Try the model
MASS

Massachusetts 0 at Liberty 45

LIB
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2020 · Williams Stadium (VA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:06 · George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+46.4Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.4Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:38: Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 1:29: Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down — LIB win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:12: Joshua Mack run for 59 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:39: Malik Willis pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:41: Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 41 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:04MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04LIB 4th & 19 at LIB 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:06MASS 4th & 10 at LIB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:31MASS 4th & 10 at LIB 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:11MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38MASS 4th & 15 at LIB 39, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:55LIB 4th & 6 at MASS 29, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:41MASS 4th & 4 at LIB 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:00MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:15LIB 4th & 9 at MASS 40, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:23MASS 4th & 24 at MASS 17, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:26LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 4, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:38LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:12LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:39LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:41LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:14LIB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:26LIB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 59 yds, downed at the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
98.2%
Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.1%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 24 Malik Willis fumbled, forced by Jake Byczko, recovered by LiberSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-8
98.1%
Malik Willis sacked by Mike Ruane and Taishan Holmes for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
98.0%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
98.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 49 yds, downed at the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:302% → 2%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.9%
Josiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
97.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
97.8%
Josiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+25
97.7%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 10 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
97.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+5
97.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1698% → 98%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+9
97.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
97.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 13 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
97.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 7 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+9
97.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 9 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
97.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5FUMBLE
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:443% → 3%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.5%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jaret Pallotta for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
97.4%
Josiah Johnson run for 9 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
97.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+8
97.2%
Garrett Dzuro run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 1
50
+2
97.1%
Josiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the Liber 48 Josiah Johnson fumbled, forced by Javon Scruggs, recovered by UMass Josiah Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.1%
Josiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
96.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+9
97.0%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 9 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+15
96.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
96.7%
Samuel Emilus run for 3 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-1
96.6%
Josiah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 28 Josiah Johnson fumbled, forced by Ralfs Rusins, recovered by Liber Aaron PierreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:1797% → 98%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
96.9%
Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
97.6%
Joshua Mack run for 59 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:303% → 3%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.4%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
97.3%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 17 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
97.2%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 31 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
97.0%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
96.9%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-5
96.9%
Josiah Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
97.1%
Jeremy Martin 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4497% → 98%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
97.3%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+10
97.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 10 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+42
97.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 42 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
97.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 12 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.3%
Jared Cole run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Garrett Dzuro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 48 yds, downed at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5699% → 100%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.5%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
98.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
98.5%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
98.5%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.5%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
98.5%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
98.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Te'Rai Powell) to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 41 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:511% → 1%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.5%
Jared Cole run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Cam RobersonSimilar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+33
99.6%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Javon Turner for 33 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.4%
Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+9
99.4%
Garrett Dzuro run for 9 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
99.4%
Samuel Emilus run for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+1
99.4%
Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Evan Deckers pass incomplete to Noah BoykinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Chris BarrettSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 8 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+13
99.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 13 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Chris Barrett for 1 yd to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+37
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 37 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for no gain to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+19
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 19 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.7%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+11
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
99.8%
Alex Barbir 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+32
99.8%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 32 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
99.7%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-2
99.7%
Garrett Dzuro run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 6 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.8%
Malik Willis run for 54 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Cam Roberson run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Chris Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+28
99.8%
Chris Ferguson pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 28 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Joshua MackSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Samuel Emilus at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 15Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+20
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 20 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass intercepted Quinton Reese return for 4 yds to the UMass 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 10 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 15 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jared Cole run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Jared Cole run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Abosi) to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 19
OWN 22
-5
99.9%
Garrett Dzuro sacked by Mason Wolk for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 24
OWN 17
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 73 yds, downed at the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22Uncategorized
19 plays · 82 yds · 11:45100% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 11 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 10 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 7 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Brody BrummSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 9 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 1
OPP 34
-4
99.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 6 yds to the UMass 34 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Jaivian LoftonSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+25
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 25 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for no gain to the UMass 4Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 5Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the UMass 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:39
Malik Willis pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 4:41
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 41 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 1:12
Joshua Mack run for 59 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com