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UL

Louisiana 24 at App State 21

APP
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2020 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDSAFETYSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:24 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+6.8Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:25: Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UL win probability +6.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:52: Trey Ragas run for 17 yds for a TD Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 07:52 (L. Lewis Run For Two-point Conversion) — UL win probability +21.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:29: Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +17.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:17: Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +25.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 6:36: TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETY — APP win probability +6.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:24UL 4th & 8 at APP 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:10UL 4th & 1 at APP 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:03UL 4th & 18 at UL 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:51UL 4th & 10 at UL 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:06APP 4th & 2 at UL 41, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:26APP 4th & 5 at UL 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00UL 4th & 2 at APP 9, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%−1.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:10UL 4th & 3 at APP 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−3.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:12APP 4th & 13 at APP 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−3.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:37APP 4th & 4 at APP 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:09APP 4th & 9 at UL 23, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−9.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q2 6:25UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:52UL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:29UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:17APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:3243% → 42%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
57.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+10
57.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
57.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+7
57.4%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
57.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+9
57.4%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
50
0
57.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
50
-1
57.2%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+3
57.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 8
OPP 48
-2
57.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:4358% → 61%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
57.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
58.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
58.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
58.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+6
58.3%
Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
58.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
61.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 0 yds · 4:1039% → 38%
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
61.0%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+25
61.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
50
0
60.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
50
+5
60.9%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
60.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
61.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
60.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
61.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4MISSED FG
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4364% → 64%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
63.9%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
64.2%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Mike EvansSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-1
63.8%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:1337% → 35%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.7%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
63.0%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+26
63.4%
Levi Lewis run for 26 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
61.6%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
61.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-9
62.6%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 44 Levi Lewis fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Max MitchellSimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 18
OWN 44
+10
64.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds , Malik Williams returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:1965% → 67%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
64.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+7
65.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
66.0%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+9
66.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
67.1%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 49 Camerun Peoples fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Zi'Yon Hill , return for 2 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 3:0637% → 44%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
62.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
63.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
61.9%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
62.5%
Levi Lewis run for 16 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
62.7%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:5061% → 64%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
61.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 7 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
62.4%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
62.8%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 2
50
+1
63.6%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
63.2%
Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.1%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Chauncey Manac return for no gain to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3242% → 39%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
58.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
58.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
59.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+36
61.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 40 yds , Malik Williams returns for 36 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10FG
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:2164% → 65%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
63.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
64.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
63.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+10
62.3%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.9%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
64.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 7 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-2
63.6%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
64.7%
Chandler Staton 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:2339% → 44%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
61.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 22 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
57.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 17 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
57.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
57.6%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
56.5%
Kenneth Almendares 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12INT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:1662% → 60%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.8%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
63.1%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
62.0%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
62.7%
Zac Thomas sacked by Chauncey Manac and Andre Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+3
61.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
59.8%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Mekhi Garner return for no gain to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:4142% → 65%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
57.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
59.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+8
60.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+9
59.5%
Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
57.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
57.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
55.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
55.8%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+17
34.6%
Trey Ragas run for 17 yds for a TD Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 07:52 (L. Lewis Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2941% → 38%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
41.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
40.7%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
39.7%
Zac Thomas sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+3
37.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:4064% → 89%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
36.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
36.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+6
35.5%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+46
33.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 46 yds to the AppSt 16 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Peter LeBlanc for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
31.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 8 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
30.1%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
30.4%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
29.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
29.0%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 3Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
28.7%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.5%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:5916% → 36%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
16.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
16.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
16.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
17.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
14.7%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+16
14.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 16 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+15
16.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 15 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
16.9%
Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
16.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Milan Tucker for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+8
16.1%
Zac Thomas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
14.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
14.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+22
10.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17SF
5 plays · -26 yds · 1:3378% → 73%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
21.9%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
21.6%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
20.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 5
OWN 31
-31
26.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 4:1936% → 27%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
35.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+2
31.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
29.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
34.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
34.9%
Peoples, Camerun rush for 6 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE substitution infraction 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
34.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
33.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 12 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
37.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
36.2%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+1
31.4%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 9
OPP 23
-4
27.3%
Zac Thomas sacked by Ferrod Gardner and Chauncey Manac for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19SF
7 plays · -27 yds · 0:1987% → 86%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
13.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
9.2%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
8.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-35
14.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 1:3233% → 20%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
33.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
35.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
31.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
35.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
34.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
32.2%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+15
23.6%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Virgil, Jalen, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
29.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
27.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+30
19.9%
Chandler Staton 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
6.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:17
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
+25.4
TD · Q3 7:52
Trey Ragas run for 17 yds for a TD Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 07:52 (L. Lewis Run For Two-point Conversion)
-21.2
TD · Q3 0:29
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-17.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com