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EMU

Eastern Michigan 53 at Western Michigan 42

WMU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:47 · Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+26.0Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:35: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +11.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:49: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 61 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:02: Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +20.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:50: La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +14.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:46: Samson Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +18.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:59EMU 4th & 10 at WMU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47EMU 4th & 1 at WMU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:35WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 34, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:54EMU 4th & 5 at WMU 35, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:05EMU 4th & 7 at WMU 28, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−8.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:25EMU 4th & 7 at WMU 7, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−11.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:42WMU 4th & 5 at EMU 5, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:14EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 2, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:10WMU 4th & 7 at EMU 26, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:09WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:20EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:58WMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:53EMU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:12WMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:35EMU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:49EMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:54WMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:02EMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:50WMU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:46EMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:42WMU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.9 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%−1.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
81.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
81.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
81.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+2
81.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+3
81.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
81.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+38
81.7%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds , Cam Cooper returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 6:0781% → 82%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
81.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
81.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
81.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
81.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+6
81.0%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 16 yds to the WESTMICH 48 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Skyy Moore) to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
81.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
81.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
81.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
81.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
81.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for 8 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+9
81.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:1019% → 21%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.3%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Ali Fayad and Corvin Moment for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
81.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+66
81.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 66 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
80.4%
HUTCHINSON, P. pass incomplete to KNUE, Tanner, dropped pass, PENALTY EMU illegal participation 5 yards to the WMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
80.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
80.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 10Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
79.1%
Chad Ryland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
79.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Alex MerrittSimilar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
79.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the WMich 39 Jaxson Kincaide fumbled, forced by Mark Lee Jr., recovered by EMich Freddie McGee IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:2722% → 25%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
78.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
78.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond, broken up by Bricen GarnerSimilar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
78.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
78.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
78.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
75.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 28 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:2277% → 79%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
76.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 17 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
77.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
77.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
77.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 40 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (D'Wayne Eskridge) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 6
50
+50
78.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 50 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:0522% → 29%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+44
78.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 44 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
76.4%
HUTCHINSON, P. rush for 33 yards to the WMU0, clock 13:01, PENALTY EMU holding (ODUKOYA, Thomas) 10 yards to the WMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+4
77.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+5
77.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ralph Holley) to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
76.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+18
77.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 18 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
76.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
76.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+7
76.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
77.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:4176% → 81%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
76.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+49
81.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 49 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:3720% → 34%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
79.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+8
79.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
79.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
78.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
79.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
78.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
78.6%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
78.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
78.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+7
78.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+32
66.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
70.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
70.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Alvinoski LaFleurSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:4532% → 46%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
67.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
67.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+61
54.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 61 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
58.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0656% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
56.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
57.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
50
-1
58.3%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 48 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by WMich La'Darius Jefferson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
58.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
58.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+5
58.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
59.7%
ELEBY, Kaleb pass complete to MOORE, Skyy for 8 yards to the EMU27 (SHINE, Kempton), PENALTY WMU illegal participation 5 yards to the EMU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+4
57.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+6
58.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+10
58.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
59.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 13 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 7 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:5238% → 62%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
62.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+18
60.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
59.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-4
58.4%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Ali Fayad and Kailien Guillory for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
60.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner Knue, broken up by Corvin MomentSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+9
62.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 9 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
58.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+5
58.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ali Fayad) to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-3
58.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 25 Preston Hutchinson fumbled, forced by Andre Carter, recovered by EMich Preston HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+17
60.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 17 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
58.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
38.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5162% → 69%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
38.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Harrison TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
38.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
39.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan Beydoun, broken up by Keith Jones Jr. EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
31.5%
Chad Ryland 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
33.8%
ELEBY, Kaleb pass complete to ESKRIDGE, D. for 7 yards to the WMU42 (SHINE, Kempton), PENALTY WMU holding (TORRES, Anthony) 10 yards to the WMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 20
OWN 25
-5
33.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 20 Kaleb Eleby fumbled, recovered by EMich Aaron HamiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0474% → 81%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
25.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+9
25.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
25.8%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Kailien Guillory for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 13Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 13
OPP 0
0
26.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the WMich 13Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
26.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
26.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 1:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
19.0%
Chad Ryland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:3522% → 40%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
22.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
23.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
22.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
24.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+49
23.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 49 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
25.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
39.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0470% → 92%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
28.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
27.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
27.5%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+37
27.2%
Samson Evans run for 37 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
25.6%
EVANS, Samson rush for no gain to the WMU14 (GARNER, Bricen), PENALTY WMU personal foul (HAYWARD, T.) 7 yards to the WMU7, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
25.6%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
7.6%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
18 plays · 77 yds · 4:0411% → 20%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
10.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-6
11.9%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Aaron Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+15
10.6%
ELEBY, Kaleb pass incomplete, PENALTY EMU roughing passer (RAMIREZ, Jose) 15 yards to the WMU41, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
12.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 10 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
12.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+28
11.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 28 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall, broken up by Jose RamirezSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
13.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+12
12.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
14.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
14.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 5 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+18
14.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 18 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
14.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 4
OWN 0
0
6.5%
ELEBY, Kaleb rush for 4 yards to the EMU0, clock 06:26, PENALTY EMU substitution infraction off-setting, PENALTY WMU illegal shift off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.3%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 5Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal participation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 37 yds · 4:2890% → 97%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
10.4%
BOONE, Darius rush for 2 yards to the WMU37 (HAYWARD, T.), PENALTY WMU offside (CARTER, Andre) 5 yards to the WMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+4
9.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
9.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
10.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
9.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+12
5.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Treshaun Hayward) to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
5.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.2%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the WMich 7Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
4.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
3.5%
Chad Ryland 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
2.7%
PENALTY EMU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY WMU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
3.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 6 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+23
3.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 23 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
4.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
4.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 8 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
3.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 2
OPP 21
-5
3.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
3.0%
Gavin Peddie 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
2.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:02
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-20
TD · Q4 9:46
Samson Evans run for 4 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)
-18
TD · Q4 13:50
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com