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BGSU

Bowling Green 10 at Ohio 52

OHIO
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:45 · Tristian Vandenberg 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+10.7Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+28.9Blowout margin+15.0Garbage-time factor+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:30: Nate Needham kickoff for 61 yds , Julian Ross return for 96 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:50: Matt McDonald pass complete to Javonte Kinsey for 26 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK) — BGSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:51: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 5 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:54: Armani Rogers run for 29 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:42: Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 2 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:45BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22BGSU 4th & 4 at OHIO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:44BGSU 4th & 7 at OHIO 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:46BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 47, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:52BGSU 4th & 4 at OHIO 4, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:08BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:05OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 38, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:45OHIO 4th & 8 at BGSU 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:45BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:45OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 34, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:35BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 45, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:45OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:28OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:50BGSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:51OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:54OHIO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:42OHIO Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:08OHIO Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:1590% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
90.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
90.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
90.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
90.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+12
90.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 12 yds Shane Hooks fumbled, forced by Darren Anders, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.8%
MCDONALD, Matt pass incomplete to MORRIS, Quintin (DUGAN, B.), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation (TANNER-BLAIR, T) 5 yards to the BGSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
89.8%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
89.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
89.8%
Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
90.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 70 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
90.2%
Andrew Clair run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
90.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 13 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
90.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
90.1%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
90.1%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
90.1%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
90.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
90.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 6 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
90.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
90.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
90.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:1910% → 11%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
90.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
90.1%
Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.1%
Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
90.0%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+36
90.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 36 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
89.7%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-2
89.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-1
89.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
88.6%
Nate Needham 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:338% → 12%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
91.8%
Andrew Clair run for 35 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
91.5%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+17
91.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Quintin Morris for 17 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
91.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+26
88.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Javonte Kinsey for 26 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:5389% → 93%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
88.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 10 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
88.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
88.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
88.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
89.1%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
89.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+14
88.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
89.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-2
89.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-5
88.9%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Kurt Danneker) to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+13
88.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 13 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
89.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
89.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
89.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 5 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
92.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
92.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+5
92.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:0293% → 97%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-5
92.9%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Walton for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+9
92.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 9 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.3%
Armani Rogers run for 29 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Alvin Floyd return for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 1:0397% → 99%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
97.4%
Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+23
96.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 2 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
98.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Clair for 21 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Jett EladSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 10
OWN 47
-52
99.2%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Tanner Allton return for 52 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+30
99.2%
Tristian Vandenberg 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.1%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+42
99.1%
Andrew Clair run for 42 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.0%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
98.8%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.0%
Matt McDonald sacked by Jared Dorsa for 0 yards to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 5:3699% → 100%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+8
99.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
99.4%
Armani Rogers run for 12 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.4%
Armani Rogers run for 5 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
99.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 12 yds to the Ohio 48 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Shane Hooks) to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
99.4%
Armani Rogers run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 43 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.7%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.7%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Matt Naranjo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
99.7%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+2
99.7%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-8
99.7%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-13
99.9%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Jett Elad return for 13 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Tristian Vandenberg 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jalen Grant) to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for 1 yd to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
WILSON, J. punt 40 yards to the BGSU33, fair catch by ROGERS, Jake, PENALTY BGSU illegal formation (WIMBERLY, P.) 5 yards to the OHIO32, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
Cj Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Taron Keith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Taron Keith run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Taron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Taron Keith run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
LaBronz Davis pass incomplete to Taron KeithSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
99.9%
Cj Harris run for 13 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Cj Harris run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Cj Harris pass complete to Tanner Allton for 4 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jonathan Barna run for no gain to the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:54
Armani Rogers run for 29 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 4:51
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 5 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q1 0:30
Nate Needham kickoff for 61 yds , Julian Ross return for 96 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com