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EMU

Eastern Michigan 31 at Ball State 38

BALL
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2020 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:20 · Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+2.5Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−1.1Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:43: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 10 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +4.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:45: TEAM run for 2 yds to the EMich 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Alex Merritt — BALL win probability +7.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:34: Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Yo'Heinz Tyler for Two-Point Conversion) — BALL win probability +3.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:12: Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:06: Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK) — EMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:50BALL 4th & 18 at EMU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:50EMU 4th & 1 at BALL 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−1.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:14BALL 4th & 14 at EMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:30EMU 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10BALL 4th & 1 at EMU 38, tied
    Close callWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%
    38% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:33EMU 4th & 4 at BALL 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:09BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:39EMU 4th & 10 at BALL 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:20BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.8%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:31BALL 4th & 5 at EMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:09EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−4.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:27BALL 4th & 20 at BALL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−5.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:31EMU 4th & 1 at BALL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−7.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:07EMU 4th & 12 at BALL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:48EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.9%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:02BALL 4th & 3 at EMU 17, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%−2.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−24.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:59EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05BALL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:43EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 3:0576% → 75%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
75.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
75.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+7
75.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
75.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
75.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 8 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
75.6%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Curtis Blackwell) to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 20
OPP 44
-2
75.4%
Will Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 22
OPP 46
+4
75.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
75.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
75.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:4325% → 28%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
75.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 20 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
74.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
74.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for 8 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
74.3%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+37
74.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 37 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
73.9%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4872% → 75%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
72.4%
Justin Hall run for 34 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
72.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
72.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+3
72.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
72.7%
Justin Hall run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+17
72.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 17 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
72.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:0227% → 34%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
73.1%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
72.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
72.3%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
71.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
71.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 15 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
71.3%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
70.7%
DJ Smith run for 1 yd to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+8
70.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Aaron Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.2%
DJ Smith run for no gain to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q1 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
66.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 10 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:2468% → 67%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
68.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+13
68.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
68.4%
PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (McGee III, Freddie) 15 yards to the EASTMICH31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BALLST.Similar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-64
67.0%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted Alvinoski LaFleur return for 54 yds to the BalSt 0 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the BalSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1335% → 35%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
64.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
64.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 8 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
64.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
64.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:5366% → 74%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
66.2%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
67.0%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
66.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 5 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+16
66.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 16 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
67.6%
PENALTY BALLST holding (Turner, Jaylen) 10 yards to the EASTMICH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+10
65.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 10 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
66.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 11 yds to the EMich 21 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen McGaughy) to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
74.1%
TEAM run for 2 yds to the EMich 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Alex MerrittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8DOWNS TD
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3630% → 35%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
69.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 9 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+24
68.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
67.7%
Jairus Grissom run for 7 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+31
66.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for 31 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
65.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
65.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:4673% → 68%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
72.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
73.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
73.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 15 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
73.5%
Will Jones run for 1 yd to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-10
72.4%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Anthony Todd) to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+5
71.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
70.1%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
68.3%
Jack Knight 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2034% → 35%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
66.3%
Trey Bess III run for 4 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
66.2%
Trey Bess III run for 15 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
64.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 12 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
62.8%
Trey Bess III run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 6
50
0
61.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 6
50
0
62.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Aaron JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 6
50
0
64.8%
Jake Julien punt for 39 yds, downed at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11FG
14 plays · 28 yds · 1:2268% → 70%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
67.9%
Will Jones run for 13 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
68.1%
Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+8
68.6%
Will Jones run for 8 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
69.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 16 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
70.8%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
70.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
70.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
68.6%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
70.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
70.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+51
69.8%
Jacob Lewis 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 2:2335% → 38%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
62.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
63.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 8 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
61.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
61.7%
Preston Hutchinson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
61.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
62.5%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1567% → 64%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
67.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Cody Rudy for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
67.0%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-6
65.8%
Drew Plitt sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+11
64.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 52 yds , Jeff Hubbard returns for 11 yds to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2138% → 37%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
61.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
60.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+17
60.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Samson Evans for 17 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
58.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Aaron JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
58.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Aaron JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
60.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+52
63.3%
Chad Ryland 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:0366% → 71%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
66.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
66.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
64.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+5
67.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
69.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
70.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-2
70.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+1
69.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+7
68.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
71.6%
Antwan Davis run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-10
71.4%
Drew Plitt sacked by Alex Merritt for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+13
66.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 13 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+13
67.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kempton Shine) to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
71.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Plitt pass to Yo'Heinz Tyler for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1739% → 36%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
61.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
61.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-5
61.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
62.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
63.8%
Jake Julien punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:3366% → 62%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
67.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
67.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
68.0%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
66.8%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
65.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 45
-5
63.5%
BALL ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 40Similar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 15
OWN 40
-5
62.9%
BALL ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 53 yds, downed at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 5 yds · 5:1840% → 41%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+27
60.5%
Trey Bess III run for 27 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
57.2%
Trey Bess III run for 8 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
55.1%
Trey Bess III run for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+7
55.8%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
54.8%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-1
53.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
54.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
56.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
51.7%
Trey Bess III run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 40 Trey Bess III fumbled, forced by Tye Evans, recovered by EMichSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+5
55.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
55.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+53
58.9%
Chad Ryland 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19DOWNS TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:5864% → 69%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
63.7%
Justin Hall run for 31 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
69.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
69.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 33 yds for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 3:1243% → 46%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
56.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
55.1%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
52.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
50.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
53.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3967% → 63%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
66.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 21 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
68.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
68.6%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+6
66.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
63.4%
Jack Knight 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3647% → 55%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.4%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+71
52.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 71 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.1%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 3:5460% → 69%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
60.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+13
62.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
63.5%
BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+10
59.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 15
OWN 36
-4
59.4%
Drew Plitt run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+19
56.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 19 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
65.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
65.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
68.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 17 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
68.5%
Will Jones run for 10 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
68.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Knight KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+31.1
TD · Q4 4:12
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 9:45
TEAM run for 2 yds to the EMich 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EMich Alex Merritt
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com