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AKR

Akron 10 at Ohio 24

OHIO
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2020 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:02 · Jack Wilson punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+39.8Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:25: Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +3.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:27: Tristian Vandenberg 44 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +2.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:41: Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner — OHIO win probability +6.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:47: O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Akron 14 — OHIO win probability +6.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:02: De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Fortkamp KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:02AKR 4th & 5 at OHIO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:02OHIO 4th & 10 at AKR 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:03AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:38AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:48OHIO 4th & 8 at AKR 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:49AKR 4th & 1 at OHIO 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:21OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47AKR 4th & 10 at OHIO 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:27OHIO 4th & 7 at AKR 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:19AKR 4th & 2 at OHIO 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:23OHIO 4th & 12 at AKR 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:29OHIO 4th & 2 at AKR 11, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−8.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:05OHIO 4th & 4 at AKR 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−8.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:05AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 29, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:13AKR 4th & 4 at OHIO 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:10OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:27OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:25AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:02OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:5093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
93.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
93.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+40
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 40 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
93.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:037% → 8%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
92.6%
Teon Dollard run for 15 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.5%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+11
92.5%
Teon Dollard run for 11 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
92.5%
Zach Gibson run for 10 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Shawn NaimSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
92.5%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
91.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
92.0%
Isiah Cox run for 28 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-10
92.2%
TUGGLE, D. rush for no gain to the AKRON29 (RILEY, Jordyn), PENALTY OHIO holding (KITRELL, Bre.) 10 yards to the AKRON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+5
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-4
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by N/A and Bubba Arslanian for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
91.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
91.5%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Akron 12Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
91.5%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+15
91.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 15 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
91.4%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the Akron 32 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+5
91.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 5 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
91.5%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
91.5%
Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+9
91.5%
Kyle Romenick punt for 50 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 9 yds to the Ohio 44 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0991% → 91%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
90.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 19 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to De'Montre Tuggle for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
90.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+2
90.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
90.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
90.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 14 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
90.0%
Jeremiah Knight run for 2 yds to the Akron 41 Jeremiah Knight fumbled, recovered by Ohio Jarren HamptonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:1391% → 93%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
90.8%
Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
90.8%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Isiah Cox for 24 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.0%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:428% → 7%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
92.1%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (Zach Gibson) to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
92.1%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
92.1%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+2
92.6%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+8
92.7%
Kyle Romenick punt for 40 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
93.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 6 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
93.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-6
93.3%
Armani Rogers sacked by Bubba Arslanian for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 46 yds, downed at the Akron 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 4:227% → 12%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
92.8%
OHIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Akron 8Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+35
92.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 35 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Maverick WolfleySimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
92.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Teon Dollard for 9 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
92.1%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
92.1%
MyJaden Horton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
92.0%
Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+21
92.0%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 21 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
91.7%
Teon Dollard run for 9 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
87.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
89.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
89.6%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
89.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
89.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:0811% → 14%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.5%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
89.6%
Teon Dollard run for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+16
89.4%
Teon Dollard run for 16 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
88.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Shawn Naim for 4 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
88.4%
Jeremiah Knight run for 4 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
88.3%
Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+14
88.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 14 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
85.8%
Zach Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+50
86.4%
Cory Smigel 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:1313% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.4%
Teon Dollard run for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+39
86.9%
Teon Dollard run for 39 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.8%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
85.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 8 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
85.7%
MyJaden Horton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Timothy ScippioSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
84.8%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
85.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Austin Conrad for 0 yards to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
84.1%
Cory Smigel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:1486% → 89%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
86.2%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Julian Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+10
84.8%
ROURKE, K. pass incomplete to HOOKS, S., PENALTY AKRON holding (RILEY, Jordyn) 10 yards to the AKRON44, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
86.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+8
86.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 8 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
87.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
86.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+3
86.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 3 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
88.8%
Tristian Vandenberg 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
86.2%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
86.3%
Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+20
86.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 20 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
85.1%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
84.4%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+3
84.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Teon Dollard for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
85.3%
Kyle Romenick punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isiah Cox at the Ohio 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+22
88.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 22 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
89.6%
ROURKE, K. pass incomplete to ODOM, C., PENALTY AKRON pass interference (RILEY, Jordyn) 15 yards to the AKRON46, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
90.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 10 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
90.1%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Nick Sink) to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+3
89.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
89.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
89.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
88.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
86.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 7 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
86.2%
Teon Dollard run for 3 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
86.3%
Zach Gibson run for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-15
85.6%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted Jett Elad return for 15 yds to the Akron 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1292% → 91%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
92.2%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+4
91.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 4 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
90.7%
Tristian Vandenberg 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
87.6%
Teon Dollard run for 19 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
86.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.6%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-28
85.8%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted Keye Thompson return for 28 yds to the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4292% → 91%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
92.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
92.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
91.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by Jaylen Kelly-PowellSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
91.3%
Tristian Vandenberg 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
87.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 9 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
86.7%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
87.5%
Kyle Romenick punt for 41 yds , Isiah Cox returns for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2392% → 98%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
91.9%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 17 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+25
92.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 25 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
93.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
93.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
93.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
93.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+5
95.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 5 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Fortkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 56 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
97.7%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 13
OWN 23
-8
97.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Jeremiah Burton for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 15Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+22
97.9%
Teon Dollard run for 22 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
97.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 25 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Shawn Naim for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-9
96.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Keye Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+10
98.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 10 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+14
98.5%
Zach Gibson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:41
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jerome Buckner
+6.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:47
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the Akron 14
+6.6
TD · Q2 4:25
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com