 4
-4
62.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 11 yds to the Geo 4 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (James Hudson) to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
61.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 8 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+11
75.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
76.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4433% → 20%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
66.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+79
79.8%
Jerome Ford run for 79 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:4183% → 84%
Q3 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+12
83.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
83.6%
Daniels, JT pass pass intercepted by Cook, Bryan at the CINCINNATI36, Cook, Bryan return 0 yards to the CINCINNATI36, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference (Bush, Arquon) 15 yards to the GEORGIA33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
83.7%
Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
83.7%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
83.2%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
84.1%
Daniels, JT pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the GEORGIA38 (Sanders, Myjai), PENALTY CINCINNATI offside 5 yards to the GEORGIA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
84.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+8
84.1%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
84.2%
Zamir White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 44 Zamir White fumbled, recovered by Geo John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-6
84.2%
JT Daniels sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 17
50
+12
83.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 12 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+20
83.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 20 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
84.1%
JT Daniels sacked by Jarell White for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 23 JT Daniels fumbled, forced by Jarell White, recovered by Cincy Ethan Tucky , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:3420% → 16%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-6
79.7%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Malik Herring for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 17Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 16
OPP 17
0
80.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerome FordSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 16
OPP 17
-9
82.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Adam Anderson for a loss of 9 yards to the Cincy 8Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
83.8%
James Smith punt for 42 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0686% → 85%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
85.6%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
85.6%
Daniels, JT pass incomplete to Pickens, George, PENALTY CINCINNATI offside (Sanders, Myjai) 5 yards to the CINCINNATI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
85.7%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
85.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
85.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 6 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
85.9%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
85.3%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
85.1%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4318% → 15%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
82.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 4 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
82.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 4 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
83.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
84.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
85.4%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5088% → 87%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
88.2%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
88.2%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
87.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 9
OPP 30
0
86.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 57 yds, downed at the Cincy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:4318% → 16%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
82.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+9
82.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
83.0%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-8
84.5%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 25 Desmond Ridder fumbled, forced by Azeez Ojulari, recovered by Geo Adam Anderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:3288% → 74%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 16 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 9
OWN 9
+9
73.6%
Zamir White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:1736% → 28%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Ryan MontgomerySimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
64.5%
Ryan Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-3
65.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by CincySimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+9
68.5%
James Smith run for 9 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
65.5%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-2
65.6%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Quay Walker for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+2
66.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
68.8%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
72.1%
James Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23FG
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:0583% → 64%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+42
83.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 42 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
81.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 23 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
82.5%
JT Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-9
82.3%
JT Daniels sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 9 yards to the Cincy 19 JT Daniels fumbled, forced by Joel Dublanko, recovered by Geo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+5
81.7%
JT Daniels pass complete to Zamir White for 5 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 14
OWN 14
+32
64.0%
Jack Podlesny 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:2944% → 31%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
56.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+11
57.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 11 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
59.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-12
59.6%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 12 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
0
68.6%
James Smith punt for 48 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for no gain to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0478% → 76%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.4%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
78.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 6 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+1
79.0%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 1 yd to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
75.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 1:2645% → 39%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
55.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 5 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
55.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
54.9%
Jerome Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+9
55.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 9 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
55.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
61.0%
James Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:1688% → 95%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
87.9%
JT Daniels pass complete to George Pickens for 15 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
89.2%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
88.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
90.8%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 11 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
91.4%
JT Daniels pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 4 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
93.7%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
95.0%
JT Daniels pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 6:43
Jack Podlesny 32 yd FG GOOD
-17.8
TD · Q4 13:20
Zamir White run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-14.8
TD · Q2 0:06
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)
+13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com