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UTAH

Utah 38 at Colorado 21

COLO
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:14 · Josh Watts punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+0.4Pregame prior−2.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:39: Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 61 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK) — COLO win probability +16.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:14: Ty Jordan run for 18 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +14.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 6:23: Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:19: Jadon Redding 43 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +11.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:43: Ty Jordan run for 66 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Dalton Kincaid for Two-Point Conversion) — UTAH win probability +21.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:57COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36UTAH 4th & 11 at COLO 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:29COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21UTAH 4th & 3 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:07COLO 4th & 11 at UTAH 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:30UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:20UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:14COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:35UTAH 4th & 1 at COLO 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−4.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−16.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 14 at COLO 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−4.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:19UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 25, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%−1.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−17.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:59COLO 4th & 5 at UTAH 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:20COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 18, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:24UTAH 4th & 12 at COLO 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:17COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 27, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:03UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:46COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:39COLO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:14UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:23UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:43UTAH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.5%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:5755% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
44.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 24 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
44.8%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+17
44.8%
Ty Jordan run for 17 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
44.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
44.8%
Brant Kuithe run for 3 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
44.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 7 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
44.4%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 4 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
44.5%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 7 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.5%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Jarek Broussard, broken up by Mika TafuaSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-6
44.5%
Sam Noyer sacked by Nate Ritchie for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 15Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+7
44.3%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 7 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+9
44.2%
Josh Watts punt for 42 yds , Britain Covey returns for 9 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
43.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 19 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
43.6%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
43.6%
Ty Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
43.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
44.1%
Ben Lennon punt for 32 yds, downed at the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
43.7%
Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
43.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 1 yd to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
43.4%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Dimitri Stanley, broken up by Malone MataeleSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+7
43.2%
Josh Watts punt for 53 yds , Britain Covey returns for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
42.6%
Britain Covey run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-1
42.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
43.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:0043% → 45%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.2%
Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+41
43.2%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 41 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
44.6%
Sam Noyer run for 5 yds to the Utah 43 Sam Noyer fumbled, forced by Maxs Tupai, recovered by Utah Nate Ritchie , return for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
41.9%
Ty Jordan run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
41.9%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
42.0%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
50
0
42.4%
Ben Lennon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:3342% → 51%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
42.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
42.3%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 9 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
42.4%
Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
42.5%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Jarek BroussardSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+41
41.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 41 yds to the COLORADO 35 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
44.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
44.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
43.9%
Sam Noyer run for 5 yds to the Utah 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
44.6%
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
44.6%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
50.8%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 21 yds for a TD UTAH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0052% → 54%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
48.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
48.2%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+20
48.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 20 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
47.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
47.9%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+13
48.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
46.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 16 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
46.1%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Mekhi Blackmon return for 1 yd to the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
50.2%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Daniel Arias for 20 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
51.2%
Ashaad Clayton run for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
51.0%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
50.0%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Daniel Arias for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
52.5%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to La'Vontae ShenaultSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
52.2%
Ashaad Clayton run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+9
52.0%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Maurice Bell for 9 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
52.6%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
52.5%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to C.J. SchmanskiSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
51.5%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
49.8%
Josh Watts punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:5152% → 37%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
47.7%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
47.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+11
48.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 11 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
47.1%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+12
47.2%
Ty Jordan run for 12 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
45.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Cole FotheringhamSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
45.9%
Ty Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-7
47.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 18
OWN 39
+81
63.1%
Ben Lennon punt for 42 yds , Brenden Rice returns for 81 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
59.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Carson WellsSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.2%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
60.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
62.3%
Jared March punt for 34 yds, downed at the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
62.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+9
63.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the Colo 40 Jarek Broussard fumbled, forced by Nephi Sewell, recovered by Utah JaTravis BroughtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:1342% → 45%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
58.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+8
57.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+42
54.6%
Jadon Redding 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
72.2%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 61 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:2531% → 48%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
69.2%
Ty Jordan run for 35 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
66.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 7 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
51.8%
Ty Jordan run for 18 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.1%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.7%
Sam Noyer pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
57.3%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 3 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
56.7%
Josh Watts punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:2842% → 61%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
57.7%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+30
58.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 30 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
55.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 5
50
+6
54.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
53.7%
Covey,Britain rush for loss of 6 yards to the 50 yardline, fumble by Covey,Britain recovered by UTAH Covey,Britain at 50 yardline (Montgomery,Jama), PENALTY COLO offside defense (Rakestraw,Derri) 5 yards to the COLO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+3
53.4%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
53.4%
Brant Kuithe run for 5 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
52.6%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Jordan, Ty, PENALTY COLO pass interference (Wells, Carson) 5 yards to the COLO26, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
52.2%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+10
54.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty Jordan for 10 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+20
39.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0045% → 48%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
44.5%
Jarek Broussard run for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-11
47.9%
Sam Noyer pass intercepted Nephi Sewell return for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
50
0
38.9%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
50
+13
39.0%
Jake Bentley run for 13 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
38.9%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty JordanSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
38.9%
Micah Bernard run for 20 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
37.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
37.3%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
37.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty Jordan for 9 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
40.9%
N/A run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:2343% → 41%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
42.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 7
-1
42.5%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 6Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+10
40.9%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 10 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
43.4%
Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 5 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+18
43.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 18 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
45.2%
Joe Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
43.2%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
41.4%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+28
40.5%
Josh Watts punt for 46 yds , Britain Covey returns for 28 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:4964% → 75%
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
36.5%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
36.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 12 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
35.0%
Ty Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+7
35.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
36.4%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
25.1%
Jadon Redding 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:2032% → 26%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
32.5%
Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
32.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 7 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
34.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
35.1%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to Joe Davis for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+15
34.5%
Tyler Lytle run for 15 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
37.4%
Joe Davis run for 4 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
39.6%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to K.D. NixonSimilar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+1
36.9%
Sam Noyer run for 1 yd to the Utah 34 COLORADO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
25.5%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete, broken up by Mika TafuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
4.2%
Ty Jordan run for 66 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Dalton Kincaid for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:185% → 3%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.5%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
4.4%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Jarek BroussardSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
3.2%
Sam Noyer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5297% → 98%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
3.5%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
3.5%
Ty Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 19Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 11
OPP 19
-1
3.7%
Ty Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+38
2.2%
Jadon Redding 38 yd FG GOOD COLORADO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
1.0%
Tyler Lytle pass complete to K.D. Nixon for 5 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
1.2%
Tyler Lytle pass incomplete to C.J. SchmanskiSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
1.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
1.1%
Tyler Lytle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
1.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
1.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 14
OPP 31
-2
1.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:43
Ty Jordan run for 66 yds for a TD (Jake Bentley pass to Dalton Kincaid for Two-Point Conversion)
-21.3
TD · Q3 14:39
Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 61 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 6:23
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 20 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com