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USC

USC 43 at UCLA 38

UCLA
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:16: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 69 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +20.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:40: Vavae Malepeai run for 10 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +20.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:09: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USC win probability +36.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:52: Nicholas Barr-Mira 43 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +45.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) — USC win probability +74.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:39UCLA 4th & 7 at USC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18USC 4th & 2 at USC 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:33USC 4th & 16 at UCLA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:20UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:53USC 4th & 7 at USC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:26USC 4th & 23 at UCLA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:05UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:44UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.3%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:18UCLA 4th & 1 at USC 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−3.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−10.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:01USC 4th & 8 at USC 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−2.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:52UCLA 4th & 3 at USC 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−17.0
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−35.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:05UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:41UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:34USC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:28UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:25USC Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:00USC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:16UCLA Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:40USC Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:09USC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.8%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.3%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:16USC Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1INT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:1659% → 58%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 7 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
41.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 5 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
41.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake LondonSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
41.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 4 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-10
41.7%
Slovis, Kedon pass complete to Vaughns, Tyler for 9 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY USC holding (McKenzie, Jalen) 10 yards to the USC31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
42.0%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Quentin Lake return for no gain to the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5142% → 43%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
42.3%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the USC 48 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 16
OWN 42
+7
42.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
42.6%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
50
+1
42.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 1 yd to the USC 49Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
42.6%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amon-Ra St. Brown at the USC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:1257% → 57%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
42.6%
Gary Bryant Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 4Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+10
42.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 10 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+16
43.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 16 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
42.9%
Kedon Slovis run for 8 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
42.7%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the USC 38Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
42.8%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Erik Krommenhoek, broken up by Tyler ManoaSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
43.4%
Ben Griffiths punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:1043% → 51%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
43.4%
Demetric Felton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
43.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 4 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
43.8%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+14
44.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 14 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
44.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
45.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 5 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
45.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
45.8%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
46.0%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
50.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Ethan Fernea for 33 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:1751% → 48%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
49.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 7 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
48.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Bru McCoy for 10 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
49.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 11 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
48.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 8 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
48.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 1 yd to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+7
49.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
48.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Josh Falo, broken up by Quentin LakeSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
48.7%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 13
OPP 25
-3
50.7%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
52.5%
Parker Lewis 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0553% → 52%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.5%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
52.7%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
52.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
52.1%
Luke Akers punt for 47 yds, downed at the USC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1647% → 46%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
52.7%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 10 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
53.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+28
54.5%
Ben Griffiths punt for 57 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 28 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:0455% → 67%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
55.2%
Kyle Philips run for 7 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
56.0%
Kyle Philips run for 7 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
56.7%
Demetric Felton run for 10 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
56.9%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the USC 36Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+15
57.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for no gain to the USC 36 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Olaijah Griffin) to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
66.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 21 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0137% → 43%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
63.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 14 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
63.1%
Stephen Carr run for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 35Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+65
56.6%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 65 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3058% → 58%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
58.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Isaiah Pola-Mao return for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:2447% → 47%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
53.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
53.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+7
54.6%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
53.6%
Malepeai, Vavae rush for loss of 4 yards to the UCLA16, PENALTY USC illegal block (Vaughns, Tyler) 15 yards to the UCLA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 25
OPP 27
-9
55.1%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Mo Osling III for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 34
OPP 36
+7
56.9%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 27
OPP 29
+4
58.1%
Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 23
OPP 25
+42
53.5%
Parker Lewis 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 2:5054% → 71%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.2%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
55.6%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
55.0%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+22
55.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 22 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
57.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 3 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
57.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 6 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+10
57.2%
Keegan Jones run for 10 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
58.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 16 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
60.1%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Alec Anderson) to the USC 9Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
59.1%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the USC 9Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
59.2%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 12Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
70.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 12 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2769% → 87%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.4%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
69.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
70.1%
Demetric Felton run for 40 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
72.2%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the USC 24Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
72.4%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the USC 24Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+9
71.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
86.5%
Brittain Brown run for 15 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5519% → 31%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
81.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 34Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
81.3%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
82.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 11 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
81.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
69.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 38 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:1073% → 75%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
73.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 10 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
75.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-1
75.0%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+9
74.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 4
OWN 44
-13
74.7%
Luke Akers run for a loss of 13 yards to the UCLA 31 Luke Akers fumbled, recovered by USCSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17TD
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5530% → 44%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
70.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Stephen Carr for 9 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-4
70.3%
Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the UCLA 16 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
70.4%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
72.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 7 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
70.8%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
71.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+7
72.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 7 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
72.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 4 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
72.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
56.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:1164% → 69%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
63.9%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
62.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 13 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
69.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 8 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-4
70.2%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
68.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 5 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-3
68.7%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1236% → 33%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
64.5%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
64.9%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
67.4%
Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Stephan Blaylock return for no gain to the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
87.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 69 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2015% → 33%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
85.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 19 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
84.0%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 9 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+7
83.4%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
85.1%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
86.1%
Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
85.2%
Kedon Slovis sacked by Otito Ogbonnia for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+5
86.5%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+15
88.1%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Qwuantrezz Knight) to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
86.2%
Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
87.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
66.9%
Vavae Malepeai run for 10 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1675% → 76%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
74.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
76.4%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-31
76.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Talanoa Hufanga return for 31 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23TD
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:1035% → 64%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
65.2%
USC Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
65.7%
Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
65.0%
Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
70.2%
Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
70.0%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Amon-Ra St. BrownSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
70.2%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler VaughnsSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+5
72.7%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caleb Johnson) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+5
72.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Carl Jones) to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
36.2%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:4251% → 54%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.8%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+20
47.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 20 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Delon HurtSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
52.6%
Demetric Felton run for 10 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
56.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-5
57.1%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 43Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-2
56.9%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+8
55.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 8 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
54.3%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the USC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0461% → 59%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
38.9%
Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Stephen Carr run for no gain to the USC 39Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
37.3%
Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns, broken up by Rayshad WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+12
41.2%
Ben Griffiths punt for 49 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 12 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:0350% → 90%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
49.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 4 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+25
50.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 25 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
56.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 15 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
59.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 34Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
58.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-1
49.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 25Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
89.8%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 27TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:1921% → 96%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
78.8%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 35 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.4%
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:1314% → 17%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
14.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 23 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
16.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 10 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:16
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Amon-Ra St. Brown for 8 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)
-74.4
FG · Q4 0:52
Nicholas Barr-Mira 43 yd FG GOOD
+45.5
TD · Q4 8:09
Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-36.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com