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WMU

Western Michigan 27 at Ball State 30

BALL
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1.2BALL 51.0%Thiago Kapps 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 6 · Q2 10:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:13 · Thiago Kapps 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:01: Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 32 yds for a TD (Jack Knight KICK) — BALL win probability +12.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 5 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +12.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:04: La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +15.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:30: Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 55 yds for a TD (Drew Plitt pass to Yo'Heinz Tyler for Two-Point Conversion) — BALL win probability +36.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:29: Jack Knight 22 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +29.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:50WMU 4th & 8 at BALL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 2 at BALL 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    49.2%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:09BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:13WMU 4th & 5 at BALL 33, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:40BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:04BALL 4th & 10 at WMU 29, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:30WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:57WMU 4th & 4 at BALL 11, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%−2.0
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−24.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:57BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:14WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−5.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:29BALL 4th & 5 at WMU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−3.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−34.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:19BALL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:45WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:01BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:04WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:35BALL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:30BALL Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    45.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:1050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
49.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 18 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
49.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
49.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
49.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
49.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
49.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 6 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-4
49.7%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
49.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
49.9%
Thiago Kapps 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
50.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Tye Evans for 8 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
50.4%
Tye Evans run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
50.4%
Tye Evans run for 3 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-15
50.5%
JONES, Will rush for 18 yards to the WMU36 (GARNER, B.), PENALTY BALL personal foul (SLAVEN, Kaleb) 15 yards to the BALL31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 22
OWN 31
+5
50.0%
PLITT, Drew sacked for 1 yard to the BALL32 (HOLLEY, R.), PENALTY WMU offside defense (CARTER, A.) 5 yards to the BALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+5
50.0%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
49.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
49.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, downed at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3FUMBLE
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
50.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
50.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 13 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
49.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
49.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
49.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
49.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 11 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
49.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 21 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by WMich Kaleb ElebySimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+4
49.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+5
49.7%
BALL ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+4
49.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 4 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+4
49.9%
ELEBY, K. rush for no gain to the BALL8, PENALTY BALL offside defense (AGYEMANG, Chris) 4 yards to the BALL4, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+20
49.4%
Wesley French run for no gain to the WMich 40 Wesley French fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jimmy Daw , return for 20 yds to the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:4151% → 54%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
51.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+27
51.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 27 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.4%
Tye Evans run for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Knight PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:1947% → 47%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
53.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 51 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
51.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
51.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore, broken up by Malcolm LeeSimilar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+5
51.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 5 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
51.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
51.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+5
51.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 6
-1
52.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
53.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
53.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
52.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Tye EvansSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
52.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 54 yds, downed at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:1946% → 49%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
53.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
52.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
52.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+13
52.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for 13 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
52.2%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
51.5%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-3
52.1%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
51.0%
Thiago Kapps 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · -15 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
53.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
54.3%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
54.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Dylan Koch for 5 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Will JonesSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-12
54.5%
Drew Plitt sacked by Marshawn Kneeland and Braden Fiske for a loss of 12 yards to the BalSt 34 Drew Plitt fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 23
OWN 34
-5
52.0%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 28
OWN 29
-9
51.9%
Drew Plitt sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 9 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 37
OWN 20
0
51.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 51 yds , Cam Cooper returns for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1650% → 61%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+27
50.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 12 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (Malcolm Lee) to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
48.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+16
48.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 16 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
39.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 24 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:3942% → 58%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
42.3%
Tye Evans run for 4 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
42.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
41.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
44.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+2
41.7%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
43.0%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
44.3%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
44.9%
Justin Hall run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+9
44.7%
Will Jones run for 9 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
45.8%
Tye Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
57.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 32 yds for a TD (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 2:3449% → 65%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
50.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
50.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
50.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
50.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
47.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
46.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
46.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+9
47.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
46.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
46.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 6 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
34.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 5 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.7%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
41.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.1%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
39.3%
Justin Hall run for 17 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
41.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
40.4%
Jalen McGaughy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
39.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
37.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:2764% → 82%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
36.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
34.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
34.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
34.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+25
34.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 25 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
33.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+7
33.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 0:0022% → 24%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+26
23.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 26 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
25.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
25.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 3 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+8
25.4%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
26.2%
Tye Evans run for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
25.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
24.7%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Ralph HolleySimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+7
24.0%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0083% → 84%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
17.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
17.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
17.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 6 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
16.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
15.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for no gain to the WMich 38 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
16.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
15.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-5
15.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 48 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by WMich Kaleb ElebySimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-14
15.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Chris Agyemang return for 14 yds to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3919% → 30%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
18.6%
Will Jones run for 7 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
18.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
18.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
18.7%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
29.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 13 yds for a TD BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 8 (Jack Knight PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
21.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
22.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
22.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Jimmy DawSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
23.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, downed at the BalSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
59.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 55 yds for a TD (Drew Plitt pass to Yo'Heinz Tyler for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:2849% → 52%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
51.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
50.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+12
51.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 12 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
47.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
47.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+21
47.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 11 yds to the BALLST 41 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
44.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
44.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
44.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
44.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-3
46.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 11Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
48.0%
Thiago Kapps 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
55.8%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-5
58.5%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
55.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
54.7%
Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
56.7%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
57.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 4 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
58.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete, broken up by Ralph HolleySimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
55.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 45%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
50.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
51.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
52.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 26 yds, downed at the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:1763% → 94%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
63.1%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+14
63.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.6%
Will Jones run for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
64.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 8 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
62.3%
Tye Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
64.6%
Tye Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Kailien Guillory) to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
64.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
67.8%
Will Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.2%
Will Jones run for no gain to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.7%
Jack Knight 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0814% → 16%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
86.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:30
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 55 yds for a TD (Drew Plitt pass to Yo'Heinz Tyler for Two-Point Conversion)
+36
FG · Q4 0:29
Jack Knight 22 yd FG GOOD
+29.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com