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NIU

Northern Illinois 33 at Eastern Michigan 41

EMU
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:57 · Dustin Fletcher run for 3 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense+18.3Pregame prior+4.3Garbage-time factor+5.7Score differential+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:25: Erin Collins run for 9 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +10.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:48: Darius Boone Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:39: Ross Bowers pass complete to Messiah Travis for 18 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +13.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:14: Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +8.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:17: Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 8 (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +10.8 pts (now 14%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12EMU 4th & 1 at NIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45EMU 4th & 10 at NIU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:56NIU 4th & 6 at EMU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:13EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:01NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:40EMU 4th & 6 at NIU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:21NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:32NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:50NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:57NIU 4th & 1 at EMU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−3.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:08EMU 4th & 8 at NIU 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:07NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:00NIU 4th & 3 at EMU 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:00EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 46, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:37EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:11NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:15EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:25NIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:48EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:39NIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:14EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:17NIU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:1364% → 66%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
64.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
64.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
64.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
64.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
64.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+10
64.7%
Trey Bess III run for 10 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
64.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 13 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
64.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the NoIll 14Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
66.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 14 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2834% → 34%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
65.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-3
65.5%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
66.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 3 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
66.2%
Matt Ference punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:4566% → 68%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
66.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 36 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
67.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
67.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 9 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
67.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
67.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
67.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
67.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
67.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
67.5%
Chad Ryland 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:3233% → 33%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
66.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 19 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
66.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
50
+9
66.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 9 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
66.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+4
66.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.7%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
67.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+4
67.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+46
67.0%
John Richardson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:2935% → 39%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
65.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
60.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 19 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:4464% → 70%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
63.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
63.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 7 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
63.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
63.8%
Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
64.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
64.9%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
64.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+29
64.9%
Samson Evans run for 29 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
70.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1232% → 31%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
68.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
68.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Matt Ference punt for 60 yds, downed at the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1869% → 68%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
68.9%
Trey Bess III run for 20 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
69.3%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Jordan Hansen for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-5
69.2%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by James Ester for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+9
68.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for 9 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+5
67.9%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 5 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4932% → 30%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
68.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
68.7%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
70.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 6 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
69.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Dennis RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1573% → 73%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
72.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Myles McGee) to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
72.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
72.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 3 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+7
72.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
73.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 7 yds to the NoIll 3Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
73.5%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 6Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
73.1%
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11Uncategorized
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0927% → 25%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
73.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
75.4%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:5074% → 77%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
74.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
74.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
75.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jordan Hansen) to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
76.3%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+17
76.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 17 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
77.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25 Preston Hutchinson fumbled, recovered by NoIll Kyle PughSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3326% → 24%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
73.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
74.2%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+50
75.6%
Matt Ference punt for 50 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
74.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:4125% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
75.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
74.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 10 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
73.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
75.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Dennis RobinsonSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+61
81.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 7 yds for a TD Dennis Robinson fumbled, forced by Kempton Shine, recovered by EMich Mark Lee Jr. , return for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:2913% → 25%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
86.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
87.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
86.8%
Erin Collins run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
87.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Messiah Travis for 4 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+13
87.2%
Dustin Fletcher run for 13 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
86.5%
Dustin Fletcher run for 9 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+28
86.5%
Dustin Fletcher run for 28 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 8
OPP 11
+4
85.9%
Erin Collins run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 11 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tariq Speights) to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
86.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
75.4%
Erin Collins run for 9 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0080% → 93%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
80.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
80.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 10 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
81.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 24 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
82.7%
Trey Bess III run for 7 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+6
82.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
92.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:449% → 22%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
91.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
91.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Messiah TravisSimilar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+21
91.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
50
0
91.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Messiah TravisSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
50
+5
91.6%
Dustin Fletcher run for 5 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
91.9%
Dustin Fletcher run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
92.2%
Dustin Fletcher run for 3 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
92.4%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+10
92.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
92.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
92.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
92.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
78.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Messiah Travis for 18 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2486% → 84%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
86.0%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-4
85.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
84.0%
Chad Ryland punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoIll 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5115% → 13%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
85.4%
Erin Collins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 5Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
85.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
86.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+8
87.0%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:3587% → 96%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
87.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+9
87.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+26
87.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 26 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the NoIll 1Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
14 plays · 11 yds · 5:444% → 2%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
96.0%
Dustin Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+8
96.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
96.1%
Dustin Fletcher run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
96.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
96.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
96.1%
Dustin Fletcher run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-2
96.1%
Dustin Fletcher run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+3
96.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 3 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
96.8%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-4
97.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 38 Ross Bowers fumbled, recovered by NoIll Ross Bowers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 38
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Matt Ference punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23SF
4 plays · -20 yds · 0:3198% → 98%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-18
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 28
OWN 2
+4
98.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 24
OWN 6
-6
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:493% → 14%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
97.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 11 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
97.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Devin Lafayette for 13 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
96.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
96.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 11 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 8 (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:5695% → 98%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-3
95.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 12
OPP 49
-5
98.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:00
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
98.0%
Chad Ryland punt for 49 yds, downed at the NoIll 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27Uncategorized
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:495% → 6%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
94.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 13 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+23
94.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Messiah Travis for 23 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
92.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 5 yds to the NoIll 46 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 20
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+19
94.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 19 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:39
Ross Bowers pass complete to Messiah Travis for 18 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q4 2:17
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 8 (John Richardson KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q3 8:25
Erin Collins run for 9 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com