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BGSU

Bowling Green 3 at Akron 31

AKR
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of GamePUNT+7.9AKR 79.6%Mason Lawler punt blocked by MichiahBurton blocked by Michiah Burton GavinBlunt return for no gain for a TD(Cory Smigel KICK)AWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 3:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:46 · Mason Lawler punt blocked by Michiah Burton blocked by Michiah Burton Gavin Blunt return for no gain for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+3.2Pregame prior+6.6Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:54: Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +5.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 11:54: Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Akron 20 — BGSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q2 3:46: Mason Lawler punt blocked by Michiah Burton blocked by Michiah Burton Gavin Blunt return for no gain for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +7.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:53: Teon Dollard run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 31 — AKR win probability +3.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:45: Teon Dollard run for 9 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +10.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:53AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32AKR 4th & 18 at BGSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12BGSU 4th & 5 at AKR 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:49BGSU 4th & 10 at AKR 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:49AKR 4th & 7 at BGSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:46BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:04BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:08AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:14BGSU 4th & 9 at AKR 18, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:45BGSU 4th & 7 at AKR 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:34BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:59AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 34, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:59BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:29AKR 4th & 6 at BGSU 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:54AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:45AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:34AKR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
61.9%
Teon Dollard run for 22 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
61.9%
Teon Dollard run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
61.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Teon DollardSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
61.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete, broken up by Caleb BiggersSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
61.9%
Zach Gibson sacked by Kholbe Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 14:53
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
61.9%
Kyle Romenick punt for 40 yds , Jake Rogers returns for no gain to the BwGrn 11 Jake Rogers fumbled, recovered by Akron Gavin BluntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:1962% → 62%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
62.2%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-3
62.2%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 21 Teon Dollard fumbled, forced by Roland Walder, recovered by Akron Zach GibsonSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 20
OPP 21
+2
62.0%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 18
OPP 19
+36
62.1%
Cory Smigel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 8:0838% → 40%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
62.1%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
62.2%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+9
62.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
61.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
61.8%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+16
61.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden Jr. for 16 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
61.6%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
61.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 7 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
61.7%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
61.6%
Matt McDonald run for 7 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
61.6%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+7
61.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Terion Stewart for 7 yds to the Akron 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
61.6%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
61.6%
Matt McDonald sacked by Ja'Quize Cross for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
61.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 8 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
59.8%
Nate Needham 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1861% → 69%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.4%
Teon Dollard run for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+19
62.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 19 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
62.8%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
62.3%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+18
62.6%
Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
63.3%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
63.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 10 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
63.3%
Zach Gibson sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+5
63.3%
Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
68.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0533% → 32%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.3%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+53
67.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 53 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
64.4%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
64.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Eric BentleySimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
65.8%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
67.9%
Nate Needham 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
68.1%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
68.1%
DOLLARD, Teon rush for loss of 4 yards to the AKRON20 (SPIRES, Blaine;ROBERTS, Jerry), PENALTY BGSU face mask 15 yards to the AKRON39, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
69.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
68.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
69.7%
Teon Dollard run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
69.7%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+1
69.2%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
68.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Kyle Romenick punt for 42 yds, downed at the BwGrn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5229% → 20%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
70.6%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
70.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
71.7%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 11
OWN 1
0
79.6%
Mason Lawler punt blocked by Michiah Burton blocked by Michiah Burton Gavin Blunt return for no gain for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:3422% → 21%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
78.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 6 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+4
78.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden Jr. for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
78.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin Morris BOWLING GREEN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+7
78.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Presley Motes for 7 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
79.2%
Mason Lawler punt for 31 yds, downed at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9END OF HALF
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:4281% → 82%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
80.7%
Jeremiah Knight run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
80.5%
Jeremiah Knight run for 14 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
81.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
81.5%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
80.7%
Jeremiah Knight run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
81.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
81.6%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-12
81.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 12 yards to the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
80.2%
Matt McDonald run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
79.0%
Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
79.3%
Matt McDonald sacked by Randy Cochran Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
79.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-44
80.5%
LaBronz Davis pass intercepted A.J. Watts return for 44 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 2:0884% → 95%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
84.0%
Teon Dollard run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+29
84.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 29 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
84.0%
Zach Gibson sacked by Roland Walder for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.7%
Teon Dollard run for 9 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.3%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+54
92.9%
Terion Stewart run for 54 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
92.1%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+7
92.1%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Akron 2 Andrew Clair fumbled, forced by Bubba Arslanian, recovered by Akron Corey Thomas Jr. AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (2 Yards) to the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
94.8%
Teon Dollard run for 15 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
94.9%
Teon Dollard run for 17 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
94.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-5
94.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Kyle Romenick punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
94.8%
Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
94.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden Jr.Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
94.7%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
94.4%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+12
94.8%
Bryson Denley run for 12 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
94.2%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+2
94.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Javonte Kinsey for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+4
94.8%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the Akron 18 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 9
OPP 18
0
94.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Presley MotesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1997% → 98%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.0%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
97.0%
Zach Gibson run for no gain to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+6
96.9%
Teon Dollard run for 6 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+33
97.8%
Kyle Romenick punt for 44 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 33 yds to the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-3
97.5%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+8
97.8%
Matt McDonald run for 8 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-5
97.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-11
97.9%
Matt McDonald sacked by Bubba Arslanian for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
98.6%
Teon Dollard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 3
50
+50
99.8%
Teon Dollard run for 50 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Bryson DenleySimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Mason Lawler punt for 33 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for no gain to the Akron 17 Jeremiah Knight fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 10 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Kyle Romenick punt for 45 yds , Jake Rogers returns for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Andrew Clair, broken up by Randy Cochran Jr.Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Mason Lawler punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-2
99.9%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Jordan AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 12 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:45
Teon Dollard run for 9 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
+10.6
PUNT · Q2 3:46
Mason Lawler punt blocked by Michiah Burton blocked by Michiah Burton Gavin Blunt return for no gain for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q2 11:54
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com