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OHIO

Ohio 27 at Central Michigan 30

CMU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2020 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:12 · Jack Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the Ohio 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+18.5+9.30−9.3−18.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Home team on offense+7.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Blowout margin+1.0Pregame prior−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:05: Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder PAT MISSED) — CMU win probability +5.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:58: De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:45: Marshall Meeder kickoff for 58 yds , De'Montre Tuggle return for 93 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:36: Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +16.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:05: Marshall Meeder 22 yd FG GOOD OHIO Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined — CMU win probability +9.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 1:17OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:57CMU 4th & 12 at OHIO 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:09OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 11, down 1
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:06CMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:05CMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 2, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:09CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:11CMU 4th & 20 at OHIO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−3.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:32OHIO 4th & 23 at OHIO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−5.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:48CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−3.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:47CMU 4th & 9 at OHIO 34, tied
    Close callWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:51OHIO 4th & 11 at CMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−11.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:05CMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%−5.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−27.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:17OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 44, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:11CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.9 ptsPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:12OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:10CMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−7.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−12.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:28OHIO 4th & 15 at CMU 40, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.5 ptsWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%−7.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−10.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:58CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:43OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:32CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:56OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:05CMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:58OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:36CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5049% → 54%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
48.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
48.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 10 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
48.9%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 9 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
49.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
50
+2
49.2%
Daniel Richardson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
49.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
49.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 9 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
49.6%
Darius Bracy run for 10 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
49.8%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-3
50.1%
Kalil Pimpleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+12
50.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 12 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
50.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
50.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
50.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.5%
Daniel Richardson run for 1 yd for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0448% → 51%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
52.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to De'Montre TuggleSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+18
52.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Personal Foul (JaCorey Sullivan) to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
52.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+22
52.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 22 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
52.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
52.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
49.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 21 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1150% → 56%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 30Similar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
50.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Drayton Law for 16 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
51.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 6
50
+50
56.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 50 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4545% → 44%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
54.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
54.2%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
55.0%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Troy Hairston II for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 33 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, forced by Troy Hairston II, recovered by Ohio Kurtis Rourke , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+6
56.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
56.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0856% → 56%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
56.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
56.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Oakley LavalliiSimilar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+3
55.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 3 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
55.6%
Luke Elzinga punt for 76 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4644% → 49%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah CoxSimilar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
56.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Adam Luehrman for 22 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
51.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 58 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:5153% → 53%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
52.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+16
52.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 16 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
53.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-3
54.5%
Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+24
53.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 24 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
55.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
55.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
53.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
52.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4246% → 45%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
53.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Shane HooksSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
53.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+7
54.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
55.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 26 yds, downed at the Ohio 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:0156% → 64%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
56.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
56.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
55.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+5
55.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 5 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
58.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
58.3%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Holding (9 Yards) to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
58.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
58.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
58.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
63.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0038% → 54%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.3%
Armani Rogers run for 14 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
61.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 7 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
60.7%
Cameron Odom run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
61.0%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
50
+13
60.4%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 13 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
60.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 23 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
58.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Isiah Cox for 4 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
60.3%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+7
61.9%
Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:3555% → 55%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
54.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 16 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
56.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
56.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
55.2%
Daniel Richardson run for 3 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
54.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0454% → 55%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
45.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 5 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-8
45.4%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:1938% → 36%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
38.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
39.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
38.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 19 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
41.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
41.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
40.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
41.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
40.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-12
40.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 3 yds to the Ohio 34 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 20
OPP 49
0
37.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 20
OPP 49
0
35.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 33 yds, downed at the Ohio 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
35.7%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 6 yds to the Ohio 22 De'Montre Tuggle fumbled, forced by Willie Reid, recovered by CMich Willie ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:1042% → 59%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
42.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 14 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
58.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 2:5049% → 46%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
50.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
50.7%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+11
52.2%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
49.0%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 9 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 1
50
-13
46.8%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-5
51.4%
Armani Rogers sacked by Troy Hairston II for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 19
OWN 30
-5
52.9%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 24
OWN 25
+1
52.9%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
54.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 51 yds, downed at the CMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3355% → 52%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
54.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CMich 13Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+7
54.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 7 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
54.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tyrone ScottSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+3
52.6%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 3 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
51.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:4849% → 53%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
50.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 26 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
47.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-4
46.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 44 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, forced by George Douglas, recovered by CMich George DouglasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:4858% → 55%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
58.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+17
58.8%
Darius Bracy run for 17 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
60.7%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
60.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
58.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
55.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 2:5650% → 48%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
50.0%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+34
51.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Isiah Cox for 34 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
46.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-5
46.5%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (De'Montre Tuggle) to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
48.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+15
50.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Troy Brown) to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
44.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
44.5%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
46.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron OdomSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 23
-5
50.0%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Ryan Luehrman) to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
52.0%
Tristian Vandenberg 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:2756% → 71%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
56.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+12
57.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 12 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
59.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 11 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
60.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
61.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
60.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
62.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
60.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
62.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 8 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
62.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 5 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
62.8%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
61.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+22
70.8%
Marshall Meeder 22 yd FG GOOD OHIO Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3836% → 36%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
63.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+8
64.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Shane Hooks for 8 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
61.3%
De'Montre Tuggle run for no gain to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
64.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 22 yds, downed at the CMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5671% → 73%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
70.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
74.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
73.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
72.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 44 yds , Isiah Cox returns for 3 yds to the Ohio 46 OHIO Penalty, Illegal Block (John Gregory) to the Ohio 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3032% → 27%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
68.0%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+1
68.6%
De'Montre Tuggle run for 1 yd to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-10
70.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Troy Hairston II for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 17
OWN 4
0
73.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4786% → 88%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
86.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
88.1%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
88.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
88.0%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 27 yds · 1:2122% → 12%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
78.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-4
74.4%
OHIO Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-4 Yards) to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
78.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 16 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
73.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 13 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
72.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ryan Luehrman for 8 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-9
71.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the CMich 26 OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
77.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+1
78.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-5
86.7%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
87.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ryan LuehrmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:36
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q2 0:58
De'Montre Tuggle run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
-16
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com