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AKR

Akron 7 at Buffalo 56

BUF
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:54 · Kyle Romenick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+19.6Blowout margin+9.5Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:23: Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — AKR win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:05: Kevin Marks Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:42: Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:05: Kevin Marks Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:51: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 52 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK) — BUF win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30BUF 4th & 5 at AKR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:49AKR 4th & 10 at BUF 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:42AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:59AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:01AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:42AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:54AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 41, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:51AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 47, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:26BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 38, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:13AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:45BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 40, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:56AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 22, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:05AKR 4th & 1 at BUF 11, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:23BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:05BUF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:42BUF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:05BUF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:51BUF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:13BUF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:05AKR Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:42BUF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Teon DollardSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
96.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Eddie Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+14
96.8%
Kyle Romenick punt for 33 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 14 yds to the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:0797% → 96%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac LefebvreSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+4
96.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jovany Ruiz for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+7
96.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jovany Ruiz for 7 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 5 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+9
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+9
96.6%
[PSTL], VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to NUNN, Antonio (WATTS, A.J.), PENALTY AKRON pass interference (WATTS, A.J.) 9 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Akron 2Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3MISSED FG TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:344% → 4%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.0%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
96.0%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
96.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 15 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
95.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 26 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
95.8%
Teon Dollard run for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
95.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Tyrone HillSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
95.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr., broken up by E.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+63
96.1%
Cory Smigel 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tyrone Hill Tyrone Hill return for 63 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
96.1%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.1%
Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
96.1%
Kyle Romenick punt for 38 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 7 yds to the Buff 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 38Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
96.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jovany RuizSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
96.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac LefebvreSimilar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
96.0%
Evan Finegan punt for 50 yds, downed at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
95.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Shawn Naim for 3 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
95.8%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+2
95.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+9
95.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 46 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Buff 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:1196% → 98%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-5
96.1%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (FUZAK, Jake) 5 yards to the UB46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
96.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
96.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
96.1%
Jaret Patterson run for 17 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.5%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:583% → 3%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 3 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
97.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 10 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.2%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
97.2%
Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
97.2%
Jeremiah Knight run for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
97.4%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 2:1398% → 99%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
98.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 40 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.0%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Shawn Naim, broken up by Aapri WashingtonSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.2%
Zach Gibson sacked by George Wolo and Max Michel for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+9
99.2%
Kyle Romenick punt for 39 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 9 yds to the Buff 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+30
99.2%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 30 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.3%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Shawn NaimSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.4%
Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 7
50
-9
99.4%
Zach Gibson sacked by George Wolo and Max Michel for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Kyle Romenick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:5699% → 100%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 9 yds to the Buff 25Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 12 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 40 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (Bernard Porter) to the Buff 30Similar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 17
OWN 30
+3
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+7
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+1
99.4%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 41Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Evan Finegan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
99.5%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 13 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.5%
[PSTL], PENALTY UB false start (KLENK, Jack) 5 yards to the UB24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+18
99.5%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 18 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.5%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 48Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+52
99.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 52 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
99.6%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Nate Stewart for 9 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
99.6%
T.J. DeShields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+3
99.6%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 7 , Ron Cook Jr. returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (Isaiah King) to the Buff 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 8:13100% → 100%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 13Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+17
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 17 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 34Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 34Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Matt Myers pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 4 yds to the Buff 38Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+18
99.7%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 18 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+18
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 18 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.8%
[PSTL], MYERS, Matt pass complete to PORTER, Bernard for 13 yards to the AKRON13 (RICHARDSON, Jul), PENALTY UB ineligible downfield on pass (BURNISTON, Cole) 5 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+2
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+8
99.8%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+7
99.8%
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
99.8%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 10 yds to the Akron 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Matt Myers run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
T.J. DeShields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ron Cook Jr. at the Buff 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-10
99.9%
[PSTL], MYERS, Matt rush for 58 yards to the AKRON0, clock 13:45, PENALTY UB holding (ZIKUSKI, Nick) 10 yards to the UB32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Caron Robinson run for 1 yd to the Buff 33Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Matt Myers pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 7 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jackson Baltar punt for 32 yds, downed at the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
T.J. DeShields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-8
99.9%
T.J. DeShields sacked by Kyler Laing for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Caron Robinson run for 4 yds to the Buff 41Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Trevor Bycznski pass intercepted A.J. Watts return for no gain to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
100.0%
[SGUN], DESHIELDS, T.J. pass incomplete to GRIMES, Tony, PENALTY AKRON holding (MURPHY, Owen) 10 yards to the AKRON32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Shawn NaimSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 9 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+15
100.0%
BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Kevin Marks Jr.) to the Buff 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 24 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
T.J. DeShields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for no gain to the Buff 20Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+9
99.9%
Jeremiah Knight run for 9 yds to the Buff 11Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 11 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Caron Robinson run for 4 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+27
99.9%
Caron Robinson run for 27 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Caron Robinson run for no gain to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
100.0%
Tajay Ahmed run for 44 yds for a TD (Jackson Baltar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Tristian Brank for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
[SGUN], DESHIELDS, T.J. pass complete to KNIGHT, Jeremia for 6 yards to the AKRON38 (TATE, Caleb), PENALTY UB offside (38) 5 yards to the AKRON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+24
100.0%
Jeremiah Knight run for 24 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 7 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 4 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the Buff 23Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-34
100.0%
T.J. DeShields pass intercepted Javien Cuff return for 34 yds to the Buff 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:05
Kevin Marks Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 7:42
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 8:23
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com