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ULM

UL Monroe 14 at South Alabama 38

USA
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 13 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+18.7Home team on offense+6.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score differential+2.5Time remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:07: Colby Suits pass intercepted for a TD Devin Rockette return for 95 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — ULM win probability +0.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:51: Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 80 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +4.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:54: Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED) — ULM win probability +6.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:25: Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +0.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:26: Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 4 yds for a TD (Colby Suits pass to Jevin Frett for Two-Point Conversion) — USA win probability +0.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 8 at USA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:07ULM 4th & 16 at ULM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01USA 4th & 8 at ULM 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:01ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:15USA 4th & 15 at USA 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:16ULM 4th & 2 at USA 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02USA 4th & 9 at ULM 45, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    83.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 1 at USA 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−1.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:35ULM 4th & 11 at USA 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:01ULM 4th & 6 at USA 47, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:26USA 4th & 6 at ULM 28, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:39USA 4th & 5 at ULM 5, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:07USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:51USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:54ULM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
84.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
84.3%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
84.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
84.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2INT TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:4416% → 17%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
84.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 8 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
83.9%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
83.9%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
83.9%
Colby Suits run for 25 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
83.9%
Josh Johnson run for 16 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-95
83.4%
Colby Suits pass intercepted for a TD Devin Rockette return for 95 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.8%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
83.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 4 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
83.9%
Suits, Colby pass incomplete to Hodoh, Jonathan, PENALTY USA pass interference (Flenord, Davyn) 7 yards to the ULM(3)37, 1ST DOWN ULM(3), NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.7%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
83.8%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
83.8%
Colby Suits sacked by N/A for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
84.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 51 yds , Jalen Wayne returns for no gain to the SAlab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:1584% → 84%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
83.7%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 16Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-8
83.6%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Mason Husmann and Seth Mason for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 8Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 20
OWN 8
+27
83.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 27 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.8%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
84.0%
Desmond Trotter run for 14 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
84.1%
Caullin Lacy run for 14 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.1%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
84.1%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
84.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
83.8%
Diego Guajardo 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Chandler Whitfield, broken up by Charles Coleman IIISimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.7%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
83.8%
Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds, downed at the SAlab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:4284% → 88%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
83.6%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+80
88.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 80 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5113% → 12%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.3%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
87.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for no gain to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
88.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to KeyShawn Johnson, broken up by Keith GallmonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.9%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
89.0%
Caullin Lacy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-8
88.7%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Ivin White Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter at the LaMon 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
88.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter for 9 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-3
87.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
88.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 7 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
88.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 12 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
88.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
88.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
88.1%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10INT
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+41
90.5%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 41 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
90.9%
Carlos Davis run for 11 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
90.9%
Chance Lovertich pass intercepted Hunter Smith return for 5 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:3511% → 18%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
89.2%
Josh Johnson run for 18 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
88.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
88.9%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+15
89.1%
Suits, Colby pass incomplete to Bloomfield, Jah (Sheriff, Jamie), PENALTY USA face mask (Rosette,Patrick) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ULM(3), NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
50
+35
88.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 35 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
87.7%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+5
88.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 5 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+13
88.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 13 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.7%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12END OF HALF
14 plays · 54 yds · 3:5284% → 85%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.8%
Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
83.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.2%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
84.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Josh NewtonSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+9
84.2%
Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
85.1%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-10
84.8%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Traveion Webster for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 21
OWN 43
+12
83.3%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+24
84.5%
Chance Lovertich run for 24 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:2516% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
83.9%
Perry Carter run for 20 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
82.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 26 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
81.3%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+5
81.3%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
82.2%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+13
82.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 13 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.3%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 11 Josh Johnson fumbled, forced by Chris Henderson, recovered by LaMon Colby SuitsSimilar
Q3 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
84.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for no gain to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
85.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
86.6%
Davis Hughes 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:1087% → 89%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.5%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+32
86.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 32 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
87.7%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
87.8%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+15
87.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 15 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
88.2%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+15
88.2%
Carlos Davis run for 15 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
88.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.2%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 4:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:2413% → 12%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
87.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 22 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Tyler Lamm UL MONROE Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.3%
Chandler Whitfield run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
87.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Chandler WhitfieldSimilar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 6
OPP 47
-4
88.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:4389% → 90%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
89.2%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
89.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 13 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
89.8%
Trotter,Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY ULM(3) pass interference (Newton, Josh) 15 yards to the ULM(3)20, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.9%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
89.9%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
90.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 16 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:479% → 12%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.6%
Colby Suits sacked by N/A for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+37
90.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 37 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
88.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 15 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
87.8%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+18
87.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 18 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 4 yds for a TD (Colby Suits pass to Jevin Frett for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
20 plays · 71 yds · 10:4790% → 97%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
90.2%
Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
90.6%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
90.2%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
90.7%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
90.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 7 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
90.9%
Trotter,Desmond pass incomplete to Baker, Kawaan, PENALTY ULM(3) pass interference (Wiggins, Kevric) 15 yards to the ULM(3)32, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
91.5%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
91.5%
AJ Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-1
90.9%
Desmond Trotter sacked by N/A for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+7
90.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for 7 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
91.5%
Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
91.5%
Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
91.5%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the LaMon 9Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
91.5%
Phillips, AJ rush for loss of 1 yard to the ULM(3)10 (Shelby, Ty), PENALTY USA holding (Jernigan, Tyler) 10 yards to the ULM(3)19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+4
91.2%
AJ Phillips run for 4 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
90.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jared Wilson for 10 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19Uncategorized
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
96.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 8 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Chandler WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
96.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 11 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
96.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 26 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:54
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED)
-6.7
TD · Q1 0:51
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 80 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+4.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com