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STAN

Stanford 31 at Washington 26

WASH
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+1.7WASH 62.9%Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 3 · Q2 11:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:59 · Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−4.6Pregame prior+19.3Score differential−2.4Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:54: Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +13.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:20: Sean McGrew run for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +13.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:01: Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK) — STAN win probability +15.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:33: Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT BLOCKED) — WASH win probability +15.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:03: Sean McGrew run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +14.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 0 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:39WASH 4th & 4 at STAN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:59WASH 4th & 4 at STAN 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−5.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:09WASH 4th & 6 at STAN 49, down 18
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:25STAN 4th & 4 at WASH 37, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.5%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:14STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  6. Q4 0:30STAN 4th & 1 at WASH 12, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:53STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:05STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:54STAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:20WASH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:01STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:33WASH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:03WASH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5723% → 26%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.0%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor WedingtonSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
76.9%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
76.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
76.5%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
76.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Nathaniel PeatSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+26
76.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 26 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
76.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+6
75.8%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
75.6%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 8Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
75.4%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.9%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:3574% → 73%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.0%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
73.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 6 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
73.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 15 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
73.5%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
73.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-5
73.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-5
72.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+11
72.4%
Dylan Morris run for 11 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
72.6%
Race Porter punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:2528% → 37%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.1%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
71.6%
Davis Mills pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
71.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
70.9%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
70.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 9 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
69.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+38
68.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 38 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
68.3%
Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.5%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:5465% → 63%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
64.7%
Dylan Morris run for 9 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.4%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
63.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
64.0%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
64.1%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+18
62.7%
Dylan Morris run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kyu Blu Kelly) to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
63.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+16
62.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 16 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
62.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Ty JonesSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
61.1%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+23
62.9%
Peyton Henry 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:5339% → 58%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
60.9%
Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
59.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 20 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
59.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 5 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
58.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 5 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
57.5%
Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+9
57.4%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
56.1%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
55.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:3446% → 42%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.3%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.7%
Sean McGrew run for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
46.2%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
45.8%
Jack Westover run for 3 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
44.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 2 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.0%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
42.9%
Rome Odunze run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+14
40.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 14 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
41.6%
Race Porter punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7END OF HALF
17 plays · 61 yds · 3:0565% → 77%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
35.5%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Scooter HarringtonSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
36.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 7 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+5
36.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
34.6%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+10
32.4%
Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 10 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
30.9%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 2 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+14
29.7%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 14 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
28.4%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
26.8%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
27.4%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi FehokoSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
29.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
25.8%
Davis Mills run for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+42
22.7%
Jet Toner 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3329% → 41%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.3%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
28.8%
Sean McGrew run for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
28.4%
Sean McGrew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+15
26.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 15 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
28.3%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+42
28.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ty Jones for 42 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.1%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:5964% → 87%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
35.6%
Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
32.7%
Davis Mills run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+20
31.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
28.9%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
28.3%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+33
28.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 33 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.0%
Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1718% → 26%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.0%
Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Wash 25Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
16.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Ty Jones for 37 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
18.5%
Dylan Morris run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
14.3%
Rome Odunze run for no gain to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+7
12.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
12.6%
Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Stanf 18Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
11.9%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
11.7%
Jack Westover run for 3 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
10.8%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Stanf 7Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
10.5%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.2%
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:4682% → 86%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
17.6%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+7
17.5%
Davis Mills pass complete to John Humphreys for 7 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
15.7%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
12.9%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
13.0%
Davis Mills pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
14.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for no gain to the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:5819% → 34%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
18.8%
Sean McGrew run for 8 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+3
19.2%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+25
18.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 25 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
19.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 43Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+11
18.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
19.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+42
17.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 42 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
19.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.6%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4079% → 81%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
20.6%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+39
19.0%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 10 Austin Jones fumbled, forced by Trent McDuffie, recovered by Wash Edefuan Ulofoshio , return for 39 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FG
6 plays · -17 yds · 2:0533% → 37%
Q4 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
32.7%
Morris, Dylan pass complete to Jones, Ty for 10 yards to the STANFORD0, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Ale, Ulumoo) 10 yards to the STANFORD20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+1
31.7%
Sean McGrew run for 1 yd to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
-10
29.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 29
0
28.2%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
+2
25.2%
Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 0
OPP 27
+45
37.4%
Peyton Henry 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15END OF 4TH QUARTER
20 plays · 79 yds · 6:5471% → 95%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
28.6%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
27.8%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 12Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+15
28.1%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 15 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
25.4%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-5
20.6%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Brycen Tremayne) to the Stanf 26Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+15
21.2%
Austin Jones run for 15 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
17.4%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
14.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+25
14.3%
Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 25 yds to the WASHINGTON 35 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
8.6%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+11
6.6%
Austin Jones run for 11 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
5.0%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
5.0%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
5.1%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
5.3%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:33
Dylan Morris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry PAT BLOCKED)
+15.7
TD · Q3 9:01
Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 3 yds for a TD, (Jet Toner KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q4 11:03
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com