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WMU

Western Michigan 58 at Akron 13

AKR
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2020 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.9AKR 17.7%Thiago Kapps 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 10:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:33 · Thiago Kapps 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior−32.9Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:32: Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +2.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:04: Cory Smigel 41 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +2.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:33: Sean Tyler run for 12 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:34: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 68 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +9.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:09: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 76 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK) — WMU win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:33WMU 4th & 9 at AKR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:04AKR 4th & 2 at WMU 24, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58WMU 4th & 1 at AKR 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:33WMU 4th & 1 at AKR 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−1.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:41AKR 4th & 4 at WMU 11, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:00AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:35AKR 4th & 7 at WMU 23, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:00WMU 4th & 5 at AKR 48, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:33AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 6, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:14WMU 4th & 4 at AKR 27, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 7:32AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:52WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:33WMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:34WMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:09WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:14WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:32WMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:14WMU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:2784% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
15.8%
Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
15.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for 6 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
15.8%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+4
15.8%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
15.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-11
15.8%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 39
+8
15.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 8 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
17.7%
Thiago Kapps 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:5618% → 21%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
17.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
17.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Teon Dollard for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
17.8%
Teon Dollard run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+45
17.6%
Teon Dollard run for 45 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
18.1%
Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
20.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:3380% → 80%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
20.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 14 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
19.8%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
19.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 12 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
19.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 13 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
19.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
19.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 5 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4INT TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5021% → 19%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
20.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
21.0%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
20.6%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-38
18.5%
Zach Gibson pass intercepted for a TD A.J. Thomas return for 38 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4818% → 22%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.4%
Zach Gibson run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
18.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
18.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
18.8%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+1
18.7%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+23
18.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 8 yds to the AKRON 47 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
20.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 7 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
20.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
19.7%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
22.1%
Cory Smigel 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:2579% → 83%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+32
20.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 32 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
19.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
19.6%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
19.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
20.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
19.5%
Kaleb Eleby run for 11 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
19.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
19.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
19.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 3 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
17.1%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:5217% → 19%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
17.3%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
17.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 14 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+24
17.9%
Jeremiah Knight run for 24 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
18.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
18.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 7 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
18.9%
Jeremiah Knight run for 5 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
18.9%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+7
18.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 7 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
18.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 6 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
18.9%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
18.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
19.4%
Cory Smigel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0181% → 90%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.2%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
18.7%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
19.1%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-10
18.0%
ELEBY, K. pass complete to HALL, J. for 20 yards to the AKRON38 (KELLY-POWELL, J), PENALTY WMU ineligible downfield on pass 10 yards to the WMU32, NO PLAY, PENALTY WMU holding 0 yards to the WMU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
19.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+68
10.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 68 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5013% → 13%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.8%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
12.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Teon Dollard for 6 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
13.4%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
13.6%
GIBSON, Zach pass complete to STEWART, Nate for 13 yards to the AKRON49 (TAYLOR, H.), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+5
13.0%
Teon Dollard run for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
13.0%
Teon Dollard run for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
13.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
13.0%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Patrick LuproSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
12.7%
Gamari Peterson punt for 39 yds, downed at the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:5389% → 94%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
11.1%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+76
6.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 76 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
7.6%
Teon Dollard run for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
7.6%
Jeremiah Knight run for 1 yd to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-5
7.6%
Zach Gibson sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+4
7.5%
Gamari Peterson punt for 37 yds , Jaxson Kincaide returns for 4 yds to the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:2395% → 98%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
4.6%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 33 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
4.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
4.4%
Kaleb Eleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
2.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 14 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:394% → 1%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
3.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+15
3.6%
GIBSON, Zach pass incomplete to HICKS, Julian, PENALTY WMU roughing passer 15 yards to the AKRON34, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
3.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 6 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+12
3.7%
Jeremiah Knight run for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
4.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Maverick Wolfley for 4 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
4.2%
Jeremiah Knight run for 6 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
4.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 12 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
4.5%
Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
4.3%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
1.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 23
-10
1.2%
Zach Gibson sacked by Marshawn Kneeland and Treshaun Hayward for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:5198% → 100%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
2.0%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+13
2.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
50
+6
1.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+9
1.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 9 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
1.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to DaShon Bussell for 11 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
1.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+18
1.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 18 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
1.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.3%
Teon Dollard run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Zach Gibson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
0.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Teon Dollard for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 24 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+1
0.2%
Gamari Peterson punt for 41 yds , Jaxson Kincaide returns for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.5%
Trae Allen run for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
0.5%
Trae Allen run for 3 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
0.5%
Nick Kargman pass complete to Luke Sanders for 4 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.5%
Trae Allen run for no gain to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.5%
Trae Allen run for 5 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
0.5%
Nick Kargman pass incomplete to Cam CooperSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
0.2%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-2
0.1%
Teon Dollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+1
0.1%
T.J. DeShields pass complete to Teon Dollard for 1 yd to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
0.1%
Jerry Fitschen punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
0.2%
ALLEN, T. rush for 13 yards to the AKRON4 (SNOWDEN, Michae), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the AKRON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Trae Allen run for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+4
0.2%
Trae Allen run for 4 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 14
OPP 21
+14
0.2%
KARGMAN, N. pass incomplete to BECK, K., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 14 yards to the AKRON7, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
0.2%
Christian Singleton run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Christian Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
0.1%
Jeremiah Knight run for 1 yd to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
0.1%
T.J. DeShields pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+3
0.1%
T.J. DeShields run for 3 yds to the Akron 33 T.J. DeShields fumbled, forced by Anthony Enechukwu, recovered by WMich Ryan SeligSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.2%
Trae Allen run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
0.2%
Trae Allen run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Nick Kargman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+1
0.2%
Trae Allen run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
0.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Marquis Whitmire for 1 yd to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Jeremiah Knight run for no gain to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+10
0.1%
Jeremiah Knight run for 10 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
0.1%
Jeremiah Knight run for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Marquis WhitmireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 68 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
-9
TD · Q3 13:09
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 76 yds for a TD (Thiago Kapps KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q1 7:32
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 14 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com