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NIU

Northern Illinois 27 at Western Michigan 30

WMU
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameTD-5.4WMU 80.0%Ross Bowers pass complete to TyriceRichie for 3 yds for a TD (JohnRichardson KICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q2 14:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 3 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+29.4Home team on offense−2.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:25: John Richardson kickoff for 65 yds , D'Wayne Eskridge return for 100 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +8.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:56: Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 8 (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +19.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:28: John Richardson 40 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +10.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:12: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK) — WMU win probability +27.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:23: Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +20.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44NIU 4th & 10 at WMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:02NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 46, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:02NIU 4th & 2 at WMU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54NIU 4th & 3 at WMU 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:46WMU 4th & 13 at NIU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:46NIU 4th & 19 at NIU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:08NIU 4th & 8 at WMU 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:17WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:38NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:17WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:56WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:35NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:42WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:28NIU 4th & 4 at WMU 22, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−17.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:12NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:07WMU 4th & 18 at WMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−10.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:15NIU 4th & 21 at NIU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−14.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:23WMU 4th & 7 at NIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−29.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:05NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:02WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:45WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:38NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:56NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:12WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 5:1613% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
87.0%
Ross Bowers run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-3
87.0%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+10
87.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 10 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
87.0%
Andrew Haidet run for 1 yd to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
87.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Braden Fiske) to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 45
-1
87.0%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
87.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Treshaun Hayward) to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-5
87.0%
Ross Bowers sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+14
87.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
87.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 22 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
87.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
87.0%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
85.2%
John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:4285% → 86%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
85.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
85.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 15 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
85.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
85.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 43 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:0814% → 20%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
85.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 10 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
85.6%
Erin Collins run for 7 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
85.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 5 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
85.5%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
85.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Corvin MomentSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+8
85.7%
Andrew Haidet pass complete to Messiah Travis for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
85.4%
Jyran Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Jyran Mitchell fumbled, recovered by NoIll Jyran Mitchell , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 14
50
+2
85.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 2 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+14
85.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 14 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
85.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
85.3%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+7
85.4%
Ross Bowers run for 7 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+17
85.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 17 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
85.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
85.3%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
85.4%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 12Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
85.4%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 9 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 3 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:0882% → 79%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
82.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 14 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
82.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+10
82.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
82.1%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Weston Kramer for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
81.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+3
80.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q2 11:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
79.4%
Thiago Kapps 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
79.0%
COLLINS, Erin rush for 8 yards to the NIU28 (CARTER, Andre;THOMAS, A.J.), PENALTY NIU holding (ZSCHERNITZ, Log) 10 yards to the NIU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+1
79.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 11Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
79.2%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 19
OWN 11
0
79.5%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
79.9%
Matt Ference punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:4680% → 83%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
80.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Demond Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+19
80.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 19 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
81.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+6
81.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
81.0%
Kaleb Eleby run for 11 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0719% → 28%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
81.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
80.0%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+30
80.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 30 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
79.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 16 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Ralph Holley) to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
72.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 9 yds for a TD (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1721% → 18%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
80.2%
Jyran Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
80.4%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Bricen GarnerSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
81.6%
Ross Bowers punt for 30 yds, downed at the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
81.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by James EsterSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
81.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+25
80.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 25 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
81.7%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
82.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
82.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Jordan GandySimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-10
82.3%
ELEBY, Kaleb rush for 4 yards to the NIU45 (O'MALLEY, Devon), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the WMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+7
80.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 7 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
80.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
80.7%
Erin Collins run for 9 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+3
80.0%
Erin Collins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
80.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-2
79.5%
Ross Bowers sacked by Braden Fiske and Bricen Garner for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
79.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
77.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.5%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 19Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
77.9%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Bricen GarnerSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+3
78.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+3
79.4%
Matt Ference punt for 48 yds , Cam Cooper returns for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
78.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
79.0%
Kaleb Eleby run for 6 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-1
79.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
77.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:2724% → 46%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
76.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 15 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
75.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+12
74.0%
Erin Collins run for 12 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
73.3%
Erin Collins run for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-1
73.4%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+39
73.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 39 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 8 (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
61.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
58.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
56.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
56.9%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+25
58.8%
Matt Ference punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cam Cooper at the WESTMICH 26 NORTHERNIL Penalty, kick catching interference (Kyle Pugh) to the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
58.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
56.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds D'Wayne Eskridge fumbled, forced by Zhamaine March,Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
57.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
54.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 7:0749% → 71%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
50.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
50.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
50.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
49.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
44.4%
Ross Bowers sacked by Andre Carter and Braden Fiske for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+19
46.6%
Dustin Fletcher run for 19 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
43.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice RichieSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
43.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+2
44.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+10
42.7%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Denni, PENALTY WMU holding (LUPRO, Patrick) 10 yards to the WMU28, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
38.9%
Erin Collins run for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
39.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel CrawfordSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+5
40.3%
Erin Collins run for 5 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
29.5%
John Richardson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:1635% → 72%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
35.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+57
34.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 57 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
44.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
71.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
59.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
55.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-2
56.2%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
60.8%
Matt Ference punt for 49 yds, downed at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
62.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+16
62.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 16 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
63.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
63.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-8
61.2%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Daveren Rayner for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 18
OWN 25
+3
59.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0046% → 41%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
54.1%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
55.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Harrison TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 12
OWN 31
-9
57.2%
Ross Bowers sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 21
OWN 22
+28
59.5%
Matt Ference punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cam Cooper at the WESTMICH 35 NORTHERNIL Penalty, kick catching interference (Zhamaine March) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:2167% → 89%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
50
+14
66.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 14 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
67.2%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 27 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
69.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 11 La'Darius Jefferson fumbled, recovered by WMich La'Darius JeffersonSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
70.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
67.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge, broken up by Jordan GandySimilar
Q4 2:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
88.7%
Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:1813% → 12%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
87.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-10
86.6%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to WAYLEE, Harriso, PENALTY NIU holding (CHAMPE, John) 10 yards to the NIU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+13
88.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-4
86.5%
Ross Bowers sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 34 Ross Bowers fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
87.7%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-1
92.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:12
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 26 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)
+27.8
FG · Q4 2:23
Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG GOOD
+20.9
TD · Q3 6:56
Ross Bowers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 3 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 8 (John Richardson KICK)
-19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com