Try the model
EMU

Eastern Michigan 23 at Kent State 27

KENT
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2020 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:37 · Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the KntSt 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:30: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 5 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED) — EMU win probability +3.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:17: Xavier Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK) — KENT win probability +6.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:57: Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — EMU win probability +15.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:55: Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 3 yds for a TD, (Preston Hutchinson pass to Donivan Wright for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +23.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:31: Dustin Crum pass complete to Mark Williams for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK) — KENT win probability +26.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:33KENT 4th & 1 at EMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43KENT 4th & 1 at EMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:37EMU 4th & 2 at KENT 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:46EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−2.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:40EMU 4th & 20 at KENT 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.8%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 4 at KENT 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−1.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:29KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:57KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 36, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−4.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:09EMU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 5, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−3.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:43KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:45KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:30EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:17KENT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:57EMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:55EMU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    52.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:31KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:1366% → 67%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
66.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 17 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
66.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
66.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
66.1%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
66.1%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
66.2%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
66.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+26
67.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 26 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
50
+8
66.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 8 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
66.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
66.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
66.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:0568% → 72%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
67.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaac Vance for 9 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+8
67.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
67.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
67.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+18
67.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 18 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
68.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 11 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
68.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+10
68.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.5%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Phillis PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:2630% → 32%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
69.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
69.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Darius Boone Jr. for 13 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
69.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 19 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
69.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+17
69.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 17 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
69.4%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Kesean Gamble for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
68.3%
Chad Ryland 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.4%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
69.3%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
69.0%
Ian Henzi punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2831% → 36%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
69.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
69.3%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (11 Yards) to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
68.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+34
68.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 34 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
67.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+6
67.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 5 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0666% → 74%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
66.2%
Bryan Bradford run for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
66.6%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
66.5%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
66.9%
Bryan Bradford run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+24
67.2%
Bryan Bradford run for 24 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
73.7%
Xavier Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8INT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:3428% → 28%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
71.3%
Preston Hutchinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
71.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
71.4%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Mandela Lawrence-Burke for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+19
72.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 19 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
70.8%
DJ Smith run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
70.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-2
71.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Dean Clark return for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9INT
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:0275% → 76%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
75.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
75.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 13 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
75.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
75.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
75.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
76.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 8 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-43
76.2%
Dustin Crum pass intercepted Noski Lafleur return for 43 yds to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 5:0628% → 22%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
72.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
50
+2
72.1%
Jairus Grissom run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
72.3%
Jairus Grissom run for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
72.8%
Jairus Grissom run for 5 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
71.9%
KENT ST Penalty, HOLD (Jeremiah Salaam) to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
70.8%
Jairus Grissom run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 13
OPP 27
-1
71.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 14
OPP 28
-6
73.1%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Kesean Gamble for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+52
77.8%
Chad Ryland 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
78.4%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
79.2%
Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
79.4%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-5
78.9%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+7
78.4%
Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+7
78.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 6
50
0
78.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
78.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
-3
77.1%
DJ Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+4
77.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
77.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
77.3%
DJ Smith run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
77.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
77.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
76.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-1
76.3%
DJ Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
77.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
77.9%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaac Vance at the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
80.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 10 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
80.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+11
80.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-16
80.9%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 16 yards to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 26
OWN 14
+15
80.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Smith Jr.) to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
80.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
80.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaac Vance for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+1
80.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
80.2%
Ian Henzi punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Hassan Beydoun at the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:3819% → 38%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
81.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 12 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
80.3%
DJ Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+16
80.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 16 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
79.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
79.3%
DJ Smith run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+12
80.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
78.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Dean ClarkSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+25
78.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 25 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
77.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.2%
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
71.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 14 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
72.9%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
71.5%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
69.1%
Ian Henzi punt for 30 yds, downed at the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+16
68.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Quian Williams for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
50
0
64.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
50
0
65.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to DJ Smith, broken up by Elvis HinesSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 10
50
0
67.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 10
50
0
69.5%
Jake Julien punt for 48 yds, downed at the KntSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1271% → 68%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
71.0%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+1
70.7%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 6
-1
69.3%
KENT ST Penalty, IB (Adam Gregoire) to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
69.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
68.4%
Ian Henzi punt for 50 yds, downed at the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5934% → 62%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
65.6%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dean Clark) to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
64.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 35 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.8%
DJ Smith run for no gain to the KntSt 8Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
61.8%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 3 yds for a TD, (Preston Hutchinson pass to Donivan Wright for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:2446% → 81%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.1%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
46.9%
Xavier Williams run for 7 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
47.3%
KENT ST Penalty, HOLD (Daniel Johnson) to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-2
45.9%
Dustin Crum sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+7
45.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+15
43.8%
CRUM, Dustin pass incomplete to MCKOY, Isaiah, PENALTY EMU sideline interference 15 yards to the KENTST47, 1ST DOWN KENTST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
50.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaac Vance for 6 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+12
52.0%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
54.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 7 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+1
54.5%
Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+15
51.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 15 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
54.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
81.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mark Williams for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
67.4%
DJ Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
69.3%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
67.7%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Brandon Coleman for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+2
70.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Jeremiah Salaam return for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21END OF GAME
13 plays · 28 yds · 3:1686% → 91%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
85.6%
Bryan Bradford run for 12 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
86.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
86.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
85.0%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
86.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-2
91.1%
Bryan Bradford run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+12
90.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 12 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
92.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 13Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-4
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-1
90.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:31
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mark Williams for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Phillis KICK)
+26.9
TD · Q4 11:55
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 3 yds for a TD, (Preston Hutchinson pass to Donivan Wright for Two-Point Conversion)
-23.7
TD · Q3 2:57
Preston Hutchinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com