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Oregon State 24 at Utah 30

UTAH
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:39 · Everett Hayes 50 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense+0.7Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:10: Ty Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:50: Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +8.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 6:22: Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:50: Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) UTAH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — ORST win probability +7.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:07: Chance Nolan pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 21 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +20.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ORST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:21UTAH 4th & 8 at ORST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50UTAH 4th & 2 at ORST 2, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:39ORST 4th & 2 at UTAH 31, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:27UTAH 4th & 5 at ORST 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:16ORST 4th & 4 at UTAH 15, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:10UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 1, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:16ORST 4th & 11 at ORST 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:42UTAH 4th & 4 at ORST 45, up 13
    Close callPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:37ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:44ORST 4th & 19 at ORST 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:54UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:18ORST 4th & 3 at UTAH 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:53UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−2.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:47ORST 4th & 1 at UTAH 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−8.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−12.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:30UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:34ORST 4th & 8 at UTAH 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−6.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−6.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 3:10UTAH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:50ORST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:22UTAH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:50ORST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:07ORST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:3983% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.5%
Ty Jordan run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
82.5%
Ty Jordan run for 8 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
82.5%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+24
82.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 24 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
82.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty Jordan for 12 yds to the OrgSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
82.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-1
82.5%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
82.5%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
81.6%
Jadon Redding 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
81.5%
Chance Nolan run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
81.4%
Baylor, B.J. rush for 5 yards to the OSU35 (Brumfield,Devin), PENALTY OSU holding (Gray, Joshua) 10 yards to the OSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+3
81.5%
B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 17
OWN 23
-35
81.5%
Chance Nolan pass intercepted Vonte Davis return for 35 yds to the OrgSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3182% → 82%
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
81.6%
Ty Jordan run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
81.6%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.4%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
81.7%
Jadon Redding 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0319% → 20%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
81.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+12
81.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 12 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
81.4%
B.J. Baylor run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
50
+1
80.9%
B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
81.0%
Tyler, Calvin rush for no gain to the UTAH49 (Sewell, Nephi;Pututau,Hauati), PENALTY UTAH holding (Moala,Viane) 10 yards to the UTAH39, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.9%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
80.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+6
81.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+50
80.4%
Everett Hayes 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 5:1281% → 82%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
81.4%
Ty Jordan run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
50
+13
82.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 13 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
82.1%
Britain Covey run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
82.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 6 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
81.8%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
81.8%
Ty Jordan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+10
81.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.8%
Ty Jordan run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
81.8%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
81.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
81.5%
Jadon Redding 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:0518% → 22%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.0%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
82.2%
Chance Nolan run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+40
81.6%
Jack Colletto run for 40 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
80.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
80.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+7
81.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 7 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
78.2%
Everett Hayes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0681% → 86%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.7%
Britain Covey run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+31
80.7%
Ty Jordan run for 31 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
81.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 15 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
81.9%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
81.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
81.4%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
81.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.9%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.4%
Devin Brumfield run for no gain to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.3%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:2015% → 24%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.7%
Nolan, Chance pass incomplete to Bradford, T., PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Moala,Viane) 15 yards to the OSU40, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
84.9%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+23
84.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 23 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
83.5%
Chance Nolan run for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+13
83.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the Utah 24 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Hauati Pututau) to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
83.3%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-3
83.3%
Chance Nolan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+12
86.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 10 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.6%
Nolan, Chance pass incomplete to Quitoriano, T., PENALTY UTAH holding (Lloyd,Devin) 1 yards to the UTAH1, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:2681% → 81%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
81.1%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
80.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 13 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
81.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Micah Bernard for 5 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
81.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Ty Jordan for 10 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
81.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Ty JordanSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
81.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Devaughn Vele, broken up by Hamilcar Rashed Jr.Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+16
80.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 16 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
78.4%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+7
78.5%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 7 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
78.4%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah BeasonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
79.1%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah BeasonSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
79.7%
Luke Loecher punt for 65 yds, downed at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 7:4580% → 91%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
80.1%
Ty Jordan run for 5 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
80.1%
Ty Jordan run for 3 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+4
79.4%
Ty Jordan run for 4 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Devaughn Vele, broken up by Nahshon WrightSimilar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
80.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Solomon Enis for 7 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
79.7%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
80.5%
Ty Jordan run for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
81.7%
Micah Bernard run for 25 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
82.1%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
82.1%
Ty Jordan run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
82.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 7 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+6
82.1%
Ty Jordan run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
82.1%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
88.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.1%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Jesiah IrishSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
88.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
89.2%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke MusgraveSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
89.5%
Luke Loecher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.5%
Ty Jordan run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
91.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
91.1%
Jake Bentley run for 3 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
91.5%
Ty Jordan run for 17 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
91.9%
Ty Jordan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-5
91.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Simi Moala) to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
91.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
91.2%
Ben Lennon punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:049% → 2%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
91.0%
Nolan, Chance rush for 6 yards to the OSU26, out-of-bounds (Ritchie, Nate), PENALTY OSU holding (Eldridge, N.) 10 yards to the OSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+9
91.1%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 9 yds to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
91.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr.Similar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+64
98.3%
Luke Loecher punt for 43 yds , Britain Covey returns for 64 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:412% → 10%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.1%
Chance Nolan run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
98.1%
Tyjon Lindsey run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.1%
Ta'Ron Madison run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 8
50
+6
98.1%
Chance Nolan run for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+28
98.1%
Chance Nolan run for 28 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-13
97.8%
Chance Nolan sacked by Devin Lloyd for a loss of 13 yards to the Utah 35 Chance Nolan fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Calvin Tyler Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 29
OPP 35
+29
98.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 29 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) UTAH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:009% → 7%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
50
+1
91.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-18
91.0%
Chance Nolan sacked by Hauati Pututau for a loss of 18 yards to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 27
OWN 33
+8
92.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
92.7%
Luke Loecher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.7%
Ty Jordan run for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
94.9%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
94.7%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
94.2%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
94.0%
Lennon,Ben punt 42 yards to the OSU34, Bradford, T. return to the OSU34 (Lawler, Kenzel), PENALTY UTAH illegal formation 5 yards to the UTAH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+5
93.8%
Ben Lennon punt for 47 yds , Kolby Taylor returns for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:117% → 28%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
92.8%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 12 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
92.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
92.5%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Teagan Quitoriano) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 11
50
+1
92.5%
Chance Nolan run for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+7
92.8%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 7 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+11
92.9%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 11 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
91.9%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason, broken up by JaTravis BroughtonSimilar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
92.0%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon LindseySimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
92.6%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah BeasonSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+10
93.0%
Nolan, Chance pass complete to Musgrave, Luke for 9 yards to the UTAH22 (Lloyd,Devin), PENALTY UTAH DH 10 yards to the UTAH21, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
72.2%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 21 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1490% → 92%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
89.9%
Ty Jordan run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
90.1%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
89.6%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
91.6%
Ty Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
76.5%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon BradfordSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
77.5%
Chance Nolan run for 2 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Nephi Sewell) to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.1%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
74.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+9
76.0%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 9 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
74.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1094% → 95%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.8%
Ty Jordan run for 3 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
94.4%
Ty Jordan run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe, broken up by Andrzej Hughes-MurraySimilar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Ben Lennon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:4212% → 11%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.9%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Viane MoalaSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
87.1%
Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
85.1%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 15 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
82.6%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah BeasonSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
83.1%
Chance Nolan sacked by Mika Tafua for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+7
90.9%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 7 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
88.8%
Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke MusgraveSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:07
Chance Nolan pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 21 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
-20.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.2
TD · Q3 6:22
Jake Bentley pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com