Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 10 at Marshall 51

MRSH
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:52 · - Georgeopoulos punt for 35 yds, downed at the UMass 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+43.2Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+2.1Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:01: Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 2 yds for a TD (Jeremy Martin KICK) — MASS win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:52: Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 19 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:38: Jeremy Martin 46 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:38: Sheldon Evans run for 11 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:47: Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MRSH win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:28MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42MRSH 4th & 6 at MASS 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 18, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:51MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:52MRSH 4th & 1 at MASS 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:04MRSH 4th & 7 at MASS 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:38MASS 4th & 9 at MRSH 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at MRSH 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:46MASS 4th & 22 at MASS 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:04MASS 4th & 4 at midfield, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:54MRSH 4th & 6 at MASS 11, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:50MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 11, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:28MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:02MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:52MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:38MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:47MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:46MRSH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:04MRSH Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 16 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+5
99.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.3%
Brenden Knox run for 45 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.3%
Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-3
99.3%
Jared Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
99.3%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 55 yds, downed at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 27 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-1
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Grant Wells punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:481% → 1%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.1%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
99.1%
Will Koch run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+19
99.1%
Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jamare Edwards) to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
99.0%
Will Koch pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 37 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+12
99.0%
Koch, Will pass incomplete to Edwards, Taylor (DRAYTON, B.), PENALTY MAR pass interference (DRAYTON, B.) 12 yards to the MAR2, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 2 yds for a TD (Jeremy Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 4:5999% → 99%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
98.9%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Devin MillerSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
98.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
98.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+18
98.9%
Grant Wells run for 18 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
98.9%
Brenden Knox run for 12 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 10 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.0%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-3
99.0%
Grant Wells sacked by Mike Ruane for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+15
99.0%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to GAMMAGE, Corey, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Boykin, Noah) 15 yards to the UMASS20, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.0%
Grant Wells run for 6 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
98.7%
Brenden Knox run for 14 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:021% → 2%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
98.7%
Will Koch pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
98.7%
Will Koch pass complete to Melvin Hill for 5 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-1
98.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 18 Ellis Merriweather fumbled, forced by TJ Johnson,Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
98.5%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Artie HenrySimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
98.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey Gammage, broken up by Josh WallaceSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 1 yd to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
98.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
98.4%
Will Koch pass incomplete MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
98.4%
Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
98.4%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
98.5%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 37 yds, downed at the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0098% → 99%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
98.4%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 11
50
+11
98.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 11 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Artie HenrySimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 9 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+6
98.3%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
98.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 19 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
98.6%
Will Koch run for no gain to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
98.6%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr., broken up by Tavante BeckettSimilar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 10
OWN 9
-1
98.6%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
98.6%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 35 yds, downed at the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.6%
Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+15
98.6%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Willie, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Boykin, Noah) 15 yards to the UMASS29, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
98.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
98.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Cody JonesSimilar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+7
98.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 7 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
98.8%
Shane Ciucci 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:262% → 2%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Will Koch pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
98.4%
Will Koch run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
98.5%
Will Koch run for 12 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
98.5%
Jared Cole pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 25 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-3
98.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
98.4%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
98.0%
Jeremy Martin 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:0098% → 99%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
98.1%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
98.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Brenden Knox for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+8
98.1%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
98.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Devin Miller for 25 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
98.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 21 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 11 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.0%
Will Koch pass complete to Melvin Hill for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
99.0%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 8 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
50
+2
98.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Will Koch pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr., broken up by Eli NealSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
98.9%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:1299% → 100%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.2%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 5 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 16 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+7
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Brenden Knox for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+16
99.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Artie Henry for 16 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Brenden KnoxSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+17
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (13 Yards) to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jared Cole run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
99.9%
Will Koch sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 16 Will Koch fumbled, recovered by Marsh Darius Hodge , return for 0 yards , return for 18 yds to the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 16 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jared Cole run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 10 yds Samuel Emilus fumbled, forced by Abraham Beauplan, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Jared Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-6
99.9%
Will Koch sacked by Sam Burton for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
Will Koch sacked by Sam Burton and Eli Neal for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 34 yds , Steven Gilmore returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 30 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (Sheldon Evans) to the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
WELLS, Grant pass incomplete to MCMILLAN, Caleb, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Boykin, Noah) 15 yards to the UMASS46, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.9%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 13 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+10
99.9%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 10 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 14 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Jared Cole run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Victor Santiago for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jaret Pallotta for 5 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Jared Cole run for 5 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jared Cole for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 4
50
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 4
50
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:42100% → 100%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
50
+19
99.9%
Luke Zban run for 19 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
99.9%
Luke Zban sacked by Tanner Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Lawrence Papillon run for 5 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
ZBAN, Luke pass incomplete to RICHARDSON, A., PENALTY UMASS holding (Magdis, Zack) 10 yards to the UMASS25, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Luke Zban run for 10 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Lawrence Papillon run for 3 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Luke Zban run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 6
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Jaron WoodyardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro run for 3 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
100.0%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-4
100.0%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Immanuel Bush and Elijah Alston for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
- Georgeopoulos punt for 56 yds, downed at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Luke Zban run for 9 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
100.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:38
Sheldon Evans run for 11 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q3 6:47
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+0.7
FG · Q2 2:38
Jeremy Martin 46 yd FG GOOD
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com