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WMU

Western Michigan 52 at Central Michigan 44

CMU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2020 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:03 · Luke Elzinga punt for 53 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 13 yds to the WMich 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense−10.5Score differential−5.7Garbage-time factor−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4Pregame prior+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:03: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:03: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 72 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +9.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:30: Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 25 — CMU win probability +10.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:28: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 85 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:35: Kobe Lewis run for 69 yds for a TD (Daniel Richardson pass to Kalil Pimpleton for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +13.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 3:06CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:14CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:03CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:04WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 49, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:34CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:01WMU 4th & 1 at CMU 7, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%−2.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−10.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:28WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:25CMU 4th & 19 at CMU 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54WMU 4th & 23 at WMU 49, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:22CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 18, down 15
    Close callPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:03WMU 4th & 3 at CMU 29, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:57CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:18CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:31WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:03WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:03WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:28WMU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:35CMU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:04WMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:32CMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:32CMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4853% → 54%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 12 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
53.4%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+65
53.8%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 65 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3046% → 46%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
53.9%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
54.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-1
54.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted George Douglas return for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4755% → 57%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
54.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 14 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
54.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
55.1%
Ty Brock run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 9Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+8
55.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 6 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.8%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:3644% → 44%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
56.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+15
57.1%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 15 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
57.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 12 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
57.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+9
57.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
57.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
57.9%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Eskridge, D'Wayne, PENALTY WESTMICH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the CENTMICH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+11
58.8%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
55.7%
Kaleb Eleby run for 4 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:2157% → 57%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Adam JonesSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
57.2%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 13
OWN 10
-12
56.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the CMich 10 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:4543% → 47%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
56.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
56.5%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
52.8%
Sean Tyler run for 29 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4854% → 54%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.3%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
54.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 12 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
55.1%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 33 Kobe Lewis fumbled, recovered by CMichSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+6
54.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
54.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+3
53.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 45 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 3 yds to the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:0346% → 48%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
54.2%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms, Corey, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 9 yards to the WESTMICH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+4
54.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 15
OWN 14
0
54.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+43
54.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 43 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
52.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+5
52.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2548% → 47%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
48.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 12 yds Dallas Dixon fumbled, recovered by CMichSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
48.5%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
48.2%
Kalil Pimpleton run for no gain to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+6
47.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 6 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+5
47.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 47 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:0153% → 67%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
47.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+28
46.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
50
+4
44.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
44.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 10 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
44.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
43.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to DaShon BussellSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
44.2%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms, Corey, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference 8 yards to the CENTMICH22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
43.7%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-2
43.5%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+6
43.7%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
33.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4735% → 33%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
34.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 17 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
34.9%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-5
34.2%
Nichols III, Lew rush for 10 yards to the CENTMICH27, PENALTY CENTMICH illegal formation 5 yards to the CENTMICH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+5
34.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 15
OWN 17
0
33.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 15
OWN 17
+13
33.1%
Luke Elzinga punt for 53 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 13 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4168% → 68%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
32.0%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
31.3%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
31.3%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
31.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for no gain to the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2532% → 31%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
32.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
31.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
31.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+3
31.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 51 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for 3 yds to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
13 plays · 55 yds · 2:2970% → 78%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
30.2%
Tyler, Sean rush for 1 yard to the WESTMICH39, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 10 yards to the WESTMICH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+8
31.1%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+13
29.2%
Sean Tyler run for 13 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
27.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 22 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
27.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
26.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
27.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
26.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-7
26.6%
Eleby, Kaleb rush for 8 yards to the CENTMICH8, PENALTY WESTMICH face mask 7 yards to the CENTMICH23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+2
26.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+14
26.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 14 yds to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+24
22.4%
Thiago Kapps 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:4277% → 86%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
23.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+72
13.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 72 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:0818% → 25%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
18.1%
Daniel Richardson run for 3 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+30
17.8%
Kalil Pimpleton pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 30 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
15.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
14.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 19
-6
24.7%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
9.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 85 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:5311% → 23%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
11.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
9.7%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 5 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+69
23.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 69 yds for a TD (Daniel Richardson pass to Kalil Pimpleton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:4481% → 84%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
18.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
18.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 8 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
17.5%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
17.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
17.7%
Eleby, Kaleb pass complete to Jefferson, La'Darius for no gain to the WESTMICH36, PENALTY CENTMICH holding 10 yards to the WESTMICH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
16.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
16.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-6
15.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+15
16.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 15 yds to the CENTMICH 39 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the CMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:4519% → 16%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
18.9%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Ralph Holley for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 30Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+3
17.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-5
16.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
16.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0986% → 89%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
13.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+25
13.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 25 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
12.6%
Jefferson, La'Darius rush for 4 yards to the CENTMICH34, PENALTY WESTMICH holding 10 yards to the CENTMICH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
12.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen HallSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-6
12.0%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Troy Brown and Mohamed Diallo for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 26
OWN 46
+3
10.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 23
OWN 49
0
10.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0815% → 14%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
15.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
14.5%
Kalil Pimpleton pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+5
14.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
14.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Corey Crooms at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:5591% → 98%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
9.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
8.8%
Eleby, Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms, Corey, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference 9 yards to the CENTMICH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
8.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-3
7.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+43
2.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 43 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:183% → 9%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
2.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
2.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 11 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
2.6%
Daniel Richardson run for 7 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
2.7%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 5 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
2.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
2.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+23
2.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Drayton Law for 23 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
1.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
8.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25MISSED FG
11 plays · 18 yds · 2:1495% → 98%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
4.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+1
4.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
4.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
4.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
3.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+3
3.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
2.4%
Thiago Kapps 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:183% → 10%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+25
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 25 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Drayton LawSimilar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+39
2.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 39 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
3.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 1 yd to the WMich 6Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
3.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 2 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
10.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Drayton Law for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Richardson pass to Keegan Cossou for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5997% → 97%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
3.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
3.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-2
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:35
Kobe Lewis run for 69 yds for a TD (Daniel Richardson pass to Kalil Pimpleton for Two-Point Conversion)
+13.4
TD · Q3 10:28
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 85 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 11:30
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 25
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com