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JXST

Jacksonville State 19 at Florida International 10

FIU
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2020 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:17 · Chase Gabriel 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense−5.6Garbage-time factor−4.7Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:43: Josh Samuel run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +7.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:53: Alen Karajic 20 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +14.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:28: Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +14.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:39: Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:39 — JXST win probability +14.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:35: Alen Karajic 23 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +3.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:38JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:45FIU 4th & 4 at JXST 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:58JXST 4th & 5 at FIU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:58FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:43FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08JXST 4th & 5 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:08FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:53JXST 4th & 3 at FIU 3, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−10.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:28JXST 4th & 8 at FIU 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−10.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:28JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−1.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:17FIU 4th & 12 at JXST 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−12.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:17JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:38FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:35JXST 4th & 1 at FIU 7, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%−3.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−11.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:35FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 40, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1JXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:43JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:28FIU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.9%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
80.9%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.9%
Stone Norton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
80.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
80.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Logan McVay for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 19Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
80.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Josh Samuel for 3 yds to the JaxSt 22Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-6
80.6%
Zerrick Cooper sacked by Tyson Maeva for a loss of 6 yards to the JaxSt 16Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+14
80.7%
Preston Knight punt for 38 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 14 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1080% → 80%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
80.4%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
80.4%
D'vonte Price run for 10 yds to the JaxSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
80.5%
Stone Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 28Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+8
80.4%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 8 yds to the JaxSt 20Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
80.4%
Stone Norton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
80.1%
Chase Gabriel 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:4720% → 22%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.9%
Uriah West run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 30Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
79.8%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Logan McVay for 8 yds to the JaxSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
79.7%
Uriah West run for a loss of 4 yards to the JaxSt 34Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+2
79.9%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+24
80.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 24 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
79.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 22 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
79.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Quan Charleston, broken up by Rishard DamesSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
79.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Quan Charleston, broken up by Jamal AndersonSimilar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+5
79.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
79.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
77.9%
Alen Karajic 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
78.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
78.1%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
78.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 64 yds , Jayson Jones returns for no gain to the JaxSt 2 Jayson Jones fumbled, recovered by JaxSt Jayson JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
17 plays · 98 yds · 7:3222% → 33%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
77.8%
Josh Samuel run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+7
77.7%
Josh Samuel run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
77.6%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 19Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+5
77.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Josh Samuel for 5 yds to the JaxSt 24Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+8
77.8%
Zion Webb run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
77.4%
Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 33Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+17
77.5%
Josh Samuel run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
50
-1
76.8%
Uriah West run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+21
75.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Josh Samuel for 21 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
74.3%
Josh Samuel run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
74.2%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
74.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Uriah West for 1 yd to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
73.9%
Zion Webb run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
74.5%
SAMUEL,Josh rush for no gain to the FIU3 (MAEVA, T), PENALTY FIU offside (OMU,H) 1 yards to the FIU2, 1ST DOWN JSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.3%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.2%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.1%
Max Bortenschlager run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
70.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.3%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
71.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-8
71.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
69.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JaxSt 13 , Zack Woodard returns for no gain to the JaxSt 13 Zack Woodard fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 6:3533% → 39%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
67.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quan Charleston for 3 yds to the JaxSt 16Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
67.0%
Uriah West run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 20Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
67.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Uriah West for 5 yds to the JaxSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
66.5%
Uriah West run for 13 yds to the JaxSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
65.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jared Scott for 9 yds to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
64.9%
Uriah West run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
64.6%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
64.5%
WEBB,Zion pass incomplete to SCOTT,Jared, PENALTY FIU offside 5 yards to the FIU38, 1ST DOWN JSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
64.5%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-10
64.2%
WEST,Uriah rush for loss of 4 yards to the FIU36 (DAMES,RISHARD), PENALTY JSU holding (HILL,Cam) 10 yards to the FIU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+15
65.3%
WEBB,Zion sacked for loss of 10 yards to the JSU48 (CURTIS,N), PENALTY FIU personal foul (MERCIER,J) 15 yards to the FIU27, 1ST DOWN JSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
64.4%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
64.4%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+1
64.6%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
61.0%
Alen Karajic 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D'vonte PriceSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
57.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
56.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Quan Charleston at the JaxSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0047% → 49%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
52.6%
Josh Samuel run for 9 yds to the JaxSt 43Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
51.1%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
51.4%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quan CharlestonSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
51.5%
Josh Samuel run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:0747% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.6%
Josh Samuel run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
52.3%
Josh Samuel run for 14 yds to the JaxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
51.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Josh Samuel for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
50.9%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
50.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quan Charleston for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
51.4%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
50.9%
Uriah West run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
50.5%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
50.5%
Uriah West run for no gain to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.4%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
37.5%
Alen Karajic 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
41.8%
D'vonte Price run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
43.1%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
43.4%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Nate Jefferson, broken up by Kolbi FuquaSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
42.1%
Stone Norton run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 46 Stone Norton fumbled, forced by George Steele, recovered by JaxSt Robert JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5267% → 72%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
32.7%
Josh Samuel run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
31.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 16 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-13
31.8%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15 JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 23
OPP 30
0
32.0%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 23
OPP 30
+8
32.4%
Josh Samuel run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+7
32.9%
Uriah West run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+8
28.4%
Alen Karajic 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Rishard Dames N/A return for 8 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:0036% → 55%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
36.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+32
38.0%
Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 32 yds to the JaxSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
40.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 11Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
40.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+6
38.1%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
40.0%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 6Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
54.8%
Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.1%
Josh Samuel run for 7 yds to the JaxSt 32Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
42.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Josh Samuel for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
43.7%
Zion Webb pass incomplete, broken up by Tevin JonesSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+39
45.6%
Preston Knight punt for 45 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 39 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5154% → 47%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
53.6%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+16
53.4%
Stone Norton pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 16 yds to the JaxSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
56.1%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
56.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-4
52.9%
Stone Norton sacked by Stevonte Tullis for a loss of 4 yards to the JaxSt 23Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
46.7%
Chase Gabriel 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
40.0%
Uriah West run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 22Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+20
40.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Uriah West for 20 yds to the JaxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
37.0%
Uriah West run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-3
36.8%
Josh Samuel run for a loss of 3 yards to the JaxSt 44Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
37.7%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Trae Barry, broken up by Jamal AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
40.4%
Preston Knight punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
45.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
45.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+1
44.0%
Stone Norton run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
43.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quan Charleston at the JaxSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19FG
18 plays · 66 yds · 7:2269% → 93%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
31.3%
Josh Samuel run for 9 yds to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
29.9%
Josh Samuel run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
28.9%
Josh Samuel run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 46Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
28.9%
Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+9
29.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quan Charleston for 9 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
27.6%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
27.7%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
27.6%
Uriah West run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
26.9%
Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+12
26.7%
Josh Samuel run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
26.7%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, false start (Dave Russell III) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+12
26.8%
Uriah West run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
12.4%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
10.7%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+23
7.4%
Alen Karajic 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.5%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
5.4%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Kameren WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
5.1%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Kris Mitchell, broken up by Malik FeasterSimilar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
4.7%
Stone Norton pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-1
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-1
6.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:28
Stone Norton pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+14.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:39
Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:39
-14.4
FG · Q3 9:53
Alen Karajic 20 yd FG GOOD
-14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com