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NIU

Northern Illinois 25 at Ball State 31

BALL
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2020 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:55 · Nathan Snyder punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 36 , Trayvon Rudolph returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+28.8Home team on offense−2.1Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential−0.5Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:39: Erin Collins run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +6.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:12: Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BALL win probability +7.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:17: Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Antwan Davis for Two-Point Conversion) — BALL win probability +9.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:09: Erin Collins run for 3 yds for a TD BALL ST Penalty, ( Yards) declined, (Ross Bowers pass to Daniel Crawford for Two-Point Conversion) — NIU win probability +13.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:44: John Richardson 41 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:27BALL 4th & 23 at NIU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27NIU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 12, down 7
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:08NIU 4th & 18 at NIU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:39BALL 4th & 2 at NIU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−1.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:14NIU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.8%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:57NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−2.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:12NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:30BALL 4th & 18 at BALL 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−4.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 9 at BALL 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:54NIU 4th & 3 at BALL 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:20BALL 4th & 6 at NIU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:04NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:40BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:39NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:29BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:12BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:17BALL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:09NIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5616% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
83.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 28 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.6%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
83.6%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+10
83.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
83.6%
Erin Collins run for 6 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
81.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 17 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 3:3782% → 80%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+11
82.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
82.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 13 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
82.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
82.4%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+12
82.3%
Drew Plitt run for 12 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
82.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
82.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 5 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
82.4%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
82.4%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 15
OPP 17
-8
82.4%
Drew Plitt sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 23
OPP 25
0
82.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 23
OPP 25
+42
80.0%
Jack Knight 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
79.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
79.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
79.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
50
0
79.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
50
-15
79.6%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to RICHIE, Tyrice, PENALTY NIU pass interference (RICHIE, Tyrice) 15 yards to the NIU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 25
OWN 35
0
80.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by Antonio PhillipsSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+15
80.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 10
50
0
80.0%
Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
77.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 7Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
77.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+1
77.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 2
OWN 12
+8
77.5%
Nathan Snyder punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 36 , Trayvon Rudolph returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.1%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete, broken up by Chris AgyemangSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+50
77.1%
Matt Ference punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALLST 32 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (J.T. Wahee) to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-10
76.1%
Ross Bowers sacked by Anthony Ekpe and Jaylin Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 28 NORTHERNIL Penalty, intentional grounding (Ross Bowers) to the NoIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:2276% → 80%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
75.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 13 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
76.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
50
-5
76.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Pierce Oppong and Miles Baggett for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+46
75.9%
Tye Evans run for 46 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
76.2%
PLITT, Drew pass complete to JAMES-GRAY, I. for 9 yards to the NIU0, clock 00:03, PENALTY BALL ineligible downfield on pass (TODD, Anthony) 5 yards to the NIU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
76.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+9
75.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the NoIll 5Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:5522% → 30%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+47
78.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 47 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
76.5%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to RICHIE, Tyrice (UZODINMA, A.), PENALTY NIU tripping (PATTON, Brayden) 15 yards to the BALL42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 25
OPP 42
+21
77.3%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 21 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
76.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+11
76.9%
Erin Collins run for 11 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
76.5%
Erin Collins run for 6 yds to the BalSt 2Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.8%
Erin Collins run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
72.8%
Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
72.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
73.1%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
72.5%
Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
73.5%
Tye Evans run for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
73.5%
Tye Evans run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
73.4%
Tye Evans run for 1 yd to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-1
72.7%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9INT TD
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:4633% → 30%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
67.0%
Tyrice Richie run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-2
67.6%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+12
68.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 1
50
+1
65.5%
Andrew Haidet run for 1 yd to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
64.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-71
70.2%
Ross Bowers pass intercepted for a TD Amechi Uzodinma II return for 71 yds for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:2326% → 35%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
73.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 6 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+7
73.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+14
73.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 14 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
68.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
68.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 4 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
68.2%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
68.7%
Ross Bowers run for 7 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+8
68.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 8 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
66.8%
Ross Bowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
67.0%
Erin Collins run for 11 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+45
65.4%
John Richardson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11INT
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:0073% → 76%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
73.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+15
75.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 15 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
75.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 8 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
75.7%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
76.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+14
76.2%
Justin Hall run for 14 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
76.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.2%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback. Dillon Thomas return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
68.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
68.9%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 4 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-9
69.5%
Ross Bowers sacked by Chris Agyemang and Jaylin Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 16Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+42
71.1%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds , Justin Hall returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:3172% → 82%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
72.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
71.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+9
71.5%
Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
73.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Pugh) to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
74.5%
Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
74.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+9
73.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
74.5%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 18Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+15
74.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 15 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
76.5%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
77.6%
Erin Collins run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
78.5%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, downed at the BalSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3781% → 82%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
81.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.5%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
82.2%
Drew Plitt sacked by Devin Lafayette for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Daveren RaynerSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+30
81.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALLST 35 BALL ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1821% → 19%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
78.8%
Tyrice Richie run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
50
+8
77.2%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 8 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-2
76.7%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
77.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph, broken up by J.T. WaheeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-5
79.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
80.9%
Ross Bowers punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4484% → 96%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
83.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+64
82.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 64 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
86.6%
Tye Evans run for 6 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
96.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Antwan Davis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 5:026% → 19%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
94.4%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to CRAWFORD, Danie, PENALTY BALL roughing passer (SAPE, Jack) 15 yards to the NIU35, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.1%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
93.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+15
94.8%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 15 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
94.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 5 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+10
93.9%
BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Denni, PENALTY BALL holding (JONES, Nic) 10 yards to the BALL21, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.9%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
94.0%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+7
94.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 7 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+6
94.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.9%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Cole Tucker, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.9%
Erin Collins run for 5 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.7%
Erin Collins run for 3 yds for a TD BALL ST Penalty, ( Yards) declined, (Ross Bowers pass to Daniel Crawford for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:4989% → 95%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
89.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 17 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
90.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+9
90.5%
Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
90.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+19
90.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 19 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
91.5%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
91.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
95.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Jordan Gandy BALL ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
94.9%
Jack Knight 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:303% → 14%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel CrawfordSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.0%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.7%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 3 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
96.6%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 9 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.5%
Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma IISimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+25
96.5%
Ross Bowers pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 25 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
95.6%
Ross Bowers run for 5 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
95.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+41
85.6%
John Richardson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 12
50
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:09
Erin Collins run for 3 yds for a TD BALL ST Penalty, ( Yards) declined, (Ross Bowers pass to Daniel Crawford for Two-Point Conversion)
-13.2
FG · Q4 0:44
John Richardson 41 yd FG GOOD
-10
TD · Q4 12:17
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Antwan Davis for Two-Point Conversion)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com