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ARIZ

Arizona 10 at UCLA 27

UCLA
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:37 · Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the Ariz 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+17.4Score differential+8.2Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:58: Chase Griffin pass complete to Brittain Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +3.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:23: Demetric Felton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +4.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:10: Nicholas Barr-Mira 30 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +4.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:15: Lucas Havrisik 26 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +2.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:17: Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill III — UCLA win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9ARIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 11 at UCLA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34UCLA 4th & 6 at ARIZ 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26ARIZ 4th & 11 at UCLA 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:39UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:58ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:17ARIZ 4th & 17 at UCLA 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:10UCLA 4th & 11 at ARIZ 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 47, up 13
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:00ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:20UCLA 4th & 2 at ARIZ 49, up 13
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:13ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:37UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 27, up 13
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:31ARIZ 4th & 1 at UCLA 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−2.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:15ARIZ 4th & 4 at UCLA 8, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−6.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:15UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 1 at UCLA 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−3.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−4.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 7 at UCLA 7, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−8.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:54UCLA 4th & 6 at ARIZ 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−0.7
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:05ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:58UCLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:23UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:38UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.6%
Grant Gunnell pass complete to Gary Brightwell for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
73.6%
Will Plummer run for 26 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.6%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
73.6%
Will Plummer run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-5
73.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
73.6%
Will Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Damian SellersSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
73.6%
Tyler Loop punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
73.2%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
73.2%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
73.1%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 25
-3
73.1%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2428% → 29%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
72.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 6 yds to the UCLA 16 Gary Brightwell fumbled, forced by Mitchell Agude,Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
72.5%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+10
72.6%
Will Plummer run for 10 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.7%
Michael Wiley run for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:3171% → 71%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 10 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
71.2%
Demetric Felton run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
71.5%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Charles Njoku for 7 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
71.7%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+14
71.6%
Demetric Felton run for 14 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
71.8%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+10
71.8%
Griffin, Chase pass incomplete to Brown, Brittain, PENALTY ARIZ holding (Turner,J.) 10 yards to the ARIZ17, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
71.8%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the Ariz 16Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
71.8%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the Ariz 15Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+2
71.6%
Chase Griffin run for 2 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
70.5%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
70.1%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+28
70.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Drew Dixon for 28 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
69.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-5
69.3%
Will Plummer run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
69.8%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
70.4%
Tyler Loop punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
69.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Matt Sykes for 9 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+9
69.4%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
69.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for 11 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.8%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-9
70.4%
Felton, D rush for 16 yards to the ARIZ40 (Burns,L.), PENALTY UCLA holding (Marrazzo, Sam) 9 yards to the UCLA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
69.2%
Chase Griffin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+10
68.8%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Brittain Brown for 10 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+1
69.6%
Luke Akers punt for 47 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 1 yd to the Ariz 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0332% → 31%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
68.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 10Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+3
68.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 3 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
68.5%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
68.9%
Tyler Loop punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:5069% → 74%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.1%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle Philips, broken up by Parker HenleySimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
68.9%
Demetric Felton run for 5 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
69.0%
Chase Griffin run for 6 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
69.5%
Demetric Felton run for 18 yds to the Ariz 23 UCLA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 2
OPP 33
0
70.1%
Chase Griffin run for no gain to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
70.1%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
70.1%
Brittain Brown run for 11 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
70.1%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
73.6%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Brittain Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
71.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
70.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
70.5%
Will Plummer pass complete to Brian Casteel for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
71.1%
Will Plummer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:0973% → 78%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
73.1%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 23 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
73.6%
Demetric Felton run for 9 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+10
73.6%
Demetric Felton run for 10 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.6%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.6%
Chase Griffin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
78.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 10 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
78.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
77.7%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+11
78.2%
Will Plummer run for 11 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
77.6%
Will Plummer pass complete to Drew Dixon for 15 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
76.6%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 8 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
76.5%
Will Plummer run for 6 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
76.0%
Plummer,W. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UCLA36 (Johnson, Caleb), PENALTY ARIZ holding (Brightwell,G.) 10 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+3
77.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 17
OPP 41
0
77.4%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Boobie CurrySimilar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 17
OPP 41
0
77.8%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
78.5%
Tyler Loop punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FG
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:1179% → 85%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+35
78.9%
Demetric Felton run for 35 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
80.2%
Demetric Felton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
80.2%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
80.4%
Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
80.6%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
80.7%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 9 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+4
80.8%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
80.8%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
80.8%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
80.8%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 13Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+1
81.5%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for 1 yd to the Ariz 12Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
80.7%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
85.3%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.2%
Will Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
84.7%
Demetric Felton run for 16 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.5%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
85.2%
Demetric Felton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
85.0%
Chase Griffin run for no gain to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
84.3%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ariz 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
84.2%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
84.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 7 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 16
-5
84.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (Paiton Fears) to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+10
84.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 10 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
83.9%
Will Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Qwuantrezz KnightSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
84.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-7
84.2%
Will Plummer sacked by Obi Eboh for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+5
84.6%
Loop,T. punt 33 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UCLA roughing the kicker (Ezeike, Michael) 5 yards to the ARIZ22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 9
OWN 22
-5
84.6%
ARIZONA Penalty, (Boobie Curry) to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
84.6%
Tyler Loop punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3888% → 89%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
88.0%
Chase Griffin run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-3
88.1%
Kyle Philips run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+5
87.4%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for 5 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
88.5%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the Ariz 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
88.3%
Will Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Mitchell AgudeSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
88.4%
Will Plummer run for 9 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+7
88.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 7 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
88.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
88.1%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
87.9%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+4
88.5%
Tyler Loop punt for 53 yds , Kyle Philips returns for 4 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
90.2%
Demetric Felton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+7
90.2%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Demetric Felton for 7 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
89.8%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Christian Roland-WallaceSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
89.5%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the Ariz 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:1611% → 15%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
89.1%
Plummer,W. pass incomplete to Cunningham,T., PENALTY UCLA holding (Johnson, Alex) 10 yards to the ARIZ37, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
88.6%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 17 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
87.7%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
88.1%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Brian CasteelSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
88.6%
Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+9
88.1%
Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
86.7%
Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
86.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
86.7%
Will Plummer run for 2 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
86.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
87.6%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Brian CasteelSimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
85.1%
Lucas Havrisik 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Demetric Felton run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Charles NjokuSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Charles NjokuSimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Luke Akers punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 42 yds · 0:2315% → 13%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.1%
Will Plummer run for 3 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
85.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
85.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Drew Dixon for 3 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
85.2%
Plummer,W. pass incomplete to Wright,M. (Williams, R), PENALTY ARIZ ineligible downfield on pass (Gardner,T.) 5 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+4
86.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+10
85.3%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 10 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
85.1%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
86.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
84.1%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
84.1%
Ma'jon Wright run for 5 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-5
85.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (Will Plummer) to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
85.4%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 15 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
84.1%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.1%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Drew DixonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.2%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Drew DixonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
86.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 55 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
88.7%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Greg Dulcich) to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+2
88.7%
Demetric Felton run for 2 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+21
88.5%
Chase Griffin pass complete to Kyle Philips for 21 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
89.1%
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
89.0%
Demetric Felton run for 8 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
89.0%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Matt Sykes) to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+12
88.6%
Demetric Felton run for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
89.7%
Demetric Felton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+12
89.8%
Demetric Felton run for 12 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
90.0%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
90.2%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
89.5%
Chase Griffin pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
88.8%
Luke Akers punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
94.0%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+8
93.9%
Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 8 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+7
94.2%
Will Plummer pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-19
93.6%
Will Plummer pass intercepted Stephan Blaylock return for 19 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4495% → 99%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
95.2%
Demetric Felton run for 12 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
95.2%
Brittain Brown run for 10 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.1%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.1%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25INT
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Thomas Reid IIISimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Will Plummer sacked by Mitchell Agude for 0 yards to the UCLA 18 Will Plummer fumbled, recovered by Ariz Will Plummer , return for 0 yards for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Will Plummer pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for no gain to the Ariz 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 14
OPP 31
-4
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:17
Will Plummer pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill III
+5.1
TD · Q2 8:23
Demetric Felton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+4.8
FG · Q2 0:10
Nicholas Barr-Mira 30 yd FG GOOD
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com