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CMU

Central Michigan 31 at Eastern Michigan 23

EMU
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2020 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:49 · Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior−15.1Home team on offense+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.5Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:02: Preston Hutchinson run for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:02: Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds for a TD (Ty Brock pass to Drayton Law for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +24.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:34: Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +32.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 2:31: Marshall Meeder 21 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +24.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:43: Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +25.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:05CMU 4th & 9 at EMU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:12CMU 4th & 10 at EMU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−2.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56EMU 4th & 4 at CMU 16, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:49EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:22CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 20, down 4
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:58CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:51EMU 4th & 7 at CMU 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:59CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−3.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−12.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:07EMU 4th & 14 at CMU 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:01CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−2.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−11.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:02CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:59EMU 4th & 11 at CMU 11, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−11.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:58CMU 4th & 1 at EMU 3, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−8.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:31CMU 4th & 3 at EMU 3, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−2.0
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−27.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:08EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:58EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:02EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:02CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:34CMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.6 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:43CMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−3.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:4229% → 32%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
29.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
29.5%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+10
29.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 10 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+43
30.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 43 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
30.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
31.6%
Preston Hutchinson 3 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:2869% → 67%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
31.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 6 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+18
31.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 18 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
31.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
31.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+11
32.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
32.1%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-3
32.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 14
OPP 37
+5
33.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+51
32.9%
Marshall Meeder 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:5934% → 35%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
33.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
33.8%
Trey Bess III run for 10 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
34.5%
Trey Bess III run for 6 yds to the CMich 39 Trey Bess III fumbled, forced by Troy Brown, recovered by CMich Alonzo McCoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:2867% → 65%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
33.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
33.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
33.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
33.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
33.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
33.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
33.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
33.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+9
33.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
34.1%
Ty Brock run for 6 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
34.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the EMich 2 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hunter Buczkowski) to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+2
34.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-1
34.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
34.8%
Marshall Meeder 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:1036% → 38%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
35.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 18 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
37.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 32 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
37.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
38.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
38.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Thomas OdukoyaSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
38.1%
Chad Ryland 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0963% → 64%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
36.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
37.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+55
36.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 55 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds Lew Nichols III fumbled, forced by Alvinoski LaFleur, recovered by EMich Terry MyrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3739% → 39%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
39.1%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+17
39.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
39.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
41.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
40.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
39.3%
Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1360% → 58%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
40.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
40.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+7
41.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 7 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+5
41.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 64 yds , Jeff Hubbard returns for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:0841% → 56%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
41.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 8 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-6
42.6%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Mohamed Diallo for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+12
40.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
43.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
43.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 13 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
45.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
45.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 18 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
46.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
55.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 20 yds for a TD (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5248% → 44%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
52.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
51.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
51.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
52.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
55.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 5 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
56.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 2:5457% → 62%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
57.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 14
0
57.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+7
57.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.0%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+5
59.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
60.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+17
60.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 17 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
63.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
63.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
62.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
61.6%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:4639% → 39%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
61.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 16 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
61.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 6 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
60.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
60.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 4 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
61.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 15 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-13
61.3%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted Jeff Hubbard return for 13 yds to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:2237% → 38%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
63.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 6 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
63.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+4
64.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
63.8%
Richardson, Daniel pass incomplete to Dixon, Dallas, PENALTY EASTMICH holding (Myrick, Terry) 10 yards to the CENTMICH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH.Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
63.5%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
64.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+13
65.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 13 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
63.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 31 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
61.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 4 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
61.7%
Daniel Richardson run for 7 yds to the EMich 11 Daniel Richardson fumbled, forced by Korey Hernandez, recovered by EMich Kempton ShineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4267% → 68%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
67.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.1%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-26
68.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Willie Reid return for 26 yds to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:3138% → 32%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
62.5%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
63.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+9
65.1%
Ty Brock pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 9 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
63.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bernhard Raimann) to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 22
+3
64.4%
Ty Brock run for 3 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+10
64.2%
Ty Brock pass complete to Drayton Law for 10 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
64.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.5%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to Oakley LavalliiSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
66.3%
Ty Brock pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.0%
Ty Brock run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:4171% → 84%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
71.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 4 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
71.5%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+79
71.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 79 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
75.0%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+16
76.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 16 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
75.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 6Similar
Q3 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
76.3%
Hutchinson, Preston pass incomplete to Williams, Quian, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference (McNary, Dishon) 4 yards to the CENTMICH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
77.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 7Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-7
78.0%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Mohamed Diallo for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 14Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
77.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to DJ Smith for no gain to the CMich 14Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
84.1%
Chad Ryland 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 3:5817% → 39%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.7%
Ty Brock pass complete to Drayton Law for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
81.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.2%
Ty Brock pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 6 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+11
80.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.1%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
81.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+4
81.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
81.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-5
81.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
82.1%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
84.7%
Ty Brock pass complete to Drayton Law for 9 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
84.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
83.2%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to Drayton LawSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
83.2%
Ty Brock pass incomplete to Drayton LawSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+6
85.1%
Ty Brock pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 6 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+9
60.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds for a TD (Ty Brock pass to Drayton Law for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4874% → 84%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 7 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
75.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 7 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
77.7%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
80.4%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
79.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
82.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 27 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.7%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMich 8Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
83.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
82.8%
Brian Dooley run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 11Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
83.5%
Chad Ryland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1116% → 45%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
82.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
84.5%
Ty Brock pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 9 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
83.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
83.5%
Ty Brock pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 2 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
84.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
84.2%
Ty Brock run for 6 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+36
83.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 36 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
83.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+1
85.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
86.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
87.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0571% → 73%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
71.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-6
72.9%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 7 Samson Evans fumbled, recovered by CMich Troy Hairston IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2944% → 65%
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
56.3%
Ty Brock run for 3 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
56.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
58.9%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
34.8%
Marshall Meeder 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
48.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Devonni Reed return for no gain to the EMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:4370% → 97%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
29.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Devonni Reed) to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
31.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+31
28.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 31 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
3.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:388% → 6%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
8.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
10.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
9.1%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
6.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-16
6.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Donte Kent return for 16 yds to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 13
OPP 41
-2
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:34
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)
-32.9
TD · Q4 1:43
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)
-25.5
TD · Q4 14:02
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds for a TD (Ty Brock pass to Drayton Law for Two-Point Conversion)
-24.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com