Try the model
UCLA

UCLA 25 at Arizona State 18

ASU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Mountain America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-Shelton, broken up by Quentin Lake
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense−26.3Garbage-time factor−15.6Score differential−2.4Pregame prior+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:17: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UCLA win probability +7.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +14.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:09: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Luckhurst KICK) — ASU win probability +15.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:26: Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD Daniels,Jayden pass attempt failed, PENALTY UCLA offside 2 yards to the UCLA1, NO PLAY. Daniels,Jayden pass attempt to Wilson,Johnny good, PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the UCLA6, NO PLAY. (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ASU win probability +26.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:09: Demetric Felton run for 2 yds for a TD (Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass to Chase Cota for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +45.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 13 at UCLA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08UCLA 4th & 11 at ASU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:48ASU 4th & 22 at UCLA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UCLA 4th & 1 at ASU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:11ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:30UCLA 4th & 26 at ASU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−2.5
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:07ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:52UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:09UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:20ASU 4th & 19 at ASU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:17UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:30UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:09ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:26ASU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:09UCLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    81.1%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
53.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 13 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
53.7%
Rachaad White run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-8
53.7%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+11
53.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
53.7%
Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Darby,Frank, PENALTY UCLA holding (Eboh, Obi) 10 yards to the UCLA43, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
53.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-6
53.7%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
53.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
53.7%
Michael Turk punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
54.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
54.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
54.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+6
54.2%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Darien Butler) to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
53.9%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
54.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+18
54.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 18 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
53.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
53.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-1
53.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
54.2%
Luke Akers punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Rachaad White at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:4554% → 54%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
54.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+3
54.4%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
54.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
54.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+12
53.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 12 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+35
54.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Andre Johnson for 35 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
55.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
55.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 10 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
55.4%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-9
55.4%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Osa Odighizuwa for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 14
OPP 19
-8
54.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Mo Osling III for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 22
OPP 27
+45
54.4%
Christian Zendejas 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:3146% → 55%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+38
54.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 38 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
52.4%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
52.4%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+3
52.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 3 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
52.8%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
51.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
51.7%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+11
52.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 11 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
45.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 9 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
47.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Rachaad White for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
47.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
47.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
48.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
49.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
48.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
48.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to DeaMonte Trayanum for 5 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
48.3%
Michael Turk punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:4154% → 59%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
45.9%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+64
45.8%
Brittain Brown run for 64 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
42.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 18 yds to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-11
42.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+8
43.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-18
43.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 26
+44
40.7%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1840% → 39%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
39.6%
Rachaad White run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+7
40.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
40.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
40.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+5
39.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
38.8%
Michael Turk punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:2760% → 80%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+27
39.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 27 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
38.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by D.J. Davidson for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+8
39.8%
Keegan Jones run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+32
39.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 17 yds to the ARIZONAST 46 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul (Timarcus Davis) to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
37.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 5 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+10
37.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
37.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 5 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
20.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9FG
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:2231% → 32%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
30.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 10 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
31.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
31.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+49
32.1%
Jack Luckhurst 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
28.6%
Brittain Brown run for 20 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
28.2%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
27.8%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
27.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Chase LucasSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
28.6%
Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 32 , Rachaad White returns for no gain to the ArzSt 32 Rachaad White fumbled, recovered by ArzStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:4728% → 45%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
27.6%
Rachaad White run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+51
28.2%
Ricky Pearsall pass complete to Rachaad White for 51 yds Rachaad White fumbled, forced by Damian Sellers, recovered by ArzSt Rachaad White for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
30.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 6 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-5
29.2%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden pass complete to Wilson,Johnny for 5 yards to the UCLA0, clock 11:12, PENALTY ASU ineligible downfield on pass (West,Dohnovan) 5 yards to the UCLA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
44.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Luckhurst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
37.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
38.3%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 18Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+5
39.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 12
OPP 0
0
36.9%
Akers, Luke punt 43 yards to the ASU34, White, Rachaad return to the ASU34 (Warnell, DJ;Guidry, Elisha), PENALTY ASU roughing the kicker off-setting, PENALTY UCLA illegal formation off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+47
39.9%
Luke Akers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rachaad White at the ARIZONAST 35 ARIZONA ST Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · 57 yds · 0:5038% → 44%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
37.5%
[SG], Daniels,Jayden pass complete to White, Rachaad for 4 yards to the ASU44 (Calvert, Bo), PENALTY ASU illegal block off-setting, PENALTY UCLA personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
40.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 21 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
42.2%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden pass complete to Johnson,Andre for 39 yards to the UCLA0, clock 08:06, PENALTY ASU ineligible downfield on pass (Diesch,Kellen) 5 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+7
40.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+19
42.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 19 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
43.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 12 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
43.8%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden rush for 5 yards to the UCLA1, out-of-bounds (Osling III, Mo), PENALTY ASU holding (Horn,Kyle) 10 yards to the UCLA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+15
43.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Geordon Porter for 15 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
43.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCLA Caleb JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14SF
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:0665% → 60%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
34.6%
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 2Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-1
34.9%
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 12
OWN 1
-1
40.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Michael Matus for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:1141% → 48%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
40.6%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+4
43.5%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
43.3%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
44.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
44.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 11 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-21
48.3%
Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Jay Shaw return for 21 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:4164% → 65%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
36.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
33.3%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
33.7%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
33.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
34.6%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Keegan Jones) to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+2
36.0%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+16
36.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 16 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
32.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-5
33.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+10
36.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 10 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
35.1%
Luke Akers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Rachaad White at the ArzSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 6:0438% → 73%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
38.0%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
38.8%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+7
41.7%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
41.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 8 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+2
43.9%
Rachaad White run for 2 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
43.7%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 17 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
46.6%
[NHSG], Trayanum,D. rush for 11 yards to the UCLA18 (Lake, Quentin;Osling III, Mo), PENALTY ASU holding (Diesch,Kellen) 10 yards to the UCLA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+12
41.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Curtis Hodges for 12 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
46.6%
Rachaad White run for 4 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+20
43.9%
Rachaad White run for 20 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
46.7%
DeaMonte Trayanum run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD Daniels,Jayden pass attempt failed, PENALTY UCLA offside 2 yards to the UCLA1, NO PLAY. Daniels,Jayden pass attempt to Wilson,Johnny good, PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the UCLA6, NO PLAY. (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
72.7%
Daniels,Jayden pass attempt to Wilson,Johnny good, PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the UCLA6, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:1739% → 92%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Delon Hurt for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
59.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
57.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Demetric Felton for 8 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+2
55.5%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
55.3%
[NHSG], PENALTY UCLA false start (Marrazzo, Sam) 5 yards to the UCLA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
59.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+18
59.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 18 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
55.3%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
53.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
53.2%
Demetric Felton run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Timarcus Davis) to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
53.2%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
53.2%
[SG], Thmpsn-Robinson pass incomplete to Cota, Chase, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Pierce,Deandre) 1 yards to the ASU2, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.2%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds for a TD (Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass to Chase Cota for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 23 yds · 0:4815% → 10%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
14.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
13.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Frank DarbySimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+17
13.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 17 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
16.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
15.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 15 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
19.5%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Mo Osling III for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
15.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-SheltonSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 11
OWN 0
0
10.2%
[NHSG], Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete to Porter,Geordon, PENALTY ASU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY UCLA pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-8
13.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
10.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to LV Bunkley-Shelton, broken up by Quentin LakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:09
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds for a TD (Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass to Chase Cota for Two-Point Conversion)
-45
TD · Q4 4:26
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD Daniels,Jayden pass attempt failed, PENALTY UCLA offside 2 yards to the UCLA1, NO PLAY. Daniels,Jayden pass attempt to Wilson,Johnny good, PENALTY ASU illegal formation 5 yards to the UCLA6, NO PLAY. (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+26
TD · Q3 11:09
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Frank Darby for 10 yds for a TD (Jack Luckhurst KICK)
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com